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NC State vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 94-85
45-46 49-39
Position#94
Record17-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#348
Record8-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · NC State v Louisville
12 Feb 2025
NC S66
LOUI91
12 Mar 2024
NC S94
LOUI85
22 Dec 2022
NC S76
LOUI64
04 Dec 2021
NC S68
LOUI73
01 Feb 2020
NC S57
LOUI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
47-40
30-38
34-29
45-39
34-44
39-35
39-42
40-55
43-32
38-26
43-44
33-41
50-49
45-37
25-42
30-33
34-46
29-39
44-42
154.6Avg total
75.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.572.8148.3+2.755%
Season at home (17)77.769.1146.8+8.671%
Season away (14)72.977.4150.2-4.536%
Last 10 (10)75.778.9154.6-3.230%
Last 5 (5)74.279.8154.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.778.1146.9-9.40%
vs Similar (14)75.074.9149.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A29/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-35
54-57
45-49
47-45
30-32
49-35
47-39
30-50
27-37
32-49
25-31
25-41
23-36
36-48
28-39
48-43
31-49
33-31
31-41
30-26
153.1Avg total
71.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.678.6150.2-7.026%
Season at home (20)73.277.0150.2-3.835%
Season away (11)68.681.5150.2-12.99%
Last 10 (10)71.881.3153.1-9.520%
Last 5 (5)62.077.0139.0-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.080.7151.7-9.712%
vs Similar (4)73.072.8145.8+0.275%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -4.1-4.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -4.1-4.1
NC StateLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A10/03
NCAA
74.3Avg total
36.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.569.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.533.670.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)34.135.669.7-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.974.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.270.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.735.669.3-1.929%-
vs Similar (14)34.035.669.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.931.970.8+7.067%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H09/03
NCAA
72.2Avg total
33.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.837.568.3-6.720%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.936.367.2-5.421%-
Last 30 away (11)30.739.570.3-8.818%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.872.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)27.639.266.8-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.939.471.3-7.521%-
vs Similar (4)26.230.056.2-3.80%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NC State wins
2
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Louisville v NC State83-89
23/12/22NC State v Louisville76-64
13/01/22Louisville v NC State63-79
04/12/21NC State v Louisville68-73
01/02/20NC State v Louisville57-77
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24APittsburgh73-81
05/03/24HDuke64-79
02/03/24ANorth Carolina70-79
28/02/24AFlorida State83-90
24/02/24HBoston College81-70
21/02/24HSyracuse83-87
18/02/24AClemson78-77
10/02/24AWake Forest79-83
08/02/24HPittsburgh64-67
03/02/24HGeorgia Tech82-76
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HBoston College61-67
06/03/24HVirginia Tech64-80
03/03/24HSyracuse76-82
29/02/24ADuke59-84
22/02/24HNotre Dame50-72
17/02/24APittsburgh59-86
14/02/24ABoston College77-89
10/02/24HGeorgia Tech79-67
08/02/24ASyracuse92-94
04/02/24HFlorida State101-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWLLWL71%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %55%71%36%
Points / game75.577.772.9
Allowed / game72.869.177.4
Point differential+2.7+8.6-4.5
Avg total148.3146.8150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL35%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %26%35%9%
Points / game71.673.268.6
Allowed / game78.677.081.5
Point differential-7.0-3.8-12.9
Avg total150.2150.2150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3125681%81.670.1+11.5
2 Duke3124777%80.267.2+13.0
3 Virginia3122971%63.559.1+4.3
4 Pittsburgh31211068%75.867.5+8.3
5 Clemson31211068%78.171.2+7.0
6 SMU Mustangs31201165%76.967.6+9.3
7 Syracuse31201165%76.775.4+1.3
8 Wake Forest31191261%78.770.5+8.2
9 Virginia Tech31181358%75.070.6+4.4
10 NC State31171455%75.572.8+2.7
11 Boston College31171455%74.873.1+1.7
12 Florida State31161552%76.575.8+0.7
13 Miami (FL)32151747%75.773.3+2.4
14 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
15 Stanford30131743%76.576.4+0.1
16 California31131842%73.976.7-2.8
17 Notre Dame32131941%64.267.0-2.8
18 Louisville3182326%71.678.6-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State454994
Louisville463985
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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