Lovcen Cetinje vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 78-95

20-22 21-21 18-24 19-28

Position#4

Record17-5

FormLLLWW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game74.4

Lovcen Cetinje

Buducnost 🏆

Position#2

Record6-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game69.3

Prva A LigaRound 7

Other2017-18

Meetings · Lovcen Cetinje v Buducnost

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Buducnost winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

79-56

+23

H21/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

#12

110-80

110

+30

H24/03

Prva A Liga

Bosna

#11

100-85

100

+15

A28/03

ABA League 2

Ulcinj

85-92

-7

A31/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

88-80

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

67-93

-26

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

75-85

-10

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

77-100

100

-23

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

82-76

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

97-84

+13

A03/05

Prva A Liga

21-12

21-8

16-14

21-22

29-17

22-28

25-18

34-17

26-27

29-16

24-21

21-21

25-26

22-26

14-22

24-18

33-19

15-20

20-22

20-19

18-17

17-20

18-27

14-29

26-25

15-21

15-16

19-23

22-17

25-27

15-37

15-19

27-23

21-17

17-16

17-20

31-20

18-23

27-22

21-19

169.1Avg total

86.0Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	83.5	74.4	158.0	+9.1	77%
Season at home (11)	87.1	75.8	162.9	+11.3	82%
Season away (11)	80.0	73.0	153.0	+7.0	73%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	83.1	169.1	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	87.6	167.2	-8.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	72.0	96.5	168.5	-24.5	0%
vs Similar (16)	80.2	77.1	157.3	+3.2	62%
vs Weaker (12)	87.4	73.2	160.7	+14.2	92%

This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

80-76

A09/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

59-69

-10

A10/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

78-77

H13/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

77-73

H14/04

ABA League

Sutjeska

76-68

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

93-67

+26

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

85-83

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

82-56

+26

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

97-71

+26

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

79-71

A03/05

Prva A Liga

25-22

12-16

26-19

17-19

13-17

18-14

17-16

11-22

24-23

18-24

26-17

10-13

22-15

14-23

24-19

17-16

15-14

26-21

22-21

13-12

17-18

20-17

27-18

29-14

24-20

21-17

14-24

26-22

18-8

25-13

14-14

25-21

30-22

27-11

17-20

23-18

13-15

19-16

27-19

20-21

151.7Avg total

80.6Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.3	69.3	154.7	+16.0	100%
Season at home (3)	83.7	63.7	147.3	+20.0	100%
Season away (3)	87.0	75.0	162.0	+12.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	71.1	151.7	+9.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	69.6	156.8	+17.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	63.2	70.0	133.2	-6.8	0%
vs Similar (16)	79.7	74.9	154.6	+4.8	81%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	90.2	73.7	163.9	+16.5	80%

This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Lovcen CetinjeBuducnost

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	16.4	40.4	+7.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	21.1	43.4	+1.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	20.3	46.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.4	45.2	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	24.4	21.4	45.9	+3.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	15.9	38.1	+6.3	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.7	36.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	17.8	33.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	19.4	37.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.2	18.8	39.9	+2.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	14.8	37.2	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	13.8	28.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.6	17.9	42.5	+6.7	90%	-

Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

42-20

+22

H21/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

#12

51-45

H24/03

Prva A Liga

Bosna

#11

55-43

+12

A28/03

ABA League 2

Ulcinj

47-52

-5

A31/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

48-39

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

35-37

-2

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-46

-5

H24/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

47-44

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

48-40

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

49-43

A03/05

Prva A Liga

87.2Avg total

46.3Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	42.6	38.1	80.8	+4.5	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	34.9	78.0	+8.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	41.4	83.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	40.9	87.2	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	41.0	40.5	81.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.3	40.8	83.1	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	43.3	34.7	78.0	+8.7	83%	-

This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

37-38

-1

A09/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

31-31

A10/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

42-47

-5

H13/04

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

36-38

-2

H14/04

ABA League

Sutjeska

41-35

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

37-35

H21/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

45-37

A24/04

Prva A Liga

Tivat

43-21

+22

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

57-33

+24

A30/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

32-31

A03/05

Prva A Liga

74.7Avg total

40.1Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	36.0	76.0	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	33.7	74.1	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	38.3	77.9	+1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	34.6	74.7	+5.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	31.4	74.2	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.8	31.5	62.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.5	36.7	75.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	46.2	36.6	82.8	+9.6	80%	-

This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.9	38.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.6	42.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.5	32.0	48.5	-15.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.6	19.1	40.6	+2.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	14.5	24.0	38.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.2	37.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	15.9	35.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.2	43.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	19.2	36.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.5	38.9	78.5	+0.6	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	38.4	77.2	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	42.2	81.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	45.6	81.2	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	31.0	56.0	87.0	-25.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.6	37.2	74.8	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	43.2	38.1	81.3	+5.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	37.1	77.3	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	34.5	76.1	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	39.7	78.5	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	36.5	77.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	38.2	82.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.5	38.5	71.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.7	36.8	76.5	+2.9	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.0	37.1	81.1	+6.9	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 79.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	17.3	52.7%	58.8%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	8.9	38.2%	31.5%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	24.0	18.0	75.0%	69.7%	18.0

They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.9	50.5%	58.8%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	8.0	34.6%	31.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	17.1	11.1	64.9%	69.7%	11.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	18.5	53.1%	58.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	8.9	37.4%	31.5%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.8	17.5	76.8%	69.7%	17.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	18.2	48.7%	58.8%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.2	34.6%	31.5%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.3	72.9%	69.7%	12.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lovcen Cetinje wins

Buducnost wins

Date	Game	Score
21/04/18	Buducnost v Lovcen Cetinje	93-67
18/04/17	Lovcen Cetinje v Buducnost	60-64
15/04/17	Buducnost v Lovcen Cetinje	79-69

Lovcen Cetinjelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/18	A	Ulcinj	97-84
30/04/18	A	Tivat	82-76
27/04/18	H	Mornar Bar	77-100
24/04/18	H	Sutjeska	75-85
21/04/18	A	Buducnost	67-93
18/04/18	H	Ulcinj	88-80
31/03/18	A	Ulcinj	85-92
28/03/18	A	Bosna	100-85
24/03/18	H	Studentski Centar	110-80
21/03/18	H	Split	79-56

Buducnostlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/18	A	Sutjeska	79-71
30/04/18	A	Ulcinj	97-71
27/04/18	H	Tivat	82-56
24/04/18	A	Mornar Bar	85-83
21/04/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	93-67
18/04/18	H	Sutjeska	76-68
14/04/18	H	Crvena zvezda	77-73
13/04/18	H	Crvena zvezda	78-77
10/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	59-69
09/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lovcen Cetinje

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	77%
Home	WWWLL	82%
Away	WLLWW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	77%	82%	73%
Points / game	83.5	87.1	80.0
Allowed / game	74.4	75.8	73.0
Point differential	+9.1	+11.3	+7.0
Avg total	158.0	162.9	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	55%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

Buducnost

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.3	83.7	87.0
Allowed / game	69.3	63.7	75.0
Point differential	+16.0	+20.0	+12.0
Avg total	154.7	147.3	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	6	6	0	100%	85.3	69.3	+16.0
2	Lovcen Cetinje	22	17	5	77%	83.5	74.4	+9.1
3	Sutjeska	22	15	7	68%	82.5	71.3	+11.2
4	Mornar Bar	6	4	2	67%	85.5	76.2	+9.3
5	Ulcinj	22	14	8	64%	84.9	76.8	+8.1
6	Tivat	22	12	10	55%	81.9	75.0	+7.0
7	Strsljen	2	1	1	50%	86.5	87.5	-1.0
8	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
9	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
11	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
12	Studentski Centar	18	3	15	17%	70.3	85.3	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lovcen Cetinje	20	21	18	19	78
Buducnost	22	21	24	28	95

← all games of the day

Lovcen Cetinje vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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