Lovcen Cetinje vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 77-100

22-17 25-27 15-37 15-19

Position#4

Record15-4

FormWLWLL

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game72.5

Lovcen Cetinje

Mornar Bar 🏆

Position#1

Record2-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game89.3

Allowed / game79.7

Prva A LigaRound 4

Other2017-18

Meetings · Lovcen Cetinje v Mornar Bar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Danilovgrad

79-63

+16

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Tivat

90-86

A13/03

ABA League 2

Tivat

78-71

A17/03

Prva A Liga

Split

79-56

+23

H21/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

#12

110-80

110

+30

H24/03

Prva A Liga

Bosna

#11

100-85

100

+15

A28/03

ABA League 2

Ulcinj

85-92

-7

A31/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

88-80

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

67-93

-26

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

75-85

-10

H24/04

Prva A Liga

20-10

16-15

24-16

19-22

17-21

26-13

18-28

29-24

19-24

25-23

9-14

25-10

21-12

21-8

16-14

21-22

29-17

22-28

25-18

34-17

26-27

29-16

24-21

21-21

25-26

22-26

14-22

24-18

33-19

15-20

20-22

20-19

18-17

17-20

18-27

14-29

26-25

15-21

15-16

19-23

164.2Avg total

85.1Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	83.3	72.5	155.7	+10.8	79%
Season at home (10)	88.1	73.4	161.5	+14.7	90%
Season away (9)	77.9	71.4	149.3	+6.4	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	79.1	164.2	+6.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	87.0	170.0	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	67.0	93.0	160.0	-26.0	0%
vs Similar (15)	79.5	77.3	156.9	+2.2	60%
vs Weaker (14)	84.7	71.3	156.0	+13.4	86%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MZT Skopje

#12

106-75

106

+31

H11/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

90-63

+27

H14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

63-91

-28

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

73-67

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

88-84

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

74-101

101

-27

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

69-88

-19

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

105-82

105

+23

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

80-72

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

83-85

-2

H24/04

Prva A Liga

29-13

21-28

29-17

27-17

24-14

19-19

30-16

17-14

14-22

8-19

27-23

14-27

18-10

19-30

15-12

21-15

30-21

18-24

21-19

19-20

20-25

14-27

20-18

20-31

19-26

18-26

19-16

13-20

27-25

28-22

22-19

28-16

23-19

19-24

18-13

20-16

20-24

17-21

24-14

22-26

163.9Avg total

83.1Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	89.3	79.7	169.0	+9.7	67%
Season at home (2)	94.0	83.5	177.5	+10.5	50%
Season away (1)	80.0	72.0	152.0	+8.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	80.8	163.9	+2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	85.6	167.8	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	75.8	83.8	159.6	-7.9	50%
vs Similar (10)	88.3	82.8	171.1	+5.5	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	85.5	75.8	161.2	+9.8	75%

This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Lovcen CetinjeMornar Bar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.6	17.7	40.3	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	15.9	39.9	+8.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	19.8	43.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.8	48.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.6	20.5	44.2	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.1	15.1	37.1	+7.0	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	23.2	41.7	-4.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.8	45.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.8	19.9	41.6	+1.9	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.6	18.7	37.2	-0.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.8	36.1	+0.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.9	18.1	38.1	+1.8	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	24.6	44.5	-4.6	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	24.0	42.1	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.8	24.2	41.0	-7.5	8%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.9	21.9	44.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.8	25%	-

Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Danilovgrad

36-25

+11

H10/03

Prva A Liga

Tivat

43-34

A13/03

ABA League 2

Tivat

44-47

-3

A17/03

Prva A Liga

Split

42-20

+22

H21/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

#12

51-45

H24/03

Prva A Liga

Bosna

#11

55-43

+12

A28/03

ABA League 2

Ulcinj

47-52

-5

A31/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

48-39

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

35-37

-2

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-46

-5

H24/04

Prva A Liga

83.0Avg total

44.2Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.2	36.4	77.6	+4.9	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	33.7	76.1	+8.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	39.0	79.1	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	38.8	83.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	43.4	88.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.8	39.7	80.5	+1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.0	33.2	75.2	+8.8	79%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MZT Skopje

#12

50-41

H11/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

43-33

+10

H14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

22-41

-19

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

37-40

-3

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

48-45

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

34-52

-18

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

37-52

-15

A02/04

ABA League

Tivat

55-47

H18/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

42-43

-1

A21/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

37-45

-8

H24/04

Prva A Liga

84.4Avg total

40.5Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	43.4	84.0	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	43.6	86.0	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	43.2	81.7	-4.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	43.9	84.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	47.8	88.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.7	45.8	83.4	-8.1	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.2	43.2	85.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.9	40.2	83.1	+2.6	50%	-

This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	19.5	38.8	-0.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	18.0	27.0	45.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	23%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.3	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.9	39.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	16.7	39.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.0	36.6	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.8	75%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	18.2	40.3	+3.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	14.0	29.0	43.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	17.8	37.1	+1.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.4	19.3	40.6	+2.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	19.8	39.1	-0.6	58%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.5	38.4	77.9	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	37.9	75.8	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.3	81.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	32.0	56.0	88.0	-24.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.3	37.9	75.2	-0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.0	37.6	79.6	+4.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	37.1	78.7	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	34.4	77.4	+8.7	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	40.1	80.1	-0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	36.9	79.5	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.8	79.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.2	38.0	76.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.9	37.2	82.1	+7.7	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.6	35.5	78.1	+7.1	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.3%	58.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.4	36.2%	31.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	69.7%	17.7

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.0	51.6%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.7	37.8%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.8	73.4%	69.7%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.1	52.0%	58.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.0%	31.5%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	69.9%	69.7%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.2%	58.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.6	36.1%	31.5%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.9	71.4%	69.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lovcen Cetinje wins

Mornar Bar wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/10	Lovcen Cetinje v Mornar Bar	84-76
18/03/10	Mornar Bar v Lovcen Cetinje	77-80

Lovcen Cetinjelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/18	H	Sutjeska	75-85
21/04/18	A	Buducnost	67-93
18/04/18	H	Ulcinj	88-80
31/03/18	A	Ulcinj	85-92
28/03/18	A	Bosna	100-85
24/03/18	H	Studentski Centar	110-80
21/03/18	H	Split	79-56
17/03/18	A	Tivat	78-71
13/03/18	A	Tivat	90-86
10/03/18	H	Danilovgrad	79-63

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/18	H	Buducnost	83-85
21/04/18	A	Ulcinj	80-72
18/04/18	H	Tivat	105-82
02/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	69-88
28/03/18	A	Donar Groningen	74-101
25/03/18	H	Crvena zvezda	88-84
21/03/18	H	Donar Groningen	73-67
18/03/18	A	Crvena zvezda	63-91
14/03/18	H	Oostende	90-63
11/03/18	H	MZT Skopje	106-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lovcen Cetinje

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	79%
Home	WWWWL	90%
Away	WWWLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	79%	90%	67%
Points / game	83.3	88.1	77.9
Allowed / game	72.5	73.4	71.4
Point differential	+10.8	+14.7	+6.4
Avg total	155.7	161.5	149.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	11%	10%	11%

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	WL	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	50%	100%
Points / game	89.3	94.0	80.0
Allowed / game	79.7	83.5	72.0
Point differential	+9.7	+10.5	+8.0
Avg total	169.0	177.5	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	3	3	0	100%	84.7	72.7	+12.0
2	Lovcen Cetinje	19	15	4	79%	83.3	72.5	+10.8
3	Sutjeska	20	14	6	70%	83.2	70.5	+12.7
4	Ulcinj	20	14	6	70%	85.7	74.8	+10.8
5	Mornar Bar	3	2	1	67%	89.3	79.7	+9.7
6	Tivat	19	12	7	63%	84.7	74.7	+10.1
7	Strsljen	2	1	1	50%	86.5	87.5	-1.0
8	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
9	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
10	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
11	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
12	Studentski Centar	18	3	15	17%	70.3	85.3	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lovcen Cetinje	22	25	15	15	77
Mornar Bar	17	27	37	19	100

← all games of the day

Lovcen Cetinje vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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