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Lovcen Cetinje vs Decic Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 87-79
Projected total 165.6
Scheduled
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game91.7
Vs
76%
24%
■ LOVC 76%■ DECI 24%
Pythia win probability
Position#12
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game85.3
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 4· Sportski Centar Cetinje
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lovcen Cetinje v Decic
15 Nov 2026
LOVC v DECI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LOVC87
DECI81
28 Oct 2024
LOVC83
DECI108
01 May 2024
LOVC100
DECI86
15 Dec 2022
LOVC94
DECI80
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Lovcen Cetinje host Decic on 15 November 2026 in the Prva A Liga, and the Pythia model names Lovcen Cetinje as the clear favourite, rating them 76% to win largely because both clubs sit at the bottom of the table with 0-3 records, but Lovcen Cetinje's 78.7 points per game and 91.7 allowed per game contrast with Decic's 67.0 points per game and 85.3 allowed per game. Lovcen Cetinje have gone 0-1 at home, scoring 71.0 points and conceding 79.0, while Decic have a 0-2 road record, 65.0 points per game and 90.0 allowed. In their last five outings Lovcen Cetinje have lost all five, including a 71-79 defeat at home to Mornar Bar, whereas Decic have won two of their last five, though their most recent loss was 50-94 to Vukovi Zeta. The teams are even in head-to-head history, 4-4, with the last meeting ending 87-81 in favour of Lovcen Cetinje on 7 March 2026. Pythia projects a 87-79 score for Lovcen Cetinje, a total of 165.6 points, and a 52% chance the game will go over the 164.5 line; the model also assigns a 4% probability of overtime. The last game for Lovcen Cetinje was a 88-109 loss to Sutjeska on 6 November 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje win
75.5%fair 1.32
Best odds1.44
Implied66.0%
Edge+9.6pp
Decic win
24.5%fair 4.08
Best odds2.79
Implied34.0%
Edge-9.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCetinje
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 70
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
90-66
90
66
+24
90avg 70
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
65-72
65
72
-7
59avg 70
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
87-59
87
59
+28
92avg 70
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
59-81
59
81
-22
43avg 70
H03/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
74-99
74
99
-25
68avg 70
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
79-109
79
109
-30
71avg 70
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
A27/10
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
H02/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
88-109
88
109
-21
no box
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
32-22
15-20
23-17
18-20
23-8
23-19
26-19
20-20
24-20
7-16
14-16
27-18
17-16
18-18
25-7
14-13
20-20
15-18
10-30
13-22
23-28
18-25
20-24
21-29
10-25
22-27
26-28
17-24
19-21
27-16
14-26
20-19
22-21
11-30
18-9
19-28
31-25
18-25
20-31
161.2Avg total
77.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.791.7170.3-13.00%
Season at home (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Season away (2)82.598.0180.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)77.883.4161.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)77.896.6174.4-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.393.1166.4-19.80%
vs Similar (11)81.771.1152.8+10.682%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.374.0153.3+5.370%
This opponent (Decic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecic
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
106avg 85
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 85
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
104-84
104
84
+20
103avg 85
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
103-125
103
125
-22
98avg 85
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 85
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 85
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
111avg 85
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
50-94
50
94
-44
no box
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
31-14
25-18
17-25
16-22
19-24
20-23
26-18
30-20
23-12
27-26
24-26
21-30
27-27
29-26
26-42
18-18
23-20
20-23
24-23
30-30
22-18
28-16
15-25
19-18
22-32
26-22
28-23
16-15
21-22
21-19
13-20
25-18
19-23
14-18
22-27
17-21
6-22
11-24
16-27
178.2Avg total
87.1Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.085.3152.3-18.30%
Season at home (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Season away (2)65.090.0155.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)87.191.1178.2-4.050%
Last 5 (5)80.489.8170.2-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.390.3172.5-8.033%
vs Similar (13)87.590.0177.5-2.538%
vs Weaker (2)91.590.0181.5+1.550%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
63.9%
Under 159.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5 · main line
Over 164.5
52.0%
@ 1.83+0.9pp
Under 164.5
48.0%
@ 1.91-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.91
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
40.0%
@ 2.30-0.3pp
Under 169.5
60.0%
@ 1.55+0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.55

📊 3. Team Totals

Lovcen Cetinje total 81.5
Over 81.5
69.7%
@ 1.44+5.9pp
Under 81.5
30.3%
@ 2.54-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.54
Lovcen Cetinje total 85.5 · main line
Over 85.5
54.8%
@ 1.80+3.3pp
Under 85.5
45.2%
@ 1.91-3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.91
Lovcen Cetinje total 89.5
Over 89.5
39.1%
@ 2.34-0.2pp
Under 89.5
60.9%
@ 1.51+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.51
Decic total 74.5
Over 74.5
66.0%
@ 1.44+2.2pp
Under 74.5
34.0%
@ 2.54-2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.54
Decic total 78.5 · main line
Over 78.5
50.9%
@ 1.80-0.6pp
Under 78.5
49.1%
@ 1.91+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.91
Decic total 82.5
Over 82.5
35.7%
@ 2.35-3.4pp
Under 82.5
64.3%
@ 1.51+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.51

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lovcen Cetinje -3
LOVC -3
68.4%
DECI +3
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
LOVC
No market prices yet.
DECI
No market prices yet.
Spread Lovcen Cetinje 0
LOVC 0
75.5%
DECI 0
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
LOVC
No market prices yet.
DECI
No market prices yet.
Spread Lovcen Cetinje +3
LOVC +3
82.2%
DECI -3
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
LOVC
No market prices yet.
DECI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
Lovcen CetinjeDecic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H03/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/10
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H02/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A06/11
Prva A Liga
82.1Avg total
40.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)40.639.980.5+0.757%43%
Last 30 at home (14)40.537.878.3+2.764%29%
Last 30 away (16)40.841.882.5-1.050%56%
Last 10 (10)40.841.382.1-0.560%50%
Last 5 (5)39.048.487.4-9.420%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.345.382.7-8.033%56%
vs Similar (11)43.436.880.2+6.564%45%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.638.479.0+2.270%30%
This opponent (Decic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A08/11
Prva A Liga
85.9Avg total
42.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)41.744.686.3-2.940%60%
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.184.3+2.057%57%
Last 30 away (16)40.447.688.0-7.225%62%
Last 10 (10)42.843.185.9-0.350%60%
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.643.683.2-4.027%40%
vs Similar (13)42.545.487.8-2.946%77%
vs Weaker (2)52.047.099.0+5.0100%100%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Lovcen Cetinje 1st half total 42.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Decic 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Over/Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.68
Under
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.17
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under
no forecast
@ 2.38
1st half Over/Under 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.52
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
LOVC
no forecast
@ 1.55
Draw
no forecast
@ 13.00
DECI
no forecast
@ 2.60

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Lovcen Cetinje (regulation)73.1%1.45
1xBet
1.45
----+11.4pp
Lovcen Cetinje win75.5%1.44
1xBet
1.44
----+9.6pp
🔒 Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.317.4
59.4%
58.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.6
32.1%
31.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
69.7%12.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decic: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.624.8
67.8%
58.8%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.1
30.1%
31.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.8
72.8%
69.7%15.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lovcen Cetinje
LLLLLLWLWW
Decic
LLLWWWLWLW
#11
League position
#12
+3.1
Net rating
-1.6
112.2
Offensive rating
116.6
109.0
Defensive rating
118.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
57.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
30.1%
62.9%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 116.6Defence109.0 · 118.2Shooting53.5% · 57.6%3-point %32.1% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Lovcen Cetinje   ■ Decic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lovcen Cetinje wins
4
Decic wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Lovcen Cetinje v Decic87-81
06/12/25Decic v Lovcen Cetinje88-76
08/02/25Decic v Lovcen Cetinje89-85
28/10/24Lovcen Cetinje v Decic83-108
01/05/24Lovcen Cetinje v Decic100-86
10/02/24Decic v Lovcen Cetinje68-79
30/03/23Decic v Lovcen Cetinje99-86
15/12/22Lovcen Cetinje v Decic94-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ASutjeska88-109
02/11/26HMornar Bar71-79
27/10/26AStudentski Centar77-87
18/04/26ASutjeska79-109
11/04/26HSutjeska74-99
03/04/26HSutjeska59-81
28/03/26AKotor87-59
21/03/26ADanilovgrad65-72
16/03/26HMornar Bar90-66
11/03/26AJedinstvo88-73
Deciclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AVukovi Zeta50-94
01/11/26AJedinstvo80-86
25/10/26HDanilovgrad71-76
04/04/26HIbar Rozaje106-104 OT
28/03/26AUlcinj95-89
21/03/26HPodgorica85-84
14/03/26ASutjeska103-125
10/03/26HKotor104-84
07/03/26ALovcen Cetinje81-87
14/02/26HMornar Bar96-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.771.082.5
Allowed / game91.779.098.0
Point differential-13.0-8.0-15.5
Avg total170.3150.0180.5
Over 164.533%0%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Decic
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.071.065.0
Allowed / game85.376.090.0
Point differential-18.3-5.0-25.0
Avg total152.3147.0155.0
Over 164.533%0%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
11 Lovcen Cetinje3030%78.791.7-13.0
12 Decic3030%67.085.3-18.3
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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