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Decic vs Ibar Rozaje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 106-104 (OT)
19-18 22-32 26-22 28-23 11-9
Position#10
Record10-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game90.3
Decic 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Position#14
Record9-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.6
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 26· SMS Golubovci
Other2025-26
Meetings · Decic v Ibar Rozaje
04 Apr 2026
DECI106
IBAR104
05 Apr 2025
DECI84
IBAR77
27 Mar 2024
DECI84
IBAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Decic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ibar Rozaje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Decic
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.9
93.6▲ 6.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.0
93.8▲ 3.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
61%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.3
21.0▲ 0.7
🔥 Form · Ibar Rozaje
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.3
83.0▲ 5.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.1
93.2▲ 10.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
55%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.1
13.6▼ 0.5
DecicMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-115
76
115
-39
H03/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
103-125
103
125
-22
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-18
24-27
31-25
22-23
26-30
6-38
22-24
21-22
26-34
20-19
15-21
25-25
14-25
32-23
16-29
23-25
31-14
25-18
17-25
16-22
19-24
20-23
26-18
30-20
23-12
27-26
24-26
21-30
27-27
29-26
26-42
18-18
23-20
20-23
24-23
30-30
22-18
28-16
15-25
185.2Avg total
90.1Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.590.3176.8-3.840%
Season at home (12)86.885.9172.7+0.858%
Season away (13)86.394.4180.7-8.123%
Last 10 (10)90.195.1185.2-5.050%
Last 5 (5)93.693.8187.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)85.191.6176.7-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.589.1175.6-2.536%
vs Weaker (4)93.588.2181.8+5.275%
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibar RozajeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
74-108
74
108
-34
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
67-102
67
102
-35
A25/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
104-107 OT
104
107
-3
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
15-14
12-23
11-16
13-17
19-20
18-15
15-33
26-25
21-29
11-26
16-28
17-17
24-18
13-22
13-24
26-17
16-16
23-22
24-26
16-23
20-19
14-15
18-17
19-23
22-16
13-23
14-22
24-12
32-35
24-27
28-25
16-27
12-26
28-21
11-28
18-27
21-19
25-22
28-24
166.4Avg total
76.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.383.6160.9-6.436%
Season at home (13)82.580.3162.8+2.254%
Season away (12)71.687.2158.8-15.717%
Last 10 (10)76.889.6166.4-12.820%
Last 5 (5)83.093.2176.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.187.7163.8-11.617%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.378.0157.3+1.360%
vs Weaker (2)74.574.5149.0+0.050%
This opponent (Decic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -6.5-6.5
DecicIbar Rozaje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DecicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A28/03
Prva A Liga
90.8Avg total
45.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.488.1-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.784.8+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.649.491.0-7.919%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.490.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.290.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.944.785.6-3.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.545.487.8-2.945%-
vs Weaker (4)50.248.098.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A25/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H29/03
Prva A Liga
81.9Avg total
39.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.378.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.038.377.3+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.379.5-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.281.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.485.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.442.979.3-6.628%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.437.477.8+3.060%-
vs Weaker (2)41.531.072.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Decic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Decictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decic: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.724.2
67.9%
58.8%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.68.8
28.7%
31.5%26.3
🏀 Free throws22.316.4
73.6%
69.7%16.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ibar Rozajetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibar Rozaje: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.3
54.4%
58.8%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.310.1
30.3%
31.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.3
70.9%
69.7%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Decic
WWLWLWLLLW
Ibar Rozaje
LLWLLWLLLL
#10
League position
#14
-2.1
Net rating
-12.7
116.0
Offensive rating
104.3
118.1
Defensive rating
117.0
56.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.7%
3-point %
30.3%
61.6%
Assist %
51.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 104.3Defence118.1 · 117.0Shooting56.5% · 49.8%3-point %28.7% · 30.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Decic   ■ Ibar Rozaje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Decic wins
4
Ibar Rozaje wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Ibar Rozaje v Decic91-82
05/04/25Decic v Ibar Rozaje84-77
11/12/24Ibar Rozaje v Decic80-74
27/03/24Decic v Ibar Rozaje84-92
28/12/23Ibar Rozaje v Decic94-90
03/12/22Ibar Rozaje v Decic0-20
Deciclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26AUlcinj95-89
21/03/26HPodgorica85-84
14/03/26ASutjeska103-125
10/03/26HKotor104-84
07/03/26ALovcen Cetinje81-87
14/02/26HMornar Bar96-82
11/02/26AJedinstvo87-102
07/02/26ADanilovgrad82-96
03/02/26HSutjeska76-115
31/01/26HPrimorje92-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HPrimorje104-107 OT
25/03/26AStudentski Centar67-102
16/03/26HTivat108-99
11/03/26AVukovi Zeta68-84
07/03/26HDanilovgrad68-74
14/02/26HUlcinj89-81
11/02/26APodgorica67-81
07/02/26ASutjeska74-108
31/01/26AKotor65-85
24/01/26HLovcen Cetinje58-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Decic
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game86.586.886.3
Allowed / game90.385.994.4
Point differential-3.8+0.8-8.1
Avg total176.8172.7180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (8)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Ibar Rozaje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%54%17%
Points / game77.382.571.6
Allowed / game83.680.387.2
Point differential-6.4+2.2-15.7
Avg total160.9162.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2621581%98.081.2+16.9
2 Primorje2519676%92.683.4+9.2
3 Mornar Bar2517868%86.082.5+3.5
4 Lovcen Cetinje2617965%78.875.2+3.6
5 Jedinstvo26151158%87.085.5+1.5
6 Podgorica25141156%81.077.9+3.1
7 Kotor25111444%78.181.6-3.5
8 Studentski Centar26111542%81.582.7-1.3
9 Decic25101540%86.590.3-3.8
10 Danilovgrad25101540%80.285.2-5.1
11 Tivat26101638%89.493.7-4.3
12 Vukovi Zeta2591636%82.686.0-3.3
13 Ibar Rozaje2591636%77.383.6-6.4
14 Ulcinj2652119%78.488.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Decic1922262811106
Ibar Rozaje183222239104
← all games of the day
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