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Lovcen Cetinje vs Ulcinj Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-75
18-13 14-20 27-23 22-19
Position#5
Record8-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#15
Record5-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 15
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lovcen Cetinje v Ulcinj
17 Jan 2026
LOVC81
ULCI75
11 May 2019
LOVC108
ULCI88
23 Feb 2019
LOVC83
ULCI75
18 Apr 2018
LOVC88
ULCI80
23 Dec 2017
LOVC76
ULCI69
21 Mar 2017
LOVC83
ULCI62
24 Dec 2016
LOVC74
ULCI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulcinj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCetinje
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
94-69
94
69
+25
92avg 66
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
77-64
77
64
+13
69avg 66
A17/11
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
61-85
61
85
-24
40avg 66
H24/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 66
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
74avg 66
H14/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
70-75
70
75
-5
61avg 66
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
52avg 66
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 66
A03/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
66avg 66
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
63avg 66
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
22-22
25-16
27-14
18-23
22-19
14-5
23-17
10-23
14-21
26-18
11-23
25-22
10-31
24-12
17-23
21-25
27-23
26-21
11-19
24-20
22-16
12-21
12-18
19-11
19-13
10-20
21-28
19-21
26-24
24-16
10-16
22-32
19-16
21-26
13-28
16-15
15-20
15-14
23-14
153.8Avg total
75.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.676.6153.1+0.057%
Season at home (7)76.977.0153.9-0.143%
Season away (7)76.376.1152.4+0.171%
Last 10 (10)75.578.3153.8-2.840%
Last 5 (5)72.477.8150.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.886.1157.9-14.28%
vs Similar (10)76.271.4147.6+4.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)76.873.5150.2+3.262%
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlcinjMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlcinj
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
69avg 70
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
72avg 70
A15/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
68-60
68
60
+8
no box
H22/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 70
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
48avg 70
H09/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 70
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A17/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 70
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 70
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 70
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
17-13
17-18
28-28
17-13
23-22
23-18
16-12
17-23
12-18
20-10
19-9
16-30
29-23
14-26
28-20
20-18
20-32
10-19
22-16
24-17
28-30
21-22
15-20
21-28
13-23
17-18
30-18
23-25
23-27
22-21
23-15
32-22
18-26
19-19
26-22
13-21
24-26
21-21
24-19
165.5Avg total
82.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.982.0160.9-3.136%
Season at home (7)78.181.6159.7-3.429%
Season away (7)79.782.4162.1-2.743%
Last 10 (10)82.583.0165.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)87.488.0175.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.085.5163.6-7.523%
vs Similar (3)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (5)92.271.6163.8+20.6100%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
Lovcen CetinjeUlcinj
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/11
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H24/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H14/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
Prva A Liga
80.4Avg total
39.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.378.0-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.076.5+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.579.6-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.480.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.943.078.9-7.125%-
vs Similar (10)40.336.576.8+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.440.978.2-3.538%-
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H22/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H09/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A17/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H10/01
Prva A Liga
86.9Avg total
41.0Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.582.0-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.980.4+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.544.183.5-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.986.9-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.849.092.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.744.583.2-5.927%-
vs Similar (3)39.337.376.7+2.033%-
vs Weaker (5)49.030.679.6+18.4100%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.316.3
55.7%
58.8%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.7
31.7%
31.5%26.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
69.7%15.7
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulcinj: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.5
55.2%
58.8%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.5
28.9%
31.5%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.519.0
84.4%
69.7%19.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lovcen Cetinje
WLWLLLLLWW
Ulcinj
LWWLLLLWWW
#5
League position
#15
-9.1
Net rating
+0.6
106.9
Offensive rating
113.1
116.0
Defensive rating
112.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
28.9%
64.0%
Assist %
54.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 113.1Defence116.0 · 112.5Shooting51.8% · 51.9%3-point %31.7% · 28.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Lovcen Cetinje   ■ Ulcinj
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Lovcen Cetinje wins
1
Ulcinj wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26APodgorica69-63
05/01/26ASutjeska75-102
03/01/26AMornar Bar79-77
28/12/25HKotor69-72
23/12/25HDanilovgrad70-75
14/12/25HJedinstvo85-88
06/12/25ADecic76-88
24/11/25HPrimorje61-85
17/11/25AStudentski Centar77-64
08/11/25HTivat94-69
Ulcinjlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HMornar Bar82-87
05/01/26HJedinstvo95-89
27/12/25ADecic91-88
17/12/25AStudentski Centar81-87
13/12/25HTivat88-89
09/12/25HPrimorje72-85
06/12/25AVukovi Zeta87-99
22/11/25HIbar Rozaje68-60
15/11/25ADanilovgrad79-65
08/11/25APodgorica82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLLLL43%
AwayWLWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%43%71%
Points / game76.676.976.3
Allowed / game76.677.076.1
Point differential+0.0-0.1+0.1
Avg total153.1153.9152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulcinj
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game78.978.179.7
Allowed / game82.081.682.4
Point differential-3.1-3.4-2.7
Avg total160.9159.7162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1513287%92.379.9+12.4
2 Jedinstvo1512380%88.482.9+5.5
3 Sutjeska139469%92.880.9+11.8
4 Mornar Bar149564%82.177.9+4.1
5 Kotor148657%79.879.7+0.1
6 Lovcen Cetinje148657%76.676.6+0.0
7 Ibar Rozaje147750%78.078.9-0.9
8 Decic145936%84.686.6-2.1
9 Podgorica145936%78.280.5-2.3
10 Ulcinj145936%78.982.0-3.1
11 Studentski Centar145936%78.185.4-7.4
12 Tivat1551033%87.795.5-7.7
13 Vukovi Zeta1441029%83.587.3-3.8
14 Danilovgrad1441029%80.787.4-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lovcen Cetinje1814272281
Ulcinj1320231975
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