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Dayton vs N. Carolina Central Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-55
44-20 30-35
Position#65
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game69.2
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#258
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game82.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
N. Carolina Central winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
68-73 OT
68
73
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
88-48
88
48
+40
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-41
0-0
47-26
0-0
28-27
0-0
51-49
0-0
24-33
0-0
36-27
0-0
44-38
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-42
0-0
38-45
0-0
51-27
0-0
37-21
0-0
41-37
0-0
36-34
0-0
26-33
0-0
36-41
0-0
45-39
0-0
46-43
0-0
39-34
0-0
29-34
150.3Avg total
77.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.069.2148.2+9.880%
Season at home (3)85.367.0152.3+18.3100%
Season away (2)69.572.5142.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)77.572.8150.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)79.069.2148.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.076.8150.8-2.850%
vs Similar (16)70.371.1141.4-0.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.268.2149.4+13.089%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#64
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A14/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A15/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
66-114
66
114
-48
A04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Bluefield State
#429
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H13/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
53-97
53
97
-44
A15/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#592
W
123-67
123
67
+56
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
38-40
27-43
44-44
35-31
44-46
25-54
42-34
26-54
40-60
25-42
37-39
18-38
36-38
40-33
37-28
24-39
29-58
64-35
59-32
157.8Avg total
74.3Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.582.7155.2-10.233%
Season at home (2)100.064.0164.0+36.0100%
Season away (4)58.892.0150.8-33.20%
Last 10 (10)74.383.5157.8-9.240%
Last 5 (5)73.876.4150.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.387.6156.9-18.222%
vs Similar (9)74.481.1155.6-6.733%
vs Weaker (12)84.368.9153.2+15.467%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
DaytonN. Carolina Central
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.966.8+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.331.764.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (12)34.834.769.5+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.171.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.074.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.834.267.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (16)30.832.963.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.931.670.4+7.367%-
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#64
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A14/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A15/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A08/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A09/11
NCAA
Bluefield State
#429
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#592
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H19/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
32.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.571.1+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.831.674.4+11.269%-
Last 30 away (17)30.138.468.5-8.324%-
Last 10 (10)32.240.572.7-8.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.471.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)28.742.471.1-13.811%-
vs Similar (9)33.334.267.6-0.944%-
vs Weaker (12)42.531.273.7+11.367%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
N. Carolina Central wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25AMarquette77-71 OT
16/11/25HBethune-Cookman91-82
12/11/25ACincinnati62-74
08/11/25HUMBC Retrievers77-71
04/11/25HCanisius88-48
22/03/25AChattanooga Mocs72-87
19/03/25HFlorida Atlantic86-79
14/03/25HSaint Josephs Hawks68-73 OT
08/03/25AVCU Rams79-76
05/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens75-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HToccoa Falls123-67
15/11/25ANorth Carolina53-97
13/11/25HBluefield State77-61
09/11/25AAppalachian State54-76
08/11/25AVirginia62-81
04/11/25ANC State66-114
15/03/25ASouth Carolina St67-88
14/03/25ADelaware State79-77
07/03/25ASouth Carolina St71-87
04/03/25HNorfolk State91-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game79.085.369.5
Allowed / game69.267.072.5
Point differential+9.8+18.3-3.0
Avg total148.2152.3142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.5100.058.8
Allowed / game82.764.092.0
Point differential-10.2+36.0-33.2
Avg total155.2164.0150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens550100%95.668.6+27.0
2 George Washington550100%91.666.8+24.8
3 Richmond Spiders440100%87.067.0+20.0
4 George Mason550100%78.459.8+18.6
5 Davidson550100%78.864.6+14.2
6 St. Bonaventure550100%78.468.0+10.4
7 Rhode Island54180%80.867.8+13.0
8 Dayton54180%79.069.2+9.8
9 Duquesne54180%86.277.8+8.4
10 Fordham64267%77.760.2+17.5
11 VCU Rams42250%84.275.0+9.2
12 La Salle52340%69.472.4-3.0
13 Saint Josephs Hawks52340%75.883.4-7.6
14 Loyola Chicago61517%69.779.3-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State63350%75.863.8+12.0
2 Howard52340%74.472.0+2.4
3 N. Carolina Central62433%72.582.7-10.2
4 Delaware State62433%61.872.2-10.3
5 Md.-East. Shore72529%60.072.0-12.0
6 Coppin State72529%67.780.0-12.3
7 Morgan State61517%75.283.0-7.8
8 South Carolina St5050%61.287.4-26.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton443074
N. Carolina Central203555
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