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LSU vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-105
32-60 43-45
Position#80
Record10-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#19
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · LSU v Alabama
21 Feb 2026
LSU83
ALAB90
10 Feb 2024
LSU92
ALAB109
04 Feb 2023
LSU69
ALAB79
05 Mar 2022
LSU80
ALAB77
19 Jan 2021
LSU75
ALAB105
29 Jan 2020
LSU90
ALAB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#304
W
96-43
96
43
+53
H01/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#30
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H14/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#51
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H26/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#117
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H14/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-18
46-25
43-24
43-31
45-37
43-29
44-39
42-41
41-27
36-27
40-40
–
42-42
38-38
39-21
36-40
51-31
41-45
34-38
51-42
154.8Avg total
85.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.171.3157.4+14.883%
Season at home (9)88.769.7158.3+19.0100%
Season away (3)78.376.3154.7+2.033%
Last 10 (10)85.869.0154.8+16.890%
Last 5 (5)85.078.4163.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.877.5158.3+3.353%
vs Weaker (14)83.872.3156.1+11.593%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H13/12
NCAA
Furman
#98
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#35
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H19/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A02/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
85-65
85
65
+20
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
26-30
37-47
46-33
32-33
39-40
36-35
49-34
43-34
39-30
31-29
40-34
39-32
47-39
37-36
57-54
42-30
43-35
42-19
48-40
150.1Avg total
80.3Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.170.1150.3+10.079%
Season at home (11)79.369.5148.7+9.873%
Season away (3)83.372.7156.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)80.369.8150.1+10.580%
Last 5 (5)85.269.6154.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.574.3153.7+5.260%
vs Weaker (15)81.675.7157.3+5.967%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +6.5+6.5
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +6.5+6.5
LSUAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#304
W
50-18
50
18
+32
H01/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#30
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#51
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H26/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#117
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H14/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/01
NCAA
74.6Avg total
42.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.634.073.6+5.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.731.572.2+9.267%-
Last 30 away (12)37.837.875.7+0.042%-
Last 10 (10)42.931.774.6+11.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.475.6+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.035.072.0+2.047%-
vs Weaker (14)41.533.274.7+8.364%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#78
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H16/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#35
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H19/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A02/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H16/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.434.672.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.534.171.7+3.460%-
Last 30 away (10)37.035.572.5+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.969.8+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.229.267.4+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.734.572.1+3.260%-
vs Weaker (15)37.134.771.8+2.360%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LSU wins
1
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
15/02/20Alabama v LSU88-82
30/01/20LSU v Alabama90-76
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/21HSouth Carolina85-80
14/01/21HArkansas92-76
10/01/21AOle Miss75-61
07/01/21HGeorgia94-92 OT
02/01/21AFlorida79-83
30/12/20HTexas A&M77-54
26/12/20HNicholls State86-80
14/12/20HSam Houston St.88-66
06/12/20HLouisiana Tech86-55
01/12/20HSE Louisiana96-43
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HArkansas90-59
13/01/21AKentucky85-65
09/01/21AAuburn94-90
06/01/21HFlorida86-71
02/01/21ATennessee71-63
30/12/20HOle Miss82-64
23/12/20HEast Tennessee St85-69
19/12/20HWestern Kentucky71-73
16/12/20HFurman83-80
13/12/20HClemson56-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %83%100%33%
Points / game86.188.778.3
Allowed / game71.369.776.3
Point differential+14.8+19.0+2.0
Avg total157.4158.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%11%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %79%73%100%
Points / game80.179.383.3
Allowed / game70.169.572.7
Point differential+10.0+9.8+10.7
Avg total150.3148.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas1311285%76.265.2+11.1
2 Tennessee1210283%74.858.7+16.2
3 LSU1210283%86.171.3+14.8
4 Missouri119282%72.466.6+5.7
5 Alabama1411379%80.170.1+10.0
6 Arkansas1410471%85.270.6+14.6
7 Oklahoma128467%77.766.8+10.8
8 Georgia128467%79.874.8+4.9
9 Mississippi St.149564%73.566.3+7.2
10 Florida117464%76.569.0+7.5
11 Texas A&M127558%64.064.7-0.7
12 Auburn148657%76.472.9+3.5
13 Ole Miss126650%71.863.9+7.8
14 South Carolina73443%72.072.0+0.0
15 Vanderbilt104640%72.771.7+1.0
16 Kentucky124833%67.468.5-1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU324375
Alabama6045105
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