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LSU vs Missouri Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-81
47-34 29-47
Position#264
Record13-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#56
Record21-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · LSU v Missouri
17 Jan 2026
LSU78
MISS70
09 Mar 2024
LSU84
MISS80
01 Mar 2023
LSU76
MISS81
10 Mar 2022
LSU76
MISS68
26 Feb 2022
LSU75
MISS55
11 Feb 2020
LSU82
MISS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A25/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H04/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H12/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
14-38
26-22
33-41
35-35
35-48
42-39
37-44
32-35
22-25
31-39
17-41
45-33
28-26
35-39
31-36
42-46
39-32
45-45
26-35
43-47
140.4Avg total
65.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)67.270.0137.2-2.845%
Season at home (18)69.468.6137.9+0.861%
Season away (11)63.572.4135.9-8.818%
Last 10 (10)65.874.6140.4-8.810%
Last 5 (5)70.276.0146.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)62.971.0133.9-8.128%
vs Similar (10)74.367.0141.3+7.380%
vs Weaker (2)63.570.5134.0-7.00%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#292
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H28/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A04/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H18/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
66-64 OT
66
64
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-41
42-36
42-32
36-29
48-35
39-42
27-33
25-30
42-37
41-37
44-32
42-53
18-45
38-44
25-39
35-30
31-34
26-23
40-41
45-22
146.4Avg total
74.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.074.7154.7+5.372%
Season at home (19)84.274.2158.4+10.184%
Season away (10)72.075.6147.6-3.650%
Last 10 (10)74.272.2146.4+2.070%
Last 5 (5)70.674.0144.6-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.782.0154.7-9.333%
vs Similar (18)76.877.1153.8-0.361%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.667.6155.1+20.0100%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.4-8.41st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.3+2.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.4-8.41st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.3+2.3
LSUMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
L
14-38
14
38
-24
A25/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A02/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
17-41
17
41
-24
H12/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A15/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A26/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
28.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.033.264.2-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.430.562.9+1.958%-
Last 30 away (11)28.637.866.5-9.218%-
Last 10 (10)28.236.664.8-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)28.234.062.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.936.465.3-7.528%-
vs Similar (10)36.128.164.2+8.080%-
vs Weaker (2)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#292
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H28/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A04/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A11/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H18/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
36.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.473.5+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.134.775.8+6.463%-
Last 30 away (11)33.136.569.5-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.973.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.269.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.736.368.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (18)36.735.672.2+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.334.778.0+8.778%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
LSU wins
1
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
02/02/23Missouri v LSU87-77
10/03/22LSU v Missouri76-68
27/02/22LSU v Missouri75-55
06/03/21Missouri v LSU80-86
12/02/20LSU v Missouri82-78
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23AOle Miss69-82
23/02/23HVanderbilt84-77
18/02/23HSouth Carolina73-82
15/02/23AGeorgia63-65
12/02/23HTexas A&M62-74
09/02/23AMississippi St.53-64
04/02/23HAlabama69-79
02/02/23AMissouri77-87
28/01/23HTexas Tech68-76
25/01/23AArkansas40-60
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AGeorgia85-63
22/02/23HMississippi St.66-64 OT
18/02/23HTexas A&M60-69
15/02/23AAuburn56-89
11/02/23ATennessee86-85
08/02/23HSouth Carolina83-74
04/02/23AMississippi St.52-63
02/02/23HLSU87-77
28/01/23HIowa State78-61
25/01/23AOle Miss89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLLLW61%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %45%61%18%
Points / game67.269.463.5
Allowed / game70.068.672.4
Point differential-2.8+0.8-8.8
Avg total137.2137.9135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWWWLW84%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %72%84%50%
Points / game80.084.272.0
Allowed / game74.774.275.6
Point differential+5.3+10.1-3.6
Avg total154.7158.4147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3026487%83.669.6+13.9
2 Texas2922776%79.268.8+10.4
3 Tennessee3022873%71.956.7+15.2
4 Texas A&M3022873%73.565.7+7.8
5 Missouri2921872%80.074.7+5.3
6 Kentucky30201067%74.767.3+7.4
7 Arkansas30191163%74.766.5+8.1
8 Auburn30191163%72.566.7+5.8
9 Mississippi St.30191163%65.560.5+5.0
10 Vanderbilt30171357%71.971.7+0.2
11 Georgia30161453%69.071.9-2.8
12 Florida30151550%71.868.7+3.1
13 Oklahoma30141647%68.168.1-0.1
14 LSU29131645%67.270.0-2.8
15 Ole Miss30111937%67.668.9-1.3
16 South Carolina30102033%64.673.4-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU472976
Missouri344781
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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