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Mississippi St. vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 64-53
25-22 39-31
Position#125
Record14-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game59.6
vs
Position#264
Record12-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mississippi St. v LSU
12 Mar 2025
MISS91
LSU62
01 Mar 2025
MISS81
LSU69
08 Feb 2023
MISS64
LSU53
10 Feb 2021
MISS80
LSU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A26/01
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
H28/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-46
31-41
26-23
38-31
19-20
31-38
22-30
41-39
23-23
36-47
24-33
35-28
36-29
27-37
31-25
35-41
32-26
34-25
33-27
30-25
126.3Avg total
62.1Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)64.759.6124.3+5.161%
Season at home (14)67.558.3125.8+9.271%
Season away (9)60.361.6121.9-1.244%
Last 10 (10)62.164.2126.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)66.460.8127.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.271.1130.3-11.911%
vs Similar (11)65.160.7125.8+4.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)70.352.0122.3+18.389%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#86
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
66-106
66
106
-40
A14/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H19/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
56-77
56
77
-21
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A25/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-42
33-32
23-34
33-35
28-25
28-42
22-59
44-47
21-32
28-35
22-39
34-38
14-38
26-22
33-41
35-35
35-48
42-39
37-44
32-35
137.0Avg total
60.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.169.0136.1-1.852%
Season at home (15)68.766.7135.4+1.967%
Season away (8)64.273.1137.4-8.925%
Last 10 (10)60.876.2137.0-15.40%
Last 5 (5)62.075.8137.8-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.671.2134.8-7.731%
vs Similar (10)73.667.3140.9+6.370%
vs Weaker (4)71.264.8136.0+6.575%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -12.9-12.92nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.5-2.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -12.9-12.92nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.5-2.5
Mississippi St.LSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A26/01
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H28/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H04/02
NCAA
55.0Avg total
26.8Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.828.156.9+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.027.157.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)27.529.256.7-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)26.828.255.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.228.059.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.631.860.3-3.233%-
vs Similar (11)27.130.057.1-2.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)32.322.154.4+10.289%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#86
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A07/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
22-59
22
59
-37
A14/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
21-32
21
32
-11
H19/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
14-38
14
38
-24
A25/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A02/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H04/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
27.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.464.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.429.362.6+4.163%-
Last 30 away (11)30.137.968.0-7.818%-
Last 10 (10)27.340.267.5-12.910%-
Last 5 (5)28.242.070.2-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.136.866.9-6.831%-
vs Similar (10)36.027.563.5+8.570%-
vs Weaker (4)31.027.258.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
3
LSU wins
DateGameScore
13/02/22LSU v Mississippi St.69-65
11/02/21Mississippi St. v LSU80-94
12/01/20LSU v Mississippi St.60-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HMissouri63-52
31/01/23ASouth Carolina66-51
28/01/23HTCU81-74 OT
26/01/23AAlabama63-66
22/01/23HFlorida59-61
18/01/23HTennessee59-70
15/01/23AAuburn63-69
11/01/23AGeorgia50-58
07/01/23HOle Miss64-54
04/01/23ATennessee53-87
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HAlabama69-79
02/02/23AMissouri77-87
28/01/23HTexas Tech68-76
25/01/23AArkansas40-60
21/01/23HTennessee56-77
19/01/23HAuburn49-67
14/01/23AAlabama66-106
11/01/23HFlorida56-67
07/01/23ATexas A&M56-69
04/01/23AKentucky71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %61%71%44%
Points / game64.767.560.3
Allowed / game59.658.361.6
Point differential+5.1+9.2-1.2
Avg total124.3125.8121.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL52%
HomeLLLLL67%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %52%67%25%
Points / game67.168.764.2
Allowed / game69.066.773.1
Point differential-1.8+1.9-8.9
Avg total136.1135.4137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2320387%83.168.7+14.4
2 Tennessee2419579%72.055.0+17.0
3 Texas2419579%79.468.5+11.0
4 Missouri2418675%82.074.8+7.2
5 Arkansas2417771%75.065.5+9.4
6 Texas A&M2417771%75.166.7+8.4
7 Auburn2417771%72.364.6+7.7
8 Kentucky2416867%75.167.7+7.4
9 Mississippi St.2314961%64.759.6+5.1
10 Georgia24141058%69.969.1+0.8
11 Florida23131057%71.364.8+6.4
12 Oklahoma23121152%67.866.3+1.5
13 LSU23121152%67.169.0-1.8
14 Vanderbilt24121250%70.571.7-1.1
15 Ole Miss24101442%67.768.2-0.5
16 South Carolina2481633%64.173.2-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.253964
LSU223153
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