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Lublin vs Bydgoszcz Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game88.0
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 16· Globus
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lublin v Bydgoszcz
15 Jan 2027
LUB v BYDG
upcoming
23 Sep 2022
LUB101
BYDG97
10 Dec 2021
LUB73
BYDG80
06 Dec 2020
LUB107
BYDG101
19 Apr 2020
LUB v BYDG
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 74
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
69avg 74
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
100-105
100
105
-5
101avg 74
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
73avg 74
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 74
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 74
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
54-70
54
70
-16
43avg 74
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
84avg 74
H01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A06/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
no box
H13/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
27-24
22-11
24-16
19-21
18-27
21-22
22-31
27-22
24-35
23-23
26-25
13-20
26-8
17-24
16-20
10-23
13-31
26-22
28-21
21-19
27-15
16-20
12-19
14-14
16-21
9-15
15-20
22-22
23-20
23-23
21-31
17-22
13-11
16-18
16-19
21-13
19-33
15-20
32-17
165.1Avg total
79.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.981.9156.7-7.029%
Season at home (4)82.884.0166.8-1.250%
Season away (3)64.379.0143.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)79.086.1165.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)73.678.4152.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.888.5169.3-7.632%
vs Similar (5)89.290.4179.6-1.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 80
A23/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
57avg 80
A24/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
96-87
96
87
+9
84avg 80
H27/05
1 Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
103avg 80
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
67avg 80
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
92avg 80
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
77-100
77
100
-23
57avg 80
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
82avg 80
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
no box
H06/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
16-22
26-23
19-16
20-15
18-26
13-21
18-26
20-20
18-21
30-19
28-27
29-21
30-22
27-35
19-17
22-20
13-26
27-15
12-14
18-22
29-38
22-30
27-20
28-24
15-28
13-29
21-19
21-28
15-15
21-14
19-19
22-17
11-13
18-16
19-16
26-24
28-20
22-20
15-23
171.4Avg total
84.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.188.0174.1-1.957%
Season at home (4)85.079.8164.8+5.275%
Season away (3)87.799.0186.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)84.986.5171.4-1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.889.2174.0-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.0100.0177.0-23.00%
vs Similar (10)84.283.8168.0+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.177.9164.0+8.179%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
LublinBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A06/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.5Avg total
38.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.584.9-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.946.187.0-5.125%-
Last 30 away (14)39.842.782.5-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.281.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.043.883.8-3.828%-
vs Similar (5)42.447.890.2-5.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A23/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/05
1 Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
85.4Avg total
41.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.082.9-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.282.6+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.342.983.2-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.585.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.888.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.052.095.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.944.486.3-2.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.340.280.5+0.147%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.7
57.2%
54.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.3
30.6%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
71.3%16.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.8
51.3%
54.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.5
35.3%
32.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
71.3%16.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
WLLLWLLLLW
Bydgoszcz
WWWLLLWWLW
#14
League position
#7
-8.2
Net rating
-2.9
91.7
Offensive rating
93.4
99.9
Defensive rating
96.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.6%
3-point %
35.3%
67.5%
Assist %
61.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 93.4Defence99.9 · 96.3Shooting51.7% · 52.1%3-point %30.6% · 35.3%Ball care15.8% · 16.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Lublin   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lublin wins
2
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
06/11/26Bydgoszcz v Lublin70-62
14/01/23Bydgoszcz v Lublin92-100
23/09/22Lublin v Bydgoszcz101-97 OT
07/04/22Bydgoszcz v Lublin82-89
10/12/21Lublin v Bydgoszcz73-80
18/03/21Bydgoszcz v Lublin89-92
06/12/20Lublin v Bydgoszcz107-101 OT
04/01/20Bydgoszcz v Lublin75-104
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HGTK Gliwice87-83
06/11/26ABydgoszcz62-70
01/11/26HDabrowa Gornicza89-96
24/10/26ASzczecin54-70
17/10/26HGdynia76-73
11/10/26ADziki Warszawa77-97
03/10/26HOstrow Wielkopolski79-84 OT
06/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza100-105
03/05/26HGdynia80-101
26/04/26HGTK Gliwice86-82
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HGornik Walbrzych91-87
06/11/26HLublin70-62
31/10/26ATrefl Sopot90-87 OT
24/10/26ASlask Wroclaw77-100
16/10/26ATorun96-110
09/10/26HGTK Gliwice74-75
03/10/26HZielona Gora105-95
27/05/26HLKS Lodz96-87
24/05/26ALKS Lodz69-88
23/05/26ALKS Lodz81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game74.982.864.3
Allowed / game81.984.079.0
Point differential-7.0-1.2-14.7
Avg total156.7166.8143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
Bydgoszcz
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game86.185.087.7
Allowed / game88.079.899.0
Point differential-1.9+5.2-11.3
Avg total174.1164.8186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza660100%91.782.8+8.8
2 Dziki Warszawa76186%88.972.3+16.6
3 Szczecin76186%88.480.1+8.3
4 Gdynia75271%83.174.6+8.6
5 Slask Wroclaw75271%85.783.3+2.4
6 Zielona Gora74357%84.484.6-0.1
7 Bydgoszcz74357%86.188.0-1.9
8 Torun73443%88.086.4+1.6
9 Gornik Walbrzych73443%85.084.4+0.6
10 GTK Gliwice73443%81.482.3-0.9
11 Anwil Wloclawek73443%77.381.9-4.6
12 Legia73443%76.981.4-4.6
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski72529%74.379.7-5.4
14 Lublin72529%74.981.9-7.0
15 Czarni Slupsk6060%81.087.5-6.5
16 Trefl Sopot7070%78.393.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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