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Lublin vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-103
20-28 23-25 20-23 10-27
Position#11
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Lublin
vs
Juventus 🏆
Position#2
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeENBL· Globus (Lublin)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
H01/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Szczecin
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Czarni Slupsk
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
H15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
A22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
103avg 92
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
82avg 92
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
14-18
18-30
16-11
26-24
22-23
12-19
18-20
12-22
22-17
21-22
19-25
25-15
17-21
23-4
21-22
24-19
17-21
18-27
21-24
16-29
28-17
25-23
24-11
22-25
18-23
22-23
29-18
25-21
24-21
27-29
30-28
23-18
33-26
24-19
22-22
20-16
16-21
24-18
22-18
169.4Avg total
86.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.283.2169.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)94.885.2180.0+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.087.9167.9-7.918%
vs Similar (14)86.481.0167.4+5.471%
vs Weaker (4)89.574.0163.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
79-106
79
106
-27
69avg 81
A27/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
78avg 81
H30/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 81
H02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 81
A12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 81
H15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
99-101
99
101
-2
100avg 81
A18/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 81
H18/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 81
H28/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H02/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
17-27
19-22
26-26
23-21
18-14
23-19
20-27
13-19
25-18
22-21
25-25
13-30
22-19
27-26
16-17
18-18
27-18
16-33
12-16
17-17
24-17
23-28
22-15
21-23
25-29
31-27
22-22
26-13
17-22
13-27
25-12
17-15
19-26
14-25
19-13
30-24
20-27
24-22
21-22
172.6Avg total
84.6Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.688.0172.6-3.450%
Last 5 (5)89.486.6176.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.790.6170.2-10.911%
vs Similar (13)89.889.3179.1+0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.582.4171.9+7.175%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
LublinJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/04
ENBL
Szczecin
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/04
ENBL
Czarni Slupsk
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
84.5Avg total
42.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.383.9+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.340.883.1+1.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.842.084.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.984.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.488.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.743.586.3-0.845%-
vs Similar (14)42.141.183.1+1.057%-
vs Weaker (4)43.837.881.5+6.0100%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A27/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H02/10
LKL
83.7Avg total
40.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.185.4+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.182.2+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)43.445.288.6-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.883.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.685.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.945.685.4-5.733%-
vs Similar (13)43.241.885.0+1.369%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.238.886.0+8.588%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.1
54.0%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.0%
33.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws14.19.8
69.0%
72.2%9.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.8
58.4%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
33.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
72.2%16.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
WWWWWLWLLL
Juventus
WLWLWLLWWL
#11
League position
#2
-8.1
Net rating
-5.1
99.4
Offensive rating
106.2
107.5
Defensive rating
111.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
21.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.0%
3-point %
32.2%
64.9%
Assist %
57.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 106.2Defence107.5 · 111.2Shooting53.4% · 54.6%3-point %35.0% · 32.2%Ball care21.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds24.7% · 25.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Lublin   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
0
Juventus wins
No previous meetings.
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23ATrefl Sopot82-73
22/09/23HTorun102-85
03/05/23ASpojnia Stargard106-99
28/04/23HDabrowa Gornicza91-89
22/04/23ATorun93-80
15/04/23HCzarni Slupsk80-91
12/04/23HSzczecin86-62
11/04/23AOstrow Wielkopolski74-86
07/04/23ASzczecin78-86
01/04/23HAnwil Wloclawek70-81
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/23HNeptunas112-102 OT
28/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-79
18/09/23HMazeikiai81-74
18/05/23ALietkabelis99-101
15/05/23HLietkabelis86-77
12/05/23ALietkabelis73-85
05/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas78-92
02/05/23HNeptunas85-83
30/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-81
27/04/23ABC Wolves79-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Juventus
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zielona Gora110100%109.083.0+26.0
2 Siauliai32167%87.392.7-5.3
3 Newcastle Eagles1010%92.094.0-2.0
4 Voluntari1010%77.085.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2023201073
Juventus28252327103
← all games of the day
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