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Lublin W vs Torun W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-78
21-14 24-16 25-22 18-26
Position#3
Record7-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game70.7
Lublin W 🏆
Poland
vs
Torun W
Poland
Position#8
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game82.6
PolandEnerga Basket Liga WRound 12· Hala im. Zdzislawa Niedzieli
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lublin W v Torun W
19 Oct 2025
LUBL76
TORU61
05 Jan 2025
LUBL88
TORU78
15 Nov 2023
LUBL84
TORU73
01 Jan 2023
LUBL86
TORU78
31 Oct 2021
LUBL83
TORU47
02 Dec 2020
LUBL93
TORU40
19 Feb 2020
LUBL75
TORU67
10 Nov 2018
LUBL61
TORU66
24 Mar 2018
LUBL63
TORU66
25 Feb 2017
LUBL68
TORU75
10 Feb 2016
LUBL75
TORU74
03 Oct 2014
LUBL71
TORU72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torun W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lublin WPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Angers W
#7
L
61-89
61
89
-28
55avg 66
H30/10
EuroCup Women
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
80-71
80
71
+9
80avg 66
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Jairis W
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
53avg 66
A20/11
EuroCup Women
Sleza Wroclaw W
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
48avg 66
A23/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Panathinaikos W
#51
W
80-62
80
62
+18
75avg 66
H28/11
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#6
W
91-58
91
58
+33
100avg 66
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#7
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
63avg 66
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#1
W
66-63
66
63
+3
62avg 66
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
88-49
88
49
+39
86avg 66
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sosnowiec W
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 66
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-17
13-30
13-23
23-14
21-22
18-13
18-22
18-24
18-18
17-11
10-23
18-14
19-18
10-30
17-27
27-19
15-14
18-20
20-9
22-13
24-11
28-16
17-18
22-18
16-12
19-19
13-21
22-22
19-13
11-11
14-17
20-13
25-13
20-11
23-12
24-18
19-21
25-21
10-20
147.1Avg total
75.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.270.7149.9+8.564%
Season at home (5)80.264.4144.6+15.880%
Season away (6)78.376.0154.3+2.350%
Last 10 (10)75.172.0147.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)80.666.6147.2+14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.681.9148.5-15.313%
vs Similar (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.267.5147.7+12.877%
This opponent (Torun W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Torun WPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
60avg 65
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Lublin W
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 65
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#6
L
50-91
50
91
-41
29avg 65
A27/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#7
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
68avg 65
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 65
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
95avg 65
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sosnowiec W
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
71avg 65
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#2
L
63-78
63
78
-15
55avg 65
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#5
L
58-84
58
84
-26
44avg 65
A21/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
74avg 65
H28/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-24
8-13
24-9
13-22
19-26
24-23
18-20
13-27
17-24
8-15
12-25
21-25
10-18
14-13
20-9
19-23
18-29
16-19
23-17
25-19
22-14
22-18
24-25
23-27
22-17
26-16
10-17
21-18
16-16
14-24
12-20
15-24
15-27
14-20
14-13
21-6
18-24
19-22
23-29
156.2Avg total
73.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.882.6157.5-7.836%
Season at home (6)81.384.2165.5-2.833%
Season away (5)67.080.8147.8-13.840%
Last 10 (10)73.083.2156.2-10.230%
Last 5 (5)76.482.2158.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)67.683.6151.2-16.019%
vs Similar (4)80.880.5161.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (5)83.471.4154.8+12.080%
This opponent (Lublin W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
Lublin WTorun W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lublin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers W
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H30/10
EuroCup Women
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Jairis W
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A20/11
EuroCup Women
Sleza Wroclaw W
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A23/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Panathinaikos W
#51
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/11
EuroCup Women
Gorzow W
#6
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#1
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sosnowiec W
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga W
74.0Avg total
40.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.677.0+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.277.5+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.176.4+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.733.374.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.630.873.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.041.577.5-5.527%-
vs Similar (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.132.574.6+9.577%-
This opponent (Torun W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Torun WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Lublin W
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#6
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A27/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sosnowiec W
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#5
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A21/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/12
Energa Basket Liga W
79.4Avg total
36.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.878.9-4.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.877.3-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.744.880.5-9.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.879.4-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.478.0+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.143.980.0-7.829%-
vs Similar (4)40.038.078.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (5)38.836.074.8+2.880%-
This opponent (Lublin W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin W: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.318.2
43.0%
47.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
31.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.414.3
73.7%
73.2%14.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torun Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun W: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.317.6
40.6%
47.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.85.7
25.0%
31.0%17.1
🏀 Free throws27.019.7
73.0%
73.2%19.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin W
LWWLWWLLWL
Torun W
LLLWWLLLLW
#3
League position
#8
+3.0
Net rating
-13.0
96.7
Offensive rating
90.5
93.7
Defensive rating
103.5
45.6%
Effective FG%
39.6%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.3%
3-point %
25.0%
74.4%
Assist %
72.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 90.5Defence93.7 · 103.5Shooting45.6% · 39.6%3-point %33.3% · 25.0%Ball care18.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 25.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Lublin W   ■ Torun W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Lublin W wins
0
Torun W wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Torun W v Lublin W74-91
14/01/24Torun W v Lublin W68-90
15/11/23Lublin W v Torun W84-73
01/01/23Lublin W v Torun W86-78
19/10/22Torun W v Lublin W68-80
02/02/22Torun W v Lublin W69-93
31/10/21Lublin W v Torun W83-47
29/01/21Torun W v Lublin W65-74
02/12/20Lublin W v Torun W93-40
19/02/20Lublin W v Torun W75-67
Lublin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ASosnowiec W78-80
22/12/24HPolonia Warszawa W88-49
15/12/24HVBW Gdynia W66-63
07/12/24APolkowice W80-83 OT
01/12/24HGorzow W91-58
28/11/24HPanathinaikos W80-62
23/11/24ASleza Wroclaw W64-89
20/11/24AJairis W63-76
17/11/24ABasket 25 Bydgoszcz W80-71
30/10/24HAngers W61-89
Torun Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HBasket 25 Bydgoszcz W87-96 OT
21/12/24AAZS Poznan W58-84
15/12/24HSleza Wroclaw W63-78
07/12/24ASosnowiec W81-77
01/12/24HPolonia Warszawa W93-76
24/11/24AVBW Gdynia W76-88
16/11/24HPolkowice W78-87 OT
27/10/24AGorzow W50-91
20/10/24HLublin W74-91
13/10/24ABasket 25 Bydgoszcz W70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin W
Energa Basket Liga W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game79.280.278.3
Allowed / game70.764.476.0
Point differential+8.5+15.8+2.3
Avg total149.9144.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Torun W
Energa Basket Liga W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game74.881.367.0
Allowed / game82.684.280.8
Point differential-7.8-2.8-13.8
Avg total157.5165.5147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VBW Gdynia W129375%75.165.5+9.6
2 Polkowice W129375%73.775.2-1.5
3 Lublin W117464%79.270.7+8.5
4 Sleza Wroclaw W127558%74.268.0+6.2
5 Sosnowiec W127558%77.376.2+1.2
6 AZS Poznan W126650%74.873.1+1.7
7 Gorzow W126650%75.274.1+1.1
8 Torun W114736%74.882.6-7.8
9 Polonia Warszawa W1221017%71.178.1-7.0
10 Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W1221017%70.482.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin W2124251888
Torun W1416222678
← all games of the day
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