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Torun W vs Lublin W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 68-90
17-17 15-22 19-34 17-17
Position#8
Record4-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game80.9
Torun W
Poland
vs
Lublin W 🏆
Poland
Position#6
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game64.6
PolandEnerga Basket Liga WRound 16· Arena Torun
Women2023-24
Meetings · Torun W v Lublin W
02 Jan 2026
TORU80
LUBL91
20 Oct 2024
TORU74
LUBL91
14 Jan 2024
TORU68
LUBL90
19 Oct 2022
TORU68
LUBL80
02 Feb 2022
TORU69
LUBL93
29 Jan 2021
TORU65
LUBL74
09 Oct 2019
TORU62
LUBL92
27 Feb 2019
TORU79
LUBL75
09 Dec 2017
TORU63
LUBL74
27 Nov 2016
TORU65
LUBL54
31 Oct 2015
TORU49
LUBL58
20 Dec 2014
TORU69
LUBL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Torun WPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lublin W
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
65avg 60
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#4
L
71-94
71
94
-23
59avg 60
H19/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
56avg 60
H25/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
76-68
76
68
+8
71avg 60
H09/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
75avg 60
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
60avg 60
A20/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
58avg 60
A27/12
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
54-88
54
88
-34
34avg 60
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sosnowiec W
#5
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 60
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
40avg 60
A06/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
17-20
25-24
14-19
22-22
20-21
25-29
4-22
23-15
17-24
4-14
19-14
25-19
19-23
18-12
14-14
16-8
12-19
20-16
29-21
24-21
21-24
13-24
18-16
24-19
12-28
13-19
24-20
12-27
11-21
18-17
13-23
19-19
26-14
17-21
18-15
17-27
21-23
18-16
7-22
149.9Avg total
70.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.480.9152.3-9.629%
Season at home (8)71.974.9146.8-3.050%
Season away (6)70.789.0159.7-18.30%
Last 10 (10)70.679.3149.9-8.730%
Last 5 (5)69.283.2152.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.385.4156.7-14.115%
vs Similar (4)76.277.5153.8-1.225%
vs Weaker (6)79.269.8149.0+9.383%
This opponent (Lublin W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lublin WPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Schio W
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
68avg 62
H06/12
Euroleague Women
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
75-50
75
50
+25
81avg 62
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Valencia W
#8
L
60-87
60
87
-27
58avg 62
H13/12
Euroleague Women
Sleza Wroclaw W
#4
W
73-61
73
61
+12
74avg 62
H17/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
L
58-88
58
88
-30
42avg 62
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Polkowice W
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
61avg 62
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
92-77
92
77
+15
87avg 62
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
78-51
78
51
+27
73avg 62
A03/01
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
W
76-52
76
52
+24
70avg 62
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga W
DVTK W
#6
W
56-37
56
37
+19
48avg 62
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
17-25
14-21
14-9
23-15
22-14
14-13
16-8
19-24
11-30
12-20
18-13
23-15
21-10
11-22
18-14
9-22
19-28
19-19
11-19
24-20
20-21
12-20
12-18
27-26
29-18
26-14
10-19
19-9
19-15
20-15
20-12
17-13
18-18
22-9
19-12
17-10
7-10
18-9
14-8
135.5Avg total
70.3Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.564.6140.2+10.962%
Season at home (7)78.758.4137.1+20.386%
Season away (6)71.871.8143.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)70.365.2135.5+5.160%
Last 5 (5)74.059.2133.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)62.573.1135.6-10.526%
vs Similar (1)73.061.0134.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.260.8140.0+18.478%
This opponent (Torun W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
Torun WLublin W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Torun WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin W
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H19/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Polkowice W
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A20/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/12
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sosnowiec W
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Gorzow W
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A06/01
Energa Basket Liga W
79.0Avg total
37.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.679.8-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.138.375.4-1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.445.484.8-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.579.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.682.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.444.582.8-6.130%-
vs Similar (4)33.840.574.2-6.825%-
vs Weaker (6)40.532.873.3+7.7100%-
This opponent (Lublin W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lublin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/12
Euroleague Women
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Valencia W
#8
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H13/12
Euroleague Women
Sleza Wroclaw W
#4
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H17/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Sepsi SIC W
#15
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A20/12
Euroleague Women
Polkowice W
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A03/01
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga W
DVTK W
#6
W
24-20
24
20
+4
H10/01
Euroleague Women
74.1Avg total
38.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.571.5+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.869.2+3.756%-
Last 30 away (14)35.538.674.1-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.874.1+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.071.4+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.737.870.5-5.132%-
vs Similar (1)44.025.069.0+19.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.931.673.4+10.378%-
This opponent (Torun W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torun Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun W: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.5 points a game
52%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.616.4
40.4%
46.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.4
25.5%
31.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws25.820.8
80.6%
75.2%20.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin W: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.5 points a game
52%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.517.8
42.9%
46.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.4
31.4%
31.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.7
79.5%
75.2%14.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun W
LWLLLWWLLL
Lublin W
WWWWLLWLWL
#8
League position
#6
-11.2
Net rating
+7.4
92.1
Offensive rating
96.5
103.3
Defensive rating
89.1
39.6%
Effective FG%
44.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.30
25.5%
3-point %
31.4%
66.1%
Assist %
76.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 96.5Defence103.3 · 89.1Shooting39.6% · 44.3%3-point %25.5% · 31.4%Ball care18.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds26.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Torun W   ■ Lublin W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Torun W wins
9
Lublin W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Lublin W v Torun W84-73
01/01/23Lublin W v Torun W86-78
19/10/22Torun W v Lublin W68-80
02/02/22Torun W v Lublin W69-93
31/10/21Lublin W v Torun W83-47
29/01/21Torun W v Lublin W65-74
02/12/20Lublin W v Torun W93-40
19/02/20Lublin W v Torun W75-67
09/10/19Torun W v Lublin W62-92
27/02/19Torun W v Lublin W79-75
Torun Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AGorzow W63-88
03/01/24HSosnowiec W80-69
30/12/23AVBW Gdynia W54-88
27/12/23APolonia Warszawa W73-86
20/12/23AAZS Poznan W76-85
15/12/23HPruszkow W77-64
09/12/23HBasket 25 Bydgoszcz W76-68
25/11/23HPolkowice W63-67
19/11/23HSleza Wroclaw W71-94
15/11/23ALublin W73-84
Lublin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HDVTK W56-37
07/01/24HAZS Poznan W76-52
03/01/24APruszkow W78-51
30/12/23ABasket 25 Bydgoszcz W92-77
23/12/23APolkowice W68-79
20/12/23ASepsi SIC W58-88
17/12/23HSleza Wroclaw W73-61
13/12/23HValencia W60-87
10/12/23HPolonia Warszawa W75-50
06/12/23HSchio W67-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun W
Energa Basket Liga W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game71.471.970.7
Allowed / game80.974.989.0
Point differential-9.6-3.0-18.3
Avg total152.3146.8159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lublin W
Energa Basket Liga W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game75.578.771.8
Allowed / game64.658.471.8
Point differential+10.9+20.3+0.0
Avg total140.2137.1143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Polkowice W1413193%80.657.4+23.2
2 Gorzow W1412286%85.968.6+17.3
3 VBW Gdynia W1411379%79.465.4+14.0
4 Sleza Wroclaw W1410471%76.966.7+10.2
5 Lublin W138562%75.564.6+10.9
6 Sosnowiec W148657%79.677.6+2.1
7 AZS Poznan W156940%71.174.7-3.6
8 Torun W1441029%71.480.9-9.6
9 Polonia Warszawa W1331023%64.579.5-14.9
10 Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W1421214%69.686.6-17.0
11 Pruszkow W150150%55.085.5-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torun W1715191768
Lublin W1722341790
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