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Lucca W vs Faenza W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-72
16-18 21-15 22-15 9-24
Position#12
Record7-18
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game73.5
Lucca W
Italy
vs
Faenza W 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game74.9
ItalySerie A1 WRound 26
Women2022-23
Meetings · Lucca W v Faenza W
26 Mar 2023
LUCC68
FAEN72
06 Apr 2022
LUCC64
FAEN56
02 Dec 2012
LUCC72
FAEN53
27 Nov 2011
LUCC80
FAEN37
27 Mar 2011
LUCC66
FAEN49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Faenza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martino W
#9
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
45-86
45
86
-41
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-109
51
109
-58
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
77-50
77
50
+27
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
20-21
18-12
23-15
18-20
10-26
16-25
15-21
19-18
21-14
24-23
18-10
18-20
11-22
12-21
4-23
9-19
9-12
23-21
13-9
15-16
21-26
27-14
15-23
20-31
11-31
9-22
11-25
21-13
22-18
13-16
22-13
13-20
33-18
25-14
16-26
15-13
17-4
25-15
20-18
142.6Avg total
68.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.573.5139.0-8.028%
Season at home (12)67.770.5138.2-2.833%
Season away (13)63.576.3139.8-12.823%
Last 10 (10)68.674.0142.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)74.275.2149.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)61.278.8139.9-17.612%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.968.6138.4+1.343%
vs Weaker (5)70.257.8128.0+12.480%
This opponent (Faenza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Faenza WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#14
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A15/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A29/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A04/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
73-82 OT
73
82
-9
H08/03
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
57-86
57
86
-29
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H19/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
7-15
16-8
12-17
26-14
17-17
14-15
13-8
16-21
14-19
18-15
11-18
17-26
25-26
17-15
11-22
16-19
18-20
20-24
16-20
20-14
11-21
10-15
13-17
31-18
14-20
15-17
19-30
26-17
19-20
11-17
14-16
18-27
6-24
16-21
17-14
14-16
18-12
13-25
12-9
137.6Avg total
63.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)67.674.9142.6-7.324%
Season at home (14)67.974.2142.1-6.329%
Season away (11)67.375.8143.1-8.518%
Last 10 (10)63.873.8137.6-10.010%
Last 5 (5)64.076.4140.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)66.778.9145.6-12.26%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.168.6136.7-0.456%
vs Weaker (4)70.261.2131.5+9.075%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
Lucca WFaenza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martino W
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-62
31
62
-31
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A19/03
Serie A1 W
71.1Avg total
33.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.238.070.2-5.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.435.469.7-1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)30.340.370.6-10.019%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.471.1-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.140.671.7-9.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.038.772.7-4.743%-
vs Weaker (5)32.027.259.2+4.880%-
This opponent (Faenza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Faenza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brixia W
#14
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A15/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/03
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H19/03
Serie A1 W
73.0Avg total
34.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.872.7-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.237.274.4+0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)31.938.570.5-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.373.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.873.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.240.474.6-6.224%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.335.170.4+0.256%-
vs Weaker (4)37.032.569.5+4.575%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lucca W wins
3
Faenza W wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Faenza W v Lucca W72-66
06/04/22Lucca W v Faenza W64-56
24/02/22Faenza W v Lucca W84-89
02/12/12Lucca W v Faenza W72-53
26/02/12Faenza W v Lucca W74-62
27/11/11Lucca W v Faenza W80-37
27/03/11Lucca W v Faenza W66-49
09/01/11Faenza W v Lucca W56-42
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23ABrixia W77-50
12/03/23ARagusa W87-78
08/03/23HLibertas Moncalieri W78-60
05/03/23ASchio W51-109
01/03/23HSassari W78-79
26/02/23HSan Giovanni W54-61
19/02/23AVenezia W45-86
04/02/23HValdarno W82-65
29/01/23HVirtus Bologna W59-92
22/01/23ASan Martino W75-60
Faenza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HBasket Crema W57-62
12/03/23ASan Martino W57-86
08/03/23HSan Giovanni W73-82 OT
04/03/23ARagusa W79-85
26/02/23AVirtus Bologna W54-67
18/02/23HSassari W70-83
04/02/23HSchio W70-89
29/01/23ACampobasso W59-73
21/01/23HValdarno W70-54
15/01/23ABrixia W49-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW28%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayWLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%33%23%
Points / game65.567.763.5
Allowed / game73.570.576.3
Point differential-8.0-2.8-12.8
Avg total139.0138.2139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Faenza W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %24%29%18%
Points / game67.667.967.3
Allowed / game74.974.275.8
Point differential-7.3-6.3-8.5
Avg total142.6142.1143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%21%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2523292%84.162.4+21.7
2 Virtus Bologna W2523292%82.862.9+19.9
3 Venezia W2521484%79.063.9+15.1
4 Sassari W2518772%73.270.4+2.7
5 San Giovanni W2516964%66.563.6+2.9
6 Campobasso W25141156%66.465.8+0.6
7 Ragusa W25131252%73.469.7+3.7
8 Basket Crema W25111444%68.271.5-3.3
9 San Martino W25101540%66.270.9-4.6
10 Lucca W2571828%65.573.5-8.0
11 Libertas Moncalieri W2571828%62.271.1-8.9
12 Faenza W2561924%67.674.9-7.3
13 Valdarno W2542116%61.879.4-17.6
14 Brixia W252238%60.477.3-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W162122968
Faenza W1815152472
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