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Lucca W vs Vigarano W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#9
Record8-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game79.0
ItalySerie A1 WRound 25
Women2019-20
Meetings · Lucca W v Vigarano W
18 Mar 2021
LUCC72
VIGA64
29 Mar 2020
LUCC v VIGA
upcoming
27 Jan 2019
LUCC64
VIGA62
22 Oct 2017
LUCC78
VIGA63
02 Oct 2016
LUCC65
VIGA48
24 Jan 2016
LUCC75
VIGA49
14 Feb 2015
LUCC79
VIGA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vigarano W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H15/12
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H05/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H12/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H19/01
Serie A1 W
BK Costa W
#11
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#14
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H13/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A16/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
15-13
19-20
13-24
21-14
24-26
18-17
15-13
25-23
10-14
18-25
21-17
20-23
9-15
21-17
21-21
16-24
24-19
8-16
17-11
19-20
16-11
24-12
17-29
17-20
15-13
23-16
18-19
18-25
9-23
11-18
13-16
16-17
24-17
14-12
14-12
13-25
12-15
14-13
12-16
141.1Avg total
67.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.570.1140.6+0.458%
Season at home (11)69.269.5138.6-0.355%
Season away (8)72.271.0143.2+1.262%
Last 10 (10)67.973.2141.1-5.340%
Last 5 (5)63.869.8133.6-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.777.4139.1-15.80%
vs Similar (6)69.768.0137.7+1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.668.1143.7+7.583%
This opponent (Vigarano W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vigarano WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#2
L
50-95
50
95
-45
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H29/12
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#13
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A06/01
Serie A1 W
BK Costa W
#11
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A11/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A19/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#14
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H13/02
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A16/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
18-19
13-24
6-28
23-25
14-10
25-18
17-21
22-21
21-20
11-20
22-25
23-11
10-27
21-15
22-25
10-22
18-22
20-16
14-20
31-17
15-25
21-20
21-14
27-15
8-18
24-14
14-16
14-18
21-20
16-19
19-21
26-29
19-25
12-25
31-20
10-24
22-25
14-22
18-12
153.8Avg total
72.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.079.0152.0-5.940%
Season at home (9)75.675.7151.2-0.156%
Season away (11)71.081.6152.6-10.627%
Last 10 (10)72.681.2153.8-8.630%
Last 5 (5)76.679.8156.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.681.9146.6-17.319%
vs Similar (7)79.179.4158.6-0.343%
vs Weaker (7)76.074.0150.0+2.057%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Lucca WVigarano W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H15/12
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H05/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H19/01
Serie A1 W
BK Costa W
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A16/02
Serie A1 W
73.6Avg total
34.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.971.6-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.435.970.4-1.541%-
Last 30 away (13)35.238.273.3-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.873.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.269.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.440.272.6-7.817%-
vs Similar (6)35.034.769.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.934.871.7+2.267%-
This opponent (Vigarano W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vigarano WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H29/12
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/01
Serie A1 W
BK Costa W
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A11/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A19/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#12
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/02
Serie A1 W
Palermo W
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H23/02
Serie A1 W
78.2Avg total
36.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.240.876.0-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.140.677.7-3.636%-
Last 30 away (16)33.640.974.4-7.325%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.778.2-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.842.274.9-9.419%-
vs Similar (7)37.939.677.4-1.729%-
vs Weaker (7)38.138.776.9-0.657%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Lucca W wins
1
Vigarano W wins
DateGameScore
29/12/19Vigarano W v Lucca W79-74
27/01/19Lucca W v Vigarano W64-62
28/10/18Vigarano W v Lucca W72-79 OT
07/01/18Vigarano W v Lucca W63-70
22/10/17Lucca W v Vigarano W78-63
21/12/16Vigarano W v Lucca W52-75
02/10/16Lucca W v Vigarano W65-48
24/01/16Lucca W v Vigarano W75-49
18/10/15Vigarano W v Lucca W59-85
14/02/15Lucca W v Vigarano W79-58
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/20ASan Giovanni W51-69
13/02/20HBattipaglia W68-58
01/02/20ASchio W51-82
26/01/20HBK Costa W73-68
19/01/20HBroni W76-72
12/01/20HRagusa W65-70
05/01/20HPalermo W71-76
29/12/19AVigarano W74-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna W78-70
15/12/19HVenezia W72-88
Vigarano Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/20HRagusa W64-83
16/02/20APalermo W88-99
13/02/20HSchio W70-78
01/02/20ABattipaglia W73-63
26/01/20HVirtus Bologna W88-76
19/01/20ASan Giovanni W62-80
11/01/20ABK Costa W76-78
06/01/20AFixi Piramis Torino W76-86
29/12/19HLucca W79-74
21/12/19AVenezia W50-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%55%62%
Points / game70.569.272.2
Allowed / game70.169.571.0
Point differential+0.4-0.3+1.2
Avg total140.6138.6143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%18%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vigarano W
Serie A1 W 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%56%27%
Points / game73.075.671.0
Allowed / game79.075.781.6
Point differential-5.9-0.1-10.6
Avg total152.0151.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2119290%75.058.6+16.4
2 Venezia W2017385%78.664.8+13.8
3 Ragusa W2117481%80.666.7+13.9
4 San Martino W1913668%69.565.8+3.6
5 San Giovanni W2012860%72.769.0+3.6
6 Lucca W1911858%70.570.1+0.4
7 Empoli W1981142%68.172.1-4.0
8 Broni W2081240%70.171.8-1.6
9 Vigarano W2081240%73.079.0-5.9
10 Palermo W1971237%70.274.6-4.4
11 BK Costa W2061430%65.274.5-9.3
12 Virtus Bologna W1951426%68.774.5-5.8
13 Fixi Piramis Torino W1951426%68.178.3-10.2
14 Battipaglia W2021810%58.871.7-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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