Lucca W vs Virtus Bologna W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 66-75

17-16 20-20 14-23 15-16

Position#9

Record7-17

FormLLWWL

Points / game69.5

Allowed / game75.1

Lucca W

Virtus Bologna W 🏆

Position#4

Record17-8

FormLWWLL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game69.2

Serie A1 WRound 25

Women2020-21

Meetings · Lucca W v Virtus Bologna W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

74-85

-11

A30/01

Serie A1 W

Empoli W

59-73

-14

H14/02

Serie A1 W

Sassari W

#12

91-80 OT

+11

A20/02

Serie A1 W

Schio W

60-88

-28

H28/02

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#13

86-68

+18

A06/03

Serie A1 W

Sassari W

#12

54-64

-10

H10/03

Serie A1 W

Broni W

#11

60-76

-16

A14/03

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

#14

72-64

H18/03

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#13

74-66

H21/03

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

#14

66-68

-2

A27/03

Serie A1 W

17-24

23-19

20-25

14-17

10-20

24-15

12-18

13-20

13-24

26-23

16-12

22-18

19-29

15-23

9-21

17-15

27-28

17-14

24-14

18-12

15-20

17-18

11-10

11-16

18-16

13-24

12-20

17-16

23-20

17-13

18-19

14-12

22-20

17-20

19-14

16-12

14-18

20-15

19-12

13-23

142.8Avg total

69.6Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	69.5	75.1	144.7	-5.6	29%
Season at home (12)	68.0	71.2	139.2	-3.2	33%
Season away (12)	71.1	79.1	150.2	-8.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	69.6	73.2	142.8	-3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.2	67.6	132.8	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	64.5	82.0	146.5	-17.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	68.0	71.3	139.3	-3.3	43%
vs Weaker (10)	73.9	65.7	139.6	+8.2	70%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna W Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari W

#12

86-65

+21

H23/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

54-73

-19

H15/02

Serie A1 W

Empoli W

60-61

-1

A21/02

Serie A1 W

Campobasso W

#10

80-68

+12

H27/02

Serie A1 W

Schio W

69-73

-4

H07/03

Coppa Italia Women

San Martino W

66-67

-1

A10/03

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#13

96-62

+34

A14/03

Serie A1 W

Broni W

#11

66-46

+20

H20/03

Serie A1 W

Venezia W

68-82

-14

H24/03

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

58-74

-16

H29/03

Serie A1 W

22-17

25-15

23-20

16-13

9-21

15-15

13-25

17-12

13-16

12-16

15-15

20-14

25-8

19-20

21-20

15-20

11-15

20-21

16-18

22-19

22-21

15-16

11-15

18-15

19-17

33-9

19-20

25-16

22-14

16-13

19-10

9-9

9-21

19-23

19-21

21-17

17-24

15-13

14-28

12-9

137.4Avg total

70.3Scored

67.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	76.8	69.2	146.0	+7.6	68%
Season at home (13)	76.8	68.2	145.0	+8.5	77%
Season away (12)	76.8	70.2	147.0	+6.7	58%
Last 10 (10)	70.3	67.1	137.4	+3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	66.2	137.0	+4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.1	78.4	147.6	-9.3	14%
vs Similar (7)	70.0	72.1	142.1	-2.1	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	82.2	65.0	147.2	+17.2	93%

This opponent (Lucca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Lucca WVirtus Bologna W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	22.3	39.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	23.4	40.1	-6.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.7	25.7	41.4	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.1	20.4	37.6	-3.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	15.6	34.4	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.4	34.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	13.4	18.1	31.6	-4.7	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.3	19.3	35.6	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.3	15.0	37.3	+7.3	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	15.8	34.1	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	19.0	35.9	-2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	15.0	31.7	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.1	35.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.8	34.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	18.1	38.9	+2.8	53%	-

Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

40-43

-3

A30/01

Serie A1 W

Empoli W

34-35

-1

H14/02

Serie A1 W

Sassari W

#12

39-47

-8

A20/02

Serie A1 W

Schio W

34-52

-18

H28/02

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#13

44-42

A06/03

Serie A1 W

Sassari W

#12

32-38

-6

H10/03

Serie A1 W

Broni W

#11

31-40

-9

A14/03

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

#14

40-33

H18/03

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#13

39-40

-1

H21/03

Serie A1 W

Vigarano W

#14

34-33

A27/03

Serie A1 W

77.0Avg total

36.7Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	39.6	74.2	-5.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.4	37.2	72.6	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.7	42.4	76.1	-8.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	40.3	77.0	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	33.4	44.7	78.1	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	33.9	35.4	69.3	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	36.7	35.9	72.6	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari W

#12

47-32

+15

H23/01

Serie A1 W

Schio W

24-36

-12

H15/02

Serie A1 W

Empoli W

25-32

-7

A21/02

Serie A1 W

Campobasso W

#10

44-28

+16

H27/02

Serie A1 W

Schio W

31-36

-5

H07/03

Coppa Italia Women

San Martino W

37-37

A10/03

Serie A1 W

Battipaglia W

#13

52-26

+26

A14/03

Serie A1 W

Broni W

#11

38-27

+11

H20/03

Serie A1 W

Venezia W

28-44

-16

H24/03

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

32-37

-5

H29/03

Serie A1 W

69.3Avg total

35.8Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.7	74.2	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.5	34.6	72.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	36.9	76.6	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	33.5	69.3	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	34.2	71.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.3	39.7	72.0	-7.4	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.7	37.3	73.0	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	43.2	33.1	76.3	+10.1	80%	-

This opponent (Lucca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.1	34.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	16.2	33.3	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.2	35.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	15.0	30.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.5	20.0	35.5	-4.5	23%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	15.6	34.1	+3.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.4	14.5	32.9	+3.9	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	16.9	37.1	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	17.9	35.1	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	13.9	35.4	+7.5	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	17.2	33.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.1	16.8	32.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	16.1	31.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	15.8	30.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.5	17.3	32.8	-1.8	31%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.6	20.3	35.9	-4.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.4	15.0	32.4	+2.4	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.1	34.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	16.9	34.8	+1.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	14.4	31.9	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	13.2	30.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	15.0	33.4	+3.4	71%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.4	34.4	67.7	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.2	32.9	66.2	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.5	36.0	69.5	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.5	32.6	64.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	30.8	60.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	31.1	37.3	68.4	-6.2	15%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.1	35.9	70.0	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	35.8	29.5	65.3	+6.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	34.0	71.2	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.0	33.8	71.8	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	34.1	70.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	33.6	68.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	32.0	65.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.1	37.0	73.1	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.3	34.9	69.1	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.0	31.9	70.9	+7.1	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lucca W wins

Virtus Bologna W wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/20	Virtus Bologna W v Lucca W	86-78
22/12/19	Lucca W v Virtus Bologna W	78-70

Lucca Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/21	A	Vigarano W	66-68
21/03/21	H	Battipaglia W	74-66
18/03/21	H	Vigarano W	72-64
14/03/21	A	Broni W	60-76
10/03/21	H	Sassari W	54-64
06/03/21	A	Battipaglia W	86-68
28/02/21	H	Schio W	60-88
20/02/21	A	Sassari W	91-80 OT
14/02/21	H	Empoli W	59-73
30/01/21	A	Venezia W	74-85

Virtus Bologna Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/21	H	San Giovanni W	58-74
24/03/21	H	Venezia W	68-82
20/03/21	H	Broni W	66-46
14/03/21	A	Battipaglia W	96-62
10/03/21	A	San Martino W	66-67
07/03/21	H	Schio W	69-73
27/02/21	H	Campobasso W	80-68
21/02/21	A	Empoli W	60-61
15/02/21	H	Schio W	54-73
23/01/21	H	Sassari W	86-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W

Serie A1 W 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	29%
Home	LLLWW	33%
Away	LWWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	29%	33%	25%
Points / game	69.5	68.0	71.1
Allowed / game	75.1	71.2	79.1
Point differential	-5.6	-3.2	-8.0
Avg total	144.7	139.2	150.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	17%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Virtus Bologna W

Serie A1 W 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	68%
Home	LWWLL	77%
Away	LWLLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	68%	77%	58%
Points / game	76.8	76.8	76.8
Allowed / game	69.2	68.2	70.2
Point differential	+7.6	+8.5	+6.7
Avg total	146.0	145.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	46%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Venezia W	25	24	1	96%	90.3	63.1	+27.2
2	Schio W	24	22	2	92%	80.7	57.2	+23.5
3	Ragusa W	24	19	5	79%	74.6	63.7	+10.9
4	Virtus Bologna W	25	17	8	68%	76.8	69.2	+7.6
5	San Giovanni W	24	15	9	62%	72.2	66.8	+5.4
6	Empoli W	24	15	9	62%	71.7	69.7	+2.0
7	San Martino W	24	13	11	54%	66.2	67.4	-1.2
8	Costa Masnaga W	24	12	12	50%	74.3	77.1	-2.8
9	Campobasso W	25	9	16	36%	67.0	72.0	-5.0
10	Lucca W	24	7	17	29%	69.5	75.1	-5.6
11	Broni W	24	7	17	29%	63.0	74.4	-11.4
12	Sassari W	24	4	20	17%	66.4	78.3	-11.9
13	Battipaglia W	23	3	20	13%	65.7	86.3	-20.7
14	Vigarano W	24	2	22	8%	63.8	83.8	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lucca W	17	20	14	15	66
Virtus Bologna W	16	20	23	16	75

← all games of the day

Lucca W vs Virtus Bologna W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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