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Lucca W vs Virtus Bologna W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-92
18-20 10-26 16-25 15-21
Position#12
Record3-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game72.4
Lucca W
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna W 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record15-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game64.8
ItalySerie A1 WRound 18
Women2022-23
Meetings · Lucca W v Virtus Bologna W
29 Jan 2023
LUCC59
VIRT92
06 Mar 2022
LUCC65
VIRT59
03 Apr 2021
LUCC66
VIRT75
22 Dec 2019
LUCC78
VIRT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H06/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
17-22
23-18
16-17
12-10
8-26
13-28
22-16
19-21
14-24
26-23
17-30
22-29
8-27
17-12
19-11
18-17
23-23
10-17
23-20
17-12
16-8
14-15
13-13
11-16
10-20
23-15
22-21
18-12
15-18
5-11
11-11
13-23
19-19
14-16
23-16
14-12
20-21
18-12
23-15
137.6Avg total
65.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)64.272.4136.6-8.219%
Season at home (7)65.969.9135.7-4.029%
Season away (9)62.974.3137.2-11.411%
Last 10 (10)65.771.9137.6-6.220%
Last 5 (5)63.861.2125.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.876.5136.3-16.714%
vs Similar (9)68.067.0135.0+1.044%
vs Weaker (5)75.467.2142.6+8.280%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USK Prague W
#4
L
61-85
61
85
-24
H21/12
Euroleague Women
Brixia W
#14
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H01/01
Serie A1 W
Valencia W
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H04/01
Euroleague Women
San Martino W
#9
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A08/01
Serie A1 W
Bourges W
#8
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A11/01
Euroleague Women
Valdarno W
#13
W
89-53
89
53
+36
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#7
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H17/01
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#1
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A25/01
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
18-24
17-18
16-25
38-16
19-20
14-19
17-14
17-21
30-14
29-15
22-14
24-17
19-16
18-18
12-24
11-18
27-19
25-8
17-12
21-21
16-12
14-16
23-30
25-8
19-11
27-14
18-20
17-26
28-13
20-16
24-21
21-19
31-17
19-20
23-24
19-22
13-24
24-21
17-28
155.2Avg total
81.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.564.8150.3+20.888%
Season at home (8)92.165.1157.2+27.0100%
Season away (9)79.764.4144.1+15.278%
Last 10 (10)81.973.3155.2+8.660%
Last 5 (5)83.876.6160.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.887.8152.5-23.00%
vs Similar (8)77.674.0151.6+3.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.263.6147.8+20.688%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
Lucca WVirtus Bologna W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H06/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A22/01
Serie A1 W
68.7Avg total
30.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.938.070.9-5.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.735.069.7-0.369%-
Last 30 away (17)31.640.271.8-8.618%-
Last 10 (10)30.538.268.7-7.740%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.262.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.840.572.3-8.729%-
vs Similar (9)33.837.271.0-3.456%-
vs Weaker (5)33.632.866.4+0.860%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USK Prague W
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H21/12
Euroleague Women
Brixia W
#14
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H01/01
Serie A1 W
Valencia W
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/01
Euroleague Women
San Martino W
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/01
Serie A1 W
Bourges W
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A11/01
Euroleague Women
Valdarno W
#13
W
44-19
44
19
+25
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H17/01
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#1
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/01
Euroleague Women
77.9Avg total
42.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.434.475.8+6.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.134.178.1+10.086%-
Last 30 away (16)39.034.873.8+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.335.677.9+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.676.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.043.071.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.136.079.1+7.1100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.331.674.9+11.682%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lucca W wins
4
Virtus Bologna W wins
DateGameScore
23/10/22Virtus Bologna W v Lucca W99-63
06/03/22Lucca W v Virtus Bologna W65-59
06/12/21Virtus Bologna W v Lucca W96-70
03/04/21Lucca W v Virtus Bologna W66-75
19/12/20Virtus Bologna W v Lucca W86-78
22/12/19Lucca W v Virtus Bologna W78-70
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23ASan Martino W75-60
08/01/23ABasket Crema W69-74
30/12/22HCampobasso W49-52
21/12/22AFaenza W66-72
18/12/22HBrixia W60-48
11/12/22HRagusa W74-77
06/12/22ALibertas Moncalieri W66-79
19/11/22HSchio W76-98
13/11/22ASan Giovanni W55-80
06/11/22HVenezia W67-79
Virtus Bologna Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23AFenerbahce W73-95
21/01/23HSchio W94-80
17/01/23HPolkowice W89-76
14/01/23AValdarno W89-53
11/01/23ABourges W74-79
08/01/23ASan Martino W80-57
04/01/23HValencia W73-75
01/01/23HBasket Crema W98-64
28/12/22ABrixia W88-69
21/12/22HUSK Prague W61-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW19%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %19%29%11%
Points / game64.265.962.9
Allowed / game72.469.974.3
Point differential-8.2-4.0-11.4
Avg total136.6135.7137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game85.592.179.7
Allowed / game64.865.164.4
Point differential+20.8+27.0+15.2
Avg total150.3157.2144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W1817194%83.263.2+20.0
2 Virtus Bologna W1715288%85.564.8+20.8
3 Venezia W1815383%80.165.4+14.7
4 Sassari W1713476%74.970.5+4.5
5 San Giovanni W1812667%65.664.0+1.6
6 Ragusa W1810856%73.867.8+6.0
7 Campobasso W1810856%64.665.1-0.5
8 San Martino W1881044%66.171.1-5.0
9 Faenza W1861233%68.473.3-4.9
10 Libertas Moncalieri W1861233%62.469.1-6.7
11 Basket Crema W1851328%66.472.9-6.6
12 Lucca W1631319%64.272.4-8.2
13 Brixia W1821611%61.277.3-16.1
14 Valdarno W1821611%61.480.6-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W1810161559
Virtus Bologna W2026252192
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