Ludwigsburg vs Jena Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 86-74

18-15 24-19 31-19 13-21

Position#10

Record11-12

FormWLWLL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game83.7

Ludwigsburg 🏆

Jena

Position#18

Record5-19

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game88.9

BBLRound 25

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Jena

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jena winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ludwigsburg Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

#32

81-99

-18

H22/01

Champions League

s.Oliver Wurzburg

79-82

-3

A25/01

BBL

Murcia

47-73

-26

A29/01

Champions League

Bonn

78-83

-5

H02/02

BBL

Nizhny Novgorod

#18

59-85

-26

H05/02

Champions League

Frankfurt

#11

96-94

A10/02

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

76-77

-1

A13/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

109-81

109

+28

A03/03

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

94-104

104

-10

H09/03

BBL

Oldenburg

71-100

100

-29

A16/03

BBL

17-23

16-15

25-27

23-34

30-13

14-23

16-22

19-24

11-11

5-22

21-20

10-20

22-24

14-22

12-22

30-15

18-17

15-22

15-31

11-15

19-25

28-21

30-26

19-22

17-20

18-13

19-24

22-20

29-10

12-28

39-29

29-14

23-20

24-30

22-34

25-20

18-33

17-30

16-20

20-17

166.8Avg total

79.0Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.9	83.7	167.6	+0.1	48%
Season at home (11)	81.1	76.7	157.8	+4.4	64%
Season away (12)	86.4	90.2	176.6	-3.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	87.8	166.8	-8.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	91.2	180.4	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	76.5	86.6	163.1	-10.1	21%
vs Similar (12)	85.7	82.8	168.5	+2.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	85.5	80.5	166.0	+5.0	75%

This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

62-103

103

-41

A18/01

BBL

Bamberg

85-90

-5

H25/01

BBL

Bayern

71-103

103

-32

A02/02

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

85-83

H09/02

BBL

Ulm

97-90

A12/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

78-103

103

-25

A01/03

BBL

Oldenburg

80-83

-3

H03/03

BBL

Bremerhaven

#17

74-76

-2

A09/03

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

69-83

-14

A13/03

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

89-96

-7

H16/03

BBL

15-32

22-27

6-26

19-18

23-20

34-20

10-26

18-24

24-17

14-28

17-30

16-28

21-24

24-19

25-19

15-21

32-12

22-30

19-22

24-26

28-17

17-22

13-32

20-32

20-25

14-21

21-20

25-17

25-20

17-18

16-25

16-13

13-14

12-23

25-28

19-18

23-22

24-23

24-32

18-19

170.0Avg total

79.0Scored

91.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	76.3	88.9	165.2	-12.6	21%
Season at home (12)	80.1	84.3	164.4	-4.2	25%
Season away (12)	72.5	93.4	165.9	-20.9	17%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	91.0	170.0	-12.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	88.2	166.2	-10.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	76.7	89.3	166.1	-12.6	19%
vs Similar (2)	75.5	66.0	141.5	+9.5	50%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	81.0	166.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LudwigsburgJena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.0	41.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.2	42.4	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.6	20.6	41.2	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.8	18.8	40.5	+3.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.1	40.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	35%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	14.0	32.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	22.6	38.9	-6.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.4	44.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.4	22.1	38.5	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	24.0	42.1	-5.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.1	43.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.4	38.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	24.0	51.0	+3.0	100%	-

LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

#32

33-38

-5

H22/01

Champions League

s.Oliver Wurzburg

44-36

A25/01

BBL

Murcia

16-33

-17

A29/01

Champions League

Bonn

36-46

-10

H02/02

BBL

Nizhny Novgorod

#18

33-39

-6

H05/02

Champions League

Frankfurt

#11

47-46

A10/02

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

35-33

A13/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

41-38

A03/03

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

47-50

-3

H09/03

BBL

Oldenburg

35-63

-28

A16/03

BBL

78.9Avg total

36.7Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.8	80.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.8	38.1	77.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	43.1	81.8	-4.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	42.2	78.9	-5.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	46.0	87.0	-5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.0	42.7	79.7	-5.7	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.3	39.9	81.2	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	40.8	36.5	77.2	+4.2	75%	-

This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

37-59

-22

A18/01

BBL

Bamberg

57-40

+17

H25/01

BBL

Bayern

38-45

-7

A02/02

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

45-43

H09/02

BBL

Ulm

54-42

+12

A12/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

45-39

A01/03

BBL

Oldenburg

34-46

-12

H03/03

BBL

Bremerhaven

#17

42-38

A09/03

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

25-37

-12

A13/03

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

47-45

H16/03

BBL

85.8Avg total

42.4Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	43.4	83.6	-3.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	41.6	84.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	45.1	82.4	-7.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	43.4	85.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	40.3	43.9	84.2	-3.6	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.0	34.5	71.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	38.0	83.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	23.2	42.6	-3.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	25.5	47.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	26.6	51.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.2	22.1	42.4	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.6	23.3	45.9	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	24.6	41.1	-8.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	26.0	43.6	-8.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	27.4	47.2	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	35%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	18.5	39.2	+2.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	35%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.0	15.5	31.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	28.0	45.0	-11.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.5	83.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	43.5	83.5	-3.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	41.6	83.8	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	45.6	87.9	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	45.2	93.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.9	43.2	82.1	-4.3	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.3	41.8	85.2	+1.5	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	42.2	42.0	84.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	43.3	80.2	-6.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	39.8	76.9	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	46.9	83.4	-10.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	47.6	84.2	-11.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	47.2	86.6	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	36.0	44.5	80.4	-8.5	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	31.5	70.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 88.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀20%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	25.0	62.5%	54.1%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	6.0	27.3%	33.9%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	26.0	20.0	76.9%	73.6%	20.0

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	10.0	31.2%	54.1%	20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	12.0	44.4%	33.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	73.6%	7.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	10.0	31.2%	54.1%	20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	12.0	44.4%	33.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	73.6%	7.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ludwigsburg wins

Jena wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/18	Jena v Ludwigsburg	89-91 OT
24/03/18	Ludwigsburg v Jena	91-62
29/10/17	Jena v Ludwigsburg	64-78
11/03/17	Jena v Ludwigsburg	80-95
30/12/16	Ludwigsburg v Jena	69-71

Ludwigsburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/19	A	Oldenburg	71-100
09/03/19	H	Basketball Braunschweig	94-104
03/03/19	A	Bayreuth	109-81
13/02/19	A	Mitteldeutscher	76-77
10/02/19	A	Frankfurt	96-94
05/02/19	H	Nizhny Novgorod	59-85
02/02/19	H	Bonn	78-83
29/01/19	A	Murcia	47-73
25/01/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	79-82
22/01/19	H	Ventspils	81-99

Jenalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/19	H	Bayreuth	89-96
13/03/19	A	Frankfurt	69-83
09/03/19	A	Bremerhaven	74-76
03/03/19	H	Oldenburg	80-83
01/03/19	A	Bayreuth	78-103
12/02/19	A	Ulm	97-90
09/02/19	H	Basketball Braunschweig	85-83
02/02/19	A	Bayern	71-103
25/01/19	H	Bamberg	85-90
18/01/19	A	Oldenburg	62-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	48%
Home	WWWLL	64%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	48%	64%	33%
Points / game	83.9	81.1	86.4
Allowed / game	83.7	76.7	90.2
Point differential	+0.1	+4.4	-3.8
Avg total	167.6	157.8	176.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	45%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	0% (2)	33% (6)
Overtime %	13%	0%	25%

Jena

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	21%
Home	LLWLL	25%
Away	LWLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	21%	25%	17%
Points / game	76.3	80.1	72.5
Allowed / game	88.9	84.3	93.4
Point differential	-12.6	-4.2	-20.9
Avg total	165.2	164.4	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	20% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	23	21	2	91%	87.8	75.5	+12.3
2	Oldenburg	23	19	4	83%	90.0	77.9	+12.2
3	Bamberg	22	17	5	77%	88.8	83.6	+5.2
4	Alba Berlin	21	16	5	76%	91.5	80.6	+10.9
5	Vechta	24	18	6	75%	85.0	79.8	+5.2
6	Bonn	23	13	10	57%	85.9	85.3	+0.5
7	Ulm	23	12	11	52%	87.9	85.9	+2.0
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	23	12	11	52%	81.9	81.3	+0.7
9	Basketball Braunschweig	24	12	12	50%	83.5	82.8	+0.8
10	Bayreuth	24	12	12	50%	87.3	86.7	+0.6
11	Ludwigsburg	23	11	12	48%	83.9	83.7	+0.1
12	Giessen	25	11	14	44%	89.9	92.2	-2.4
13	Frankfurt	23	10	13	43%	79.5	82.0	-2.6
14	Gottingen	24	7	17	29%	77.6	81.9	-4.3
15	Crailsheim Merlins	24	6	18	25%	81.9	89.1	-7.2
16	Mitteldeutscher	24	5	19	21%	80.0	88.1	-8.1
17	Jena	24	5	19	21%	76.3	88.9	-12.6
18	Bremerhaven	25	4	21	16%	79.2	89.0	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ludwigsburg	18	24	31	13	86
Jena	15	19	19	21	74

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Ludwigsburg vs Jena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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