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Murcia vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-47
11-11 22-5 20-21 20-10
Position#2
Record12-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game69.4
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#43
Record3-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Meetings · Murcia v Ludwigsburg
03 Apr 2024
MUR98
LUD72
29 Jan 2019
MUR73
LUD47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
96avg 101
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
98avg 101
H30/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
73-88
73
88
-15
103avg 101
H03/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
68-88
68
88
-20
94avg 101
A06/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
no box
H13/01
ACB
Avellino
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
no box
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
91avg 101
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
67-77
67
77
-10
81avg 101
H26/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-18
22-24
26-16
18-22
13-10
22-20
14-26
24-22
23-23
20-21
18-24
12-20
14-31
13-12
17-18
24-27
17-17
14-23
20-12
22-21
8-16
20-17
29-20
14-18
21-16
11-16
18-8
13-17
18-14
25-11
19-37
20-28
23-21
27-9
13-22
15-18
17-20
12-12
18-27
20-18
157.7Avg total
76.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.469.4145.8+7.186%
Season at home (6)81.276.3157.5+4.883%
Season away (8)72.964.1137.0+8.888%
Last 10 (10)76.381.4157.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)76.278.0154.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.187.4159.5-15.20%
vs Similar (12)76.272.4148.7+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.070.6147.6+6.480%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Jena
#18
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
no box
A27/12
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
H30/12
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
H02/01
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
62-86
62
86
-24
no box
A06/01
BBL
Le Mans
#31
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H09/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#12
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H13/01
BBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A16/01
Champions League
Vechta
#4
L
92-112
92
112
-20
no box
A19/01
BBL
Ventspils
#32
L
81-99
81
99
-18
no box
H22/01
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A25/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
20-19
15-18
22-14
28-14
16-19
19-26
20-9
24-12
22-28
20-16
27-30
12-23
20-24
16-27
14-12
15-15
20-17
16-17
17-24
29-22
17-20
29-19
25-21
22-25
16-22
26-17
23-10
23-27
21-28
27-28
21-29
17-23
16-15
25-27
23-34
30-13
14-23
16-22
19-24
168.7Avg total
83.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.483.8161.2-6.325%
Season at home (6)78.088.2166.2-10.217%
Season away (6)76.879.3156.2-2.533%
Last 10 (10)83.685.1168.7-1.550%
Last 5 (5)87.889.8177.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.985.9163.7-8.020%
vs Similar (10)82.580.1162.6+2.450%
vs Weaker (4)85.275.8161.0+9.5100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
MurciaLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H30/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H13/01
ACB
Avellino
#25
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/01
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A20/01
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H26/01
ACB
69.9Avg total
34.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.871.6+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.134.972.0+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)34.436.771.1-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.169.9-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.466.8+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.839.971.6-8.112%-
vs Similar (12)36.235.271.4+0.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.733.171.8+5.670%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#18
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A27/12
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/12
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H02/01
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/01
BBL
Le Mans
#31
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#12
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/01
BBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A16/01
Champions League
Vechta
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A19/01
BBL
Ventspils
#32
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H22/01
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A25/01
BBL
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.977.9+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.836.575.3+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.380.5-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.684.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.041.879.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (10)40.237.477.6+2.870%-
vs Weaker (4)41.533.875.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.0
50.3%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.0
37.0%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.110.7
66.5%
73.8%10.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.0
62.5%
52.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
34.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.020.0
76.9%
73.8%20.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWLWLLLL
Ludwigsburg
LLLWWLLWWW
#2
League position
#43
-3.7
Net rating
+37.0
102.1
Offensive rating
130.1
105.8
Defensive rating
93.1
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
19.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
40.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.42
37.0%
3-point %
27.3%
48.2%
Assist %
71.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 130.1Defence105.8 · 93.1Shooting52.1% · 54.8%3-point %37.0% · 27.3%Ball care19.9% · 13.3%Off. rebounds29.9% · 40.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murcia wins
1
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
13/11/18Ludwigsburg v Murcia81-80
06/05/18Ludwigsburg v Murcia74-85
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/19HMoraBanc Andorra67-77
22/01/19HAnwil Wloclawek78-70
20/01/19AGran Canaria82-90
16/01/19AAvellino63-57
13/01/19HTenerife91-96 OT
09/01/19HNizhny Novgorod94-90 OT
06/01/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza68-88
03/01/19HEstudiantes73-88
30/12/18HJoventut Badalona73-78
23/12/18AReal Madrid74-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/19As.Oliver Wurzburg79-82
22/01/19HVentspils81-99
19/01/19AVechta92-112
16/01/19AAnwil Wloclawek87-74
13/01/19HBayreuth100-82
09/01/19HLe Mans68-73
06/01/19ABonn62-86
02/01/19HMitteldeutscher93-86
30/12/18HGiessen83-68
27/12/18AJena91-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %86%83%88%
Points / game76.481.272.9
Allowed / game69.476.364.1
Point differential+7.1+4.8+8.8
Avg total145.8157.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game77.478.076.8
Allowed / game83.888.279.3
Point differential-6.3-10.2-2.5
Avg total161.2166.2156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia1412286%76.469.4+7.1
2 AEK Athens1311285%81.273.7+7.5
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem1210283%89.876.8+13.0
4 Tenerife1210283%81.869.2+12.7
5 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
6 Virtus Bologna129375%85.477.1+8.3
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Banvit128467%81.975.2+6.7
9 Venezia128467%84.179.5+4.6
10 Bamberg128467%82.180.2+1.9
11 Promitheas128467%81.980.8+1.1
12 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
13 Antwerp Giants1711665%81.677.7+3.9
14 Nanterre149564%84.871.9+12.9
15 Besiktas138562%77.576.1+1.5
16 PAOK127558%80.573.9+6.6
17 Avellino127558%82.582.5+0.0
18 Nizhny Novgorod1911858%79.674.2+5.4
19 Hapoel Holon137654%83.380.2+3.1
20 Oostende137654%75.278.4-3.2
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Neptunas126650%83.482.3+1.1
25 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
26 Strasbourg126650%75.675.9-0.3
27 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
28 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
29 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
30 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
31 Bonn136746%80.785.2-4.5
32 Fribourg Olympic1881044%78.481.9-3.4
33 Le Mans125742%74.076.6-2.6
34 Ventspils135838%79.782.8-3.1
35 Bayreuth145936%77.777.4+0.3
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Anwil Wloclawek124833%78.381.8-3.4
38 Lietkabelis134931%76.079.2-3.2
39 Dijon134931%75.079.5-4.5
40 Nymburk134931%78.985.0-6.1
41 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
42 Ludwigsburg123925%77.483.8-6.3
43 Fuenlabrada1331023%77.286.5-9.3
44 Petrol Olimpija121118%75.282.8-7.5
45 Opava121118%70.193.4-23.3
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 55 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1122202073
Ludwigsburg115211047
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