Lukoil Levski vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 May 2021

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 80-70

21-22 22-9 8-23 29-16

Position#1

Record22-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.0

Allowed / game76.8

Lukoil Levski 🏆

Balkan

Position#3

Record19-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game74.9

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2020-21

Meetings · Lukoil Levski v Balkan

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lukoil Levski winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Balkan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lukoil Levski Bulgaria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rilski Sportist

79-93

-14

A01/03

NBL

Beroe

86-85 OT

H06/03

NBL

Academic Bultex

70-69

H22/03

NBL

Yambol

87-80

A24/03

NBL

Chernomorets

87-76

+11

H31/03

NBL

Spartak Pleven

116-84

116

+32

A04/04

NBL

Balkan

78-74

H07/04

NBL

Cherno More

110-57

110

+53

A17/04

NBL

Yambol

92-62

+30

H23/04

NBL

Yambol

102-101

102

101

A26/04

NBL

18-32

22-12

24-27

15-22

19-13

13-17

22-25

22-21

15-15

18-19

20-25

17-10

22-21

12-24

23-20

30-15

18-24

25-22

21-20

23-10

35-19

26-20

27-25

28-20

16-24

24-15

24-17

14-18

31-11

27-14

26-11

26-21

27-21

16-12

27-11

22-18

26-27

31-15

25-33

20-26

168.8Avg total

90.7Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	90.0	76.8	166.8	+13.2	85%
Season at home (13)	86.8	73.5	160.4	+13.3	85%
Season away (13)	93.2	80.0	173.2	+13.2	85%
Last 10 (10)	90.7	78.1	168.8	+12.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	99.6	75.6	175.2	+24.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	75.7	81.3	157.0	-5.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	75.0	72.7	147.7	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker (23)	93.6	75.7	169.3	+17.9	96%

This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fribourg Olympic

#13

90-74

+16

A23/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parma Perm

62-84

-22

H25/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Cherno More

99-78

+21

A30/03

NBL

Rilski Sportist

77-82

-5

A03/04

NBL

Lukoil Levski

74-78

-4

A07/04

NBL

Academic Bultex

85-75

+10

H10/04

NBL

Yambol

101-77

101

+24

H17/04

NBL

Beroe

94-58

+36

H21/04

NBL

Beroe

85-86

-1

A24/04

NBL

Beroe

82-67

+15

H01/05

NBL

33-18

11-21

19-19

27-16

11-19

18-18

16-27

17-20

24-21

21-21

33-14

21-22

24-31

24-12

3-22

26-17

24-16

15-24

17-24

18-14

25-14

15-23

26-18

19-20

29-19

21-14

24-26

27-18

31-9

22-14

19-14

22-21

19-26

23-14

18-19

25-27

18-22

23-11

20-17

21-17

160.8Avg total

84.9Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	86.8	74.9	161.6	+11.9	70%
Season at home (14)	88.6	74.9	163.5	+13.8	71%
Season away (13)	84.8	74.8	159.6	+9.9	69%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	75.9	160.8	+9.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	72.6	162.0	+16.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.7	83.7	153.3	-14.0	17%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	73.3	70.8	144.2	+2.5	67%
vs Weaker (17)	91.4	73.9	165.3	+17.4	88%

This opponent (Lukoil Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Lukoil LevskiBalkan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	18.9	40.6	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	19.4	41.8	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	20.4	47.4	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.2	18.1	41.3	+5.1	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	17.1	39.1	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	23.3	44.8	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.5	43.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.0	42.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	23.2	41.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	17.2	36.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.7	20.4	44.1	+3.4	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	17.5	40.4	+5.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.9	20.3	43.2	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	15.2	40.0	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	17.7	40.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	20.7	15.3	36.0	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.2	36.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	14.0	19.5	33.5	-5.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.9	17.5	40.4	+5.4	71%	-

Lukoil LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rilski Sportist

40-44

-4

A01/03

NBL

Beroe

32-30

H06/03

NBL

Academic Bultex

33-34

-1

H22/03

NBL

Yambol

34-45

-11

A24/03

NBL

Chernomorets

43-46

-3

H31/03

NBL

Spartak Pleven

61-39

+22

A04/04

NBL

Balkan

40-39

H07/04

NBL

Cherno More

58-25

+33

A17/04

NBL

Yambol

43-33

+10

H23/04

NBL

Yambol

57-42

+15

A26/04

NBL

81.8Avg total

44.1Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	37.8	82.8	+7.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.6	36.4	81.0	+8.2	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.4	39.7	85.1	+5.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	37.7	81.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	35.6	87.4	+16.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	42.7	82.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	38.3	35.7	74.0	+2.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (23)	45.8	37.6	83.4	+8.3	78%	-

This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fribourg Olympic

#13

44-39

A23/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parma Perm

29-37

-8

H25/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Cherno More

45-42

A30/03

NBL

Rilski Sportist

48-43

A03/04

NBL

Lukoil Levski

39-40

-1

A07/04

NBL

Academic Bultex

40-37

H10/04

NBL

Yambol

50-33

+17

H17/04

NBL

Beroe

53-23

+30

H21/04

NBL

Beroe

42-40

A24/04

NBL

Beroe

41-33

H01/05

NBL

79.8Avg total

43.1Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	38.4	80.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	35.8	78.0	+6.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	41.5	82.6	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	36.7	79.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	33.2	78.4	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	42.7	79.0	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	33.7	36.7	70.3	-3.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (17)	46.6	37.8	84.4	+8.8	88%	-

This opponent (Lukoil Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.4	45.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.4	45.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	16.7	35.3	+2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.3	20.6	44.0	+2.7	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	38.0	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.5	21.8	35.3	-8.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.9	17.3	39.2	+4.6	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.0	40.9	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	17.1	39.3	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.8	19.3	43.1	+4.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (23)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	87%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.2	41.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.3	16.0	37.3	+5.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	37.8	83.2	+7.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	35.9	79.5	+7.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	47.8	40.3	88.1	+7.5	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	39.5	85.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	40.0	87.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	38.7	74.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	36.7	37.0	73.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (23)	47.3	37.8	85.1	+9.6	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	36.7	78.2	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	36.9	80.2	+6.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	36.5	75.9	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	39.4	83.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.3	41.0	74.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.7	34.2	73.8	+5.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.8	36.1	80.9	+8.6	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Lukoil Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.0	51.4%	54.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	6.0	22.2%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.4%	7.0

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lukoil Levski wins

Balkan wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/21	Lukoil Levski v Balkan	78-74
06/02/21	Balkan v Lukoil Levski	76-81
19/12/20	Lukoil Levski v Balkan	66-68
09/02/20	Lukoil Levski v Balkan	86-78
18/01/20	Balkan v Lukoil Levski	77-71
16/11/19	Lukoil Levski v Balkan	73-76
28/03/19	Lukoil Levski v Balkan	72-66
05/02/19	Lukoil Levski v Balkan	105-88
16/01/19	Balkan v Lukoil Levski	73-96
09/01/19	Balkan v Lukoil Levski	81-57

Lukoil Levskilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/21	A	Yambol	102-101
23/04/21	H	Yambol	92-62
17/04/21	A	Cherno More	110-57
07/04/21	H	Balkan	78-74
04/04/21	A	Spartak Pleven	116-84
31/03/21	H	Chernomorets	87-76
24/03/21	A	Yambol	87-80
22/03/21	H	Academic Bultex	70-69
06/03/21	H	Beroe	86-85 OT
01/03/21	A	Rilski Sportist	79-93

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/21	H	Beroe	82-67
24/04/21	A	Beroe	85-86
21/04/21	H	Beroe	94-58
17/04/21	H	Yambol	101-77
10/04/21	H	Academic Bultex	85-75
07/04/21	A	Lukoil Levski	74-78
03/04/21	A	Rilski Sportist	77-82
30/03/21	A	Cherno More	99-78
25/03/21	H	Parma Perm	62-84
23/03/21	A	Fribourg Olympic	90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lukoil Levski

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	LWWWW	85%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	85%	85%	85%
Points / game	90.0	86.8	93.2
Allowed / game	76.8	73.5	80.0
Point differential	+13.2	+13.3	+13.2
Avg total	166.8	160.4	173.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	62%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	75% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Balkan

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	70%
Home	WWWWW	71%
Away	WWLLL	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	70%	71%	69%
Points / game	86.8	88.6	84.8
Allowed / game	74.9	74.9	74.8
Point differential	+11.9	+13.8	+9.9
Avg total	161.6	163.5	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	57%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (1)	33% (6)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rilski Sportist	26	24	2	92%	94.8	74.1	+20.7
2	Lukoil Levski	26	22	4	85%	90.0	76.8	+13.2
3	Balkan	27	19	8	70%	86.8	74.9	+11.9
4	Academic Bultex	26	13	13	50%	85.0	83.3	+1.7
5	Chernomorets	26	12	14	46%	87.6	88.6	-1.0
6	Beroe	27	12	15	44%	81.3	84.7	-3.3
7	Yambol	26	9	17	35%	79.7	86.3	-6.7
8	Spartak Pleven	26	4	22	15%	76.3	93.5	-17.2
9	Cherno More	24	2	22	8%	71.9	93.2	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lukoil Levski	21	22	8	29	80
Balkan	22	9	23	16	70

← all games of the day

Lukoil Levski vs Balkan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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