Balkan vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 94-58

31-9 22-14 19-14 22-21

Position#3

Record17-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game75.4

Balkan 🏆

Beroe

Position#6

Record11-13

FormWWWLL

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game84.4

NBLNBL - Quarter-finals

Other2020-21

Meetings · Balkan v Beroe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Beroe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chernomorets

84-71

+13

H11/03

Bulgarian Cup

Rilski Sportist

48-90

-42

A13/03

Bulgarian Cup

Beroe

106-84

106

+22

H20/03

NBL

Fribourg Olympic

#13

90-74

+16

A23/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parma Perm

62-84

-22

H25/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Cherno More

99-78

+21

A30/03

NBL

Rilski Sportist

77-82

-5

A03/04

NBL

Lukoil Levski

74-78

-4

A07/04

NBL

Academic Bultex

85-75

+10

H10/04

NBL

Yambol

101-77

101

+24

H17/04

NBL

24-11

15-23

28-13

17-24

14-22

16-25

8-22

10-21

22-23

25-25

29-17

30-19

33-18

11-21

19-19

27-16

11-19

18-18

16-27

17-20

24-21

21-21

33-14

21-22

24-31

24-12

3-22

26-17

24-16

15-24

17-24

18-14

25-14

15-23

26-18

19-20

29-19

21-14

24-26

27-18

161.9Avg total

82.6Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	86.8	75.4	162.2	+11.3	71%
Season at home (12)	88.8	76.9	165.7	+11.8	67%
Season away (12)	84.8	73.9	158.7	+10.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	79.3	161.9	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	78.0	165.2	+9.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.7	83.7	153.3	-14.0	17%
vs Similar (6)	73.3	70.8	144.2	+2.5	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	89.9	75.5	165.5	+14.4	82%

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Beroe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

88-98

-10

H12/03

Bulgarian Cup

Balkan

84-106

106

-22

A20/03

NBL

Gilboa Galil

53-88

-35

A22/03

BIBL

Academic Bultex

68-93

-25

H27/03

NBL

TFT Skopje

#14

91-90

H29/03

BIBL

Cherno More

80-76

A04/04

NBL

Gilboa Galil

90-82

H07/04

BIBL

Chernomorets

76-72

H12/04

NBL

Yambol

75-83

-8

H14/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

67-109

109

-42

A17/04

NBL

20-18

22-23

24-33

22-24

23-22

25-25

17-29

19-30

16-18

8-21

7-24

22-25

15-26

15-18

16-23

22-26

32-23

17-16

31-25

11-26

19-20

25-12

12-22

24-22

14-8

27-26

26-27

23-21

18-13

15-25

21-21

22-13

27-29

18-15

12-24

18-15

25-24

17-32

14-31

11-22

166.9Avg total

77.2Scored

89.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	82.7	84.4	167.1	-1.7	46%
Season at home (12)	82.7	81.2	163.8	+1.5	50%
Season away (12)	82.8	87.6	170.3	-4.8	42%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	89.7	166.9	-12.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	84.4	162.0	-6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	75.7	91.9	167.6	-16.2	22%
vs Similar (9)	86.0	89.4	175.4	-3.4	33%
vs Weaker (11)	89.4	75.8	165.2	+13.5	91%

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BalkanBeroe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	22.4	43.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.2	45.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	23.2	41.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	17.2	36.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.6	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.0	18.1	42.1	+5.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	23.6	42.9	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.0	21.3	47.3	+4.7	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.6	38.9	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.9	38.4	+0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	14.0	19.5	33.5	-5.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+2.9	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.7	23.4	41.1	-5.8	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.9	17.5	39.4	+4.5	64%	-

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chernomorets

39-34

H11/03

Bulgarian Cup

Rilski Sportist

30-47

-17

A13/03

Bulgarian Cup

Beroe

47-48

-1

H20/03

NBL

Fribourg Olympic

#13

44-39

A23/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parma Perm

29-37

-8

H25/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Cherno More

45-42

A30/03

NBL

Rilski Sportist

48-43

A03/04

NBL

Lukoil Levski

39-40

-1

A07/04

NBL

Academic Bultex

40-37

H10/04

NBL

Yambol

50-33

+17

H17/04

NBL

81.1Avg total

41.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	38.9	79.8	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	36.8	77.7	+4.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	41.3	82.2	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	40.0	81.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.0	83.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	42.7	79.0	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.7	36.7	70.3	-3.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.2	38.6	83.8	+6.5	82%	-

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

42-41

H12/03

Bulgarian Cup

Balkan

48-47

A20/03

NBL

Gilboa Galil

24-39

-15

A22/03

BIBL

Academic Bultex

30-44

-14

H27/03

NBL

TFT Skopje

#14

49-39

+10

H29/03

BIBL

Cherno More

44-32

+12

A04/04

NBL

Gilboa Galil

41-34

H07/04

BIBL

Chernomorets

33-38

-5

H12/04

NBL

Yambol

45-44

H14/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

42-56

-14

A17/04

NBL

81.2Avg total

39.8Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	38.4	82.0	+5.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	43.4	83.6	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.4	81.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.8	81.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.1	42.4	80.6	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.7	41.4	80.1	-2.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.9	38.7	86.6	+9.2	82%	-

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.1	39.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.6	37.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.5	21.8	35.3	-8.3	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.9	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.8	39.6	-3.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	25.9	43.9	-7.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.2	23.4	41.7	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.5	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	16.0	37.3	+5.3	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.5	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.3	24.9	43.2	-6.6	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	37.4	80.0	+5.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	35.7	75.4	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.3	80.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	39.0	81.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.3	41.0	74.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.7	34.2	73.8	+5.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.3	35.9	80.2	+8.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.2	81.7	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	41.4	83.1	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	43.0	80.1	-5.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	48.3	85.7	-10.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.6	80.2	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.6	48.3	84.9	-11.8	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.6	40.6	80.1	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.5	37.1	78.5	+4.4	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.0	51.4%	54.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	6.0	22.2%	32.3%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.3%	7.0

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.3%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.3%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.3%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.3%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Balkan wins

Beroe wins

Date	Game	Score
20/03/21	Balkan v Beroe	106-84
12/01/21	Beroe v Balkan	94-90
14/11/20	Balkan v Beroe	72-79
11/01/20	Beroe v Balkan	65-75
09/11/19	Balkan v Beroe	86-94
16/05/19	Beroe v Balkan	65-81
13/05/19	Balkan v Beroe	110-91
11/05/19	Balkan v Beroe	96-101
08/05/19	Beroe v Balkan	85-81
06/05/19	Beroe v Balkan	70-88

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/21	H	Yambol	101-77
10/04/21	H	Academic Bultex	85-75
07/04/21	A	Lukoil Levski	74-78
03/04/21	A	Rilski Sportist	77-82
30/03/21	A	Cherno More	99-78
25/03/21	H	Parma Perm	62-84
23/03/21	A	Fribourg Olympic	90-74
20/03/21	H	Beroe	106-84
13/03/21	A	Rilski Sportist	48-90
11/03/21	H	Chernomorets	84-71

Beroelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/21	A	Rilski Sportist	67-109
14/04/21	H	Yambol	75-83
12/04/21	H	Chernomorets	76-72
07/04/21	H	Gilboa Galil	90-82
04/04/21	A	Cherno More	80-76
29/03/21	H	TFT Skopje	91-90
27/03/21	H	Academic Bultex	68-93
22/03/21	A	Gilboa Galil	53-88
20/03/21	A	Balkan	84-106
12/03/21	H	Yambol	88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	71%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	WWWLL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	71%	67%	75%
Points / game	86.8	88.8	84.8
Allowed / game	75.4	76.9	73.9
Point differential	+11.3	+11.8	+10.8
Avg total	162.2	165.7	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	50%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Beroe

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	46%
Home	LWLWL	50%
Away	LLLWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	50%	42%
Points / game	82.7	82.7	82.8
Allowed / game	84.4	81.2	87.6
Point differential	-1.7	+1.5	-4.8
Avg total	167.1	163.8	170.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	60% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	12%	8%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rilski Sportist	24	22	2	92%	94.0	74.5	+19.5
2	Lukoil Levski	24	20	4	83%	89.4	76.4	+13.0
3	Balkan	24	17	7	71%	86.8	75.4	+11.3
4	Chernomorets	24	12	12	50%	88.5	88.2	+0.2
5	Academic Bultex	24	11	13	46%	84.4	83.9	+0.5
6	Beroe	24	11	13	46%	82.7	84.4	-1.7
7	Yambol	24	9	15	38%	79.5	85.5	-6.0
8	Spartak Pleven	24	4	20	17%	77.0	92.6	-15.7
9	Cherno More	24	2	22	8%	71.9	93.2	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Balkan	31	22	19	22	94
Beroe	9	14	14	21	58

← all games of the day

Balkan vs Beroe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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