Lukoil Levski vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 58-99

7-22 10-26 22-23 19-28

Position#14

Record1-12

FormLWLWL

Points / game67.3

Allowed / game83.8

Lukoil Levski

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Position#1

Record13-0

FormWLWWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game70.1

ABA LeagueRound 14

Domestic2014

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lukoil Levski winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lukoil LevskiLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spartak Pleven

96-72

+24

A19/11

NBL

KK Metalac

54-81

-27

A22/11

ABA League

Academic

77-91

-14

A26/11

NBL

Igokea

#12

54-87

-33

A30/11

ABA League

Beroe

85-62

+23

A03/12

NBL

MZT Skopje

#13

61-72

-11

A07/12

ABA League

Chernomorets

108-70

108

+38

A10/12

NBL

Petrol Olimpija

70-89

-19

A13/12

ABA League

Cherno More

112-79

112

+33

H17/12

NBL

Cibona

#11

64-74

-10

H20/12

ABA League

27-12

23-22

32-22

14-16

11-24

17-21

19-18

7-18

19-25

20-19

18-20

20-27

9-34

13-21

15-13

17-19

24-14

21-19

21-15

19-14

16-6

20-16

18-19

7-31

18-26

33-21

28-13

29-10

17-30

25-25

14-8

14-26

31-20

18-21

31-12

32-26

12-18

13-20

21-18

18-18

155.8Avg total

78.1Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	67.3	83.8	151.2	-16.5	8%
Season at home (5)	74.2	84.6	158.8	-10.4	20%
Season away (8)	63.0	83.4	146.4	-20.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	77.7	155.8	+0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	76.8	159.8	+6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	73.6	84.2	157.8	-10.7	25%
vs Similar (5)	93.2	83.6	176.8	+9.6	80%
vs Weaker (5)	94.4	68.6	163.0	+25.8	100%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galatasaray

#23

103-110 OT

103

110

-7

A21/11

Euroleague

Cedevita

88-87

A24/11

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

79-62

+17

H27/11

Euroleague

Partizan

76-67

H30/11

ABA League

Valencia

#21

77-68

A05/12

Euroleague

KK Metalac

82-74

A08/12

ABA League

Olympiacos

59-64

-5

A12/12

Euroleague

Igokea

#12

76-71

H15/12

ABA League

Baskonia

#13

90-82

H19/12

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#13

79-76

A22/12

ABA League

16-22

24-23

23-9

19-28

17-17

19-21

31-19

21-30

22-14

13-23

27-10

17-15

19-14

19-8

19-14

19-31

20-16

22-21

20-15

15-16

22-20

18-22

20-20

22-12

16-13

12-14

20-15

11-22

20-19

23-14

21-24

12-14

18-18

28-27

24-18

20-19

25-17

30-18

6-21

18-20

157.0Avg total

80.9Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	82.8	70.1	152.8	+12.7	100%
Season at home (7)	81.6	68.9	150.4	+12.7	100%
Season away (6)	84.2	71.5	155.7	+12.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	76.1	157.0	+4.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	73.4	150.6	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	75.8	74.7	150.5	+1.1	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	84.3	72.6	156.9	+11.8	90%

This opponent (Lukoil Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Lukoil LevskiCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	21.3	41.3	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	28.0	19.2	47.2	+8.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.8	16.2	40.0	+7.6	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.6	36.4	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.9	21.2	43.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.7	45%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.6	19.2	45.8	+7.4	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.6	65%	-

Lukoil LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spartak Pleven

50-34

+16

A19/11

NBL

KK Metalac

28-45

-17

A22/11

ABA League

Academic

39-44

-5

A26/11

NBL

Igokea

#12

22-55

-33

A30/11

ABA League

Beroe

45-33

+12

A03/12

NBL

MZT Skopje

#13

36-22

+14

A07/12

ABA League

Chernomorets

51-47

A10/12

NBL

Petrol Olimpija

42-55

-13

A13/12

ABA League

Cherno More

49-41

H17/12

NBL

Cibona

#11

25-38

-13

H20/12

ABA League

80.1Avg total

38.7Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.4	83.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.8	40.6	85.4	+4.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	40.7	41.9	82.6	-1.2	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.4	80.1	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.6	81.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.6	42.4	81.0	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	49.4	43.4	92.8	+6.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.4	35.4	85.8	+15.0	100%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galatasaray

#23

40-45

-5

A21/11

Euroleague

Cedevita

36-38

-2

A24/11

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

35-37

-2

H27/11

Euroleague

Partizan

38-22

+16

H30/11

ABA League

Valencia

#21

42-37

A05/12

Euroleague

KK Metalac

40-42

-2

A08/12

ABA League

Olympiacos

28-27

A12/12

Euroleague

Igokea

#12

43-33

+10

H15/12

ABA League

Baskonia

#13

46-45

H19/12

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#13

55-35

+20

A22/12

ABA League

76.4Avg total

40.3Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.1	76.5	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	34.4	73.6	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	38.0	79.9	+3.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	36.1	76.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	36.4	78.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	36.8	35.8	72.6	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.2	36.2	78.5	+6.0	65%	-

This opponent (Lukoil Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.8	37.5	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	14.0	36.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.8	20.1	38.8	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	15.6	37.8	+6.6	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	16.5	37.8	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	15.8	36.2	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.5	37.6	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	15.9	38.0	+6.2	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	20.7	41.4	+0.1	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.2	20.9	38.1	-3.8	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.2	21.9	38.1	-5.6	15%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.4	34.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.0	19.1	38.0	-0.1	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	40.2	78.1	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.4	41.2	82.6	+0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.7	39.5	75.2	-3.8	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	36.3	75.7	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	36.2	78.6	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.0	41.9	76.9	-6.9	15%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.8	40.2	84.0	+3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.0	33.2	77.2	+10.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	35.5	75.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	34.1	73.2	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	37.1	77.8	+3.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.2	75.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.0	71.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.0	35.0	76.0	+6.1	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lukoil Levski wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
03/10/14	Crvena zvezda v Lukoil Levski	85-55

Lukoil Levskilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/14	H	Cibona	64-74
17/12/14	H	Cherno More	112-79
13/12/14	A	Petrol Olimpija	70-89
10/12/14	A	Chernomorets	108-70
07/12/14	A	MZT Skopje	61-72
03/12/14	A	Beroe	85-62
30/11/14	A	Igokea	54-87
26/11/14	A	Academic	77-91
22/11/14	A	KK Metalac	54-81
19/11/14	A	Spartak Pleven	96-72

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/14	A	MZT Skopje	79-76
19/12/14	H	Baskonia	90-82
15/12/14	H	Igokea	76-71
12/12/14	A	Olympiacos	59-64
08/12/14	A	KK Metalac	82-74
05/12/14	A	Valencia	77-68
30/11/14	H	Partizan	76-67
27/11/14	H	Neptunas	79-62
24/11/14	A	Cedevita	88-87
21/11/14	A	Galatasaray	103-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lukoil Levski

ABA League 2014

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	8%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	8%	20%	0%
Points / game	67.3	74.2	63.0
Allowed / game	83.8	84.6	83.4
Point differential	-16.5	-10.4	-20.4
Avg total	151.2	158.8	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

ABA League 2014

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	82.8	81.6	84.2
Allowed / game	70.1	68.9	71.5
Point differential	+12.7	+12.7	+12.7
Avg total	152.8	150.4	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	43%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Crvena zvezda	13	13	0	100%	82.8	70.1	+12.7
2	Buducnost	13	11	2	85%	79.8	70.8	+8.9
3	Cedevita	14	10	4	71%	77.3	69.3	+8.0
4	Petrol Olimpija	14	8	6	57%	72.4	69.6	+2.9
5	Cibona	14	8	6	57%	76.3	77.5	-1.2
6	Partizan	14	7	7	50%	69.7	69.4	+0.3
7	Mega Bemax	13	6	7	46%	81.5	82.8	-1.3
8	KK Krka Novo mesto	14	6	8	43%	72.9	72.3	+0.6
9	Zadar	14	6	8	43%	72.0	74.5	-2.5
10	Szolnoki Olaj	14	6	8	43%	69.1	71.9	-2.8
11	Igokea	14	5	9	36%	68.2	67.7	+0.5
12	KK Metalac	13	4	9	31%	72.6	76.9	-4.3
13	MZT Skopje	13	4	9	31%	67.1	72.7	-5.6
14	Lukoil Levski	13	1	12	8%	67.3	83.8	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lukoil Levski	7	10	22	19	58
Crvena zvezda	22	26	23	28	99

← all games of the day

Lukoil Levski vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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