Crvena zvezda vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 90-82

18-18 28-27 24-18 20-19

Position#15

Record5-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game71.8

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Baskonia

Position#13

Record5-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game78.7

EuroleagueRound 10

European cup2014

Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Baskonia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Baskonia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#13

86-66

+20

A13/11

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

85-78

H16/11

ABA League

Galatasaray

#23

103-110 OT

103

110

-7

A21/11

Euroleague

Cedevita

88-87

A24/11

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

79-62

+17

H27/11

Euroleague

Partizan

76-67

H30/11

ABA League

Valencia

#21

77-68

A05/12

Euroleague

KK Metalac

82-74

A08/12

ABA League

Olympiacos

59-64

-5

A12/12

Euroleague

Igokea

#12

76-71

H15/12

ABA League

21-22

20-12

25-16

20-16

22-9

19-31

15-18

29-20

16-22

24-23

23-9

19-28

17-17

19-21

31-19

21-30

22-14

13-23

27-10

17-15

19-14

19-8

19-14

19-31

20-16

22-21

20-15

15-16

22-20

18-22

20-20

22-12

16-13

12-14

20-15

11-22

20-19

23-14

21-24

12-14

155.8Avg total

81.1Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	77.1	71.8	148.9	+5.3	56%
Season at home (4)	72.0	63.8	135.8	+8.2	75%
Season away (5)	81.2	78.2	159.4	+3.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	74.7	155.8	+6.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	68.8	142.8	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	74.6	74.7	149.3	-0.1	40%
vs Weaker (20)	84.8	72.0	156.8	+12.9	90%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#15

66-86

-20

H13/11

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#17

79-62

+17

H15/11

ACB

Neptunas

#17

79-80

-1

A20/11

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

82-83

-1

A23/11

ACB

Olympiacos

89-70

+19

H27/11

Euroleague

Tenerife

#11

84-74

+10

H30/11

ACB

Galatasaray

#23

89-82

A05/12

Euroleague

Valencia

70-85

-15

A07/12

ACB

Valencia

#21

93-89

H12/12

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#18

77-71

H14/12

ACB

22-21

12-20

16-25

16-20

15-20

21-17

19-8

24-17

15-20

18-21

21-20

25-19

23-23

22-19

26-25

11-16

24-17

20-20

24-15

21-18

18-15

23-18

20-20

23-21

19-19

20-19

28-27

22-17

17-22

10-30

18-15

25-18

28-24

23-23

18-15

24-27

18-17

10-20

22-17

27-17

159.0Avg total

80.8Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	80.1	78.7	158.8	+1.4	56%
Season at home (5)	85.4	80.8	166.2	+4.6	80%
Season away (4)	73.5	76.0	149.5	-2.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	78.2	159.0	+2.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	80.2	162.8	+2.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.5	91.2	165.8	-16.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	77.4	76.7	154.1	+0.7	54%
vs Weaker (12)	84.2	78.2	162.5	+6.0	67%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crvena zvezdaBaskonia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.1	38.0	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	20.2	39.5	-1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	19.5	37.8	-1.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.1	19.8	39.8	+0.3	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	16.2	35.6	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.1	39.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.8	34.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.8	17.3	34.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	19.2	37.5	-0.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	21.3	39.7	-2.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.2	20.4	38.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.2	19.7	37.8	-1.5	50%	-

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#13

41-34

A13/11

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

41-40

H16/11

ABA League

Galatasaray

#23

40-45

-5

A21/11

Euroleague

Cedevita

36-38

-2

A24/11

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

35-37

-2

H27/11

Euroleague

Partizan

38-22

+16

H30/11

ABA League

Valencia

#21

42-37

A05/12

Euroleague

KK Metalac

40-42

-2

A08/12

ABA League

Olympiacos

28-27

A12/12

Euroleague

Igokea

#12

43-33

+10

H15/12

ABA League

73.9Avg total

38.4Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.7	75.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	34.1	72.2	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	37.4	78.9	+4.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.5	73.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	32.2	70.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	35.1	35.3	70.4	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	42.0	35.9	77.8	+6.1	65%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#15

34-41

-7

H13/11

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#17

36-37

-1

H15/11

ACB

Neptunas

#17

33-41

-8

A20/11

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

45-42

A23/11

ACB

Olympiacos

44-37

H27/11

Euroleague

Tenerife

#11

41-33

H30/11

ACB

Galatasaray

#23

39-38

A05/12

Euroleague

Valencia

27-52

-25

A07/12

ACB

Valencia

#21

51-47

H12/12

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#18

28-37

-9

H14/12

ACB

78.3Avg total

37.8Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	40.4	77.3	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.6	39.4	77.0	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	41.6	77.8	-5.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	40.5	78.3	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.4	78.6	-4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	42.5	79.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.4	39.9	76.3	-3.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.2	39.4	77.7	-1.2	42%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	15.2	35.2	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	16.8	39.9	+6.3	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	16.0	38.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.6	15.6	38.1	+7.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	17.6	38.6	+3.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	21.2	43.2	+0.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	77%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.8	19.2	43.0	+4.7	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	38.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.4	38.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.0	34.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.2	19.1	38.4	+0.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	20.6	43.1	+1.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.8	39.1	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	26.2	46.2	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	19.7	41.8	+2.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	35.1	75.4	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	33.6	72.6	+5.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	36.8	78.5	+4.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.4	77.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	36.6	72.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.2	35.9	73.1	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	41.8	34.7	76.5	+7.1	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.5	81.9	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.4	38.3	81.6	+5.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	41.1	82.2	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	37.7	80.7	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	38.8	84.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	48.8	86.2	-11.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.0	36.8	77.8	+4.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	46.0	38.8	84.8	+7.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crvena zvezda wins

Baskonia wins

Date	Game	Score
13/11/14	Baskonia v Crvena zvezda	66-86
12/12/13	Crvena zvezda v Baskonia	81-65
07/11/13	Baskonia v Crvena zvezda	63-73

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/14	H	Igokea	76-71
12/12/14	A	Olympiacos	59-64
08/12/14	A	KK Metalac	82-74
05/12/14	A	Valencia	77-68
30/11/14	H	Partizan	76-67
27/11/14	H	Neptunas	79-62
24/11/14	A	Cedevita	88-87
21/11/14	A	Galatasaray	103-110 OT
16/11/14	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	85-78
13/11/14	A	Baskonia	86-66

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/14	H	Fuenlabrada	77-71
12/12/14	H	Valencia	93-89
07/12/14	A	Valencia	70-85
05/12/14	A	Galatasaray	89-82
30/11/14	H	Tenerife	84-74
27/11/14	H	Olympiacos	89-70
23/11/14	A	Joventut Badalona	82-83
20/11/14	A	Neptunas	79-80
15/11/14	H	Gipuzkoa	79-62
13/11/14	H	Crvena zvezda	66-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	56%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	75%	40%
Points / game	77.1	72.0	81.2
Allowed / game	71.8	63.8	78.2
Point differential	+5.3	+8.2	+3.0
Avg total	148.9	135.8	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Baskonia

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	56%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	56%	80%	25%
Points / game	80.1	85.4	73.5
Allowed / game	78.7	80.8	76.0
Point differential	+1.4	+4.6	-2.5
Avg total	158.8	166.2	149.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	10	10	0	100%	88.0	71.8	+16.2
2	Barcelona	9	8	1	89%	86.8	74.6	+12.2
3	Real Madrid	10	8	2	80%	87.3	77.5	+9.8
4	Olympiacos	10	8	2	80%	74.8	71.1	+3.7
5	Fenerbahce	9	7	2	78%	84.0	78.4	+5.6
6	Maccabi Tel Aviv	10	7	3	70%	79.7	78.3	+1.4
7	Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	2	1	67%	79.7	76.7	+3.0
8	Unics Kazan	13	8	5	62%	77.8	73.6	+4.2
9	Anadolu Efes	10	6	4	60%	72.3	69.6	+2.7
10	Crvena zvezda	9	5	4	56%	77.1	71.8	+5.3
11	Panathinaikos	9	5	4	56%	77.9	73.7	+4.2
12	Baskonia	9	5	4	56%	80.1	78.7	+1.4
13	Strasbourg	2	1	1	50%	73.5	63.5	+10.0
14	Zalgiris Kaunas	10	5	5	50%	71.4	70.9	+0.5
15	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	2	1	1	50%	82.5	83.0	-0.5
16	Olimpia Milano	10	5	5	50%	77.5	79.5	-2.0
17	Nizhny Novgorod	10	5	5	50%	76.4	82.3	-5.9
18	Alba Berlin	9	4	5	44%	77.2	80.1	-2.9
19	Unicaja	10	4	6	40%	76.3	75.7	+0.6
20	Galatasaray	10	4	6	40%	80.3	81.8	-1.5
21	Neptunas	10	4	6	40%	76.3	85.7	-9.4
22	Valencia	10	3	7	30%	77.5	76.4	+1.1
23	Cedevita	9	2	7	22%	74.4	80.2	-5.8
24	Bayern	9	2	7	22%	80.6	86.6	-6.0
25	Limoges	10	2	8	20%	70.2	80.6	-10.4
26	Sassari	10	1	9	10%	75.8	85.9	-10.1
27	Turow Zgorzelec	10	1	9	10%	77.3	89.7	-12.4
28	Zielona Gora	1	0	1	0%	86.0	90.0	-4.0
29	Oostende	1	0	1	0%	77.0	86.0	-9.0
30	Nymburk	1	0	1	0%	84.0	94.0	-10.0
31	VEF Riga	1	0	1	0%	53.0	82.0	-29.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crvena zvezda	18	28	24	20	90
Baskonia	18	27	18	19	82

← all games of the day

Crvena zvezda vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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