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Lummen W vs Laarne W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-63
18-20 18-9 15-22 22-12
Position#9
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#11
Record2-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.4
Allowed / game81.7
BelgiumTop Division WomenRound 15· Sportcomplex Vijfsprong
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lummen W v Laarne W
20 Jan 2024
LUMM73
LAAR63
04 Mar 2023
LUMM62
LAAR68
13 Nov 2021
LUMM62
LAAR60
02 Jan 2021
LUMM71
LAAR68
28 Sep 2019
LUMM70
LAAR58
02 Feb 2019
LUMM54
LAAR47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lummen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Laarne W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lummen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#6
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A21/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
50-105
50
105
-55
32avg 50
H28/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
34-106
34
106
-72
13avg 50
A19/11
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
54-85
54
85
-31
44avg 50
H25/11
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
58-66 OT
58
66
-8
no box
A02/12
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
67avg 50
A09/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
43-63
43
63
-20
30avg 50
H16/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
59-73
59
73
-14
46avg 50
A23/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
55-58
55
58
-3
44avg 50
H06/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 50
A13/01
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
13-14
30-25
13-12
17-33
8-19
16-26
9-27
4-21
14-28
7-30
9-27
14-12
21-37
16-20
3-16
14-12
8-6
17-18
15-18
13-16
17-22
19-23
25-25
14-22
14-21
8-10
7-10
6-18
15-24
12-12
26-19
23-15
9-18
9-15
14-10
19-16
22-23
20-18
16-23
138.1Avg total
58.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)62.277.5139.7-15.223%
Season at home (6)60.075.2135.2-15.233%
Season away (7)64.179.4143.6-15.314%
Last 10 (10)58.180.0138.1-21.90%
Last 5 (5)61.672.0133.6-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)54.180.5134.6-26.35%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.265.7134.8+3.567%
vs Weaker (2)62.571.0133.5-8.50%
This opponent (Laarne W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Laarne WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Liege W
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
57avg 43
A14/10
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
58-70
58
70
-12
43avg 43
H21/10
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
87-67
87
67
+20
84avg 43
H28/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A25/11
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
61-68
61
68
-7
no box
H02/12
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
39avg 43
H09/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
57-75
57
75
-18
43avg 43
A16/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
39-101
39
101
-62
17avg 43
H22/12
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
44-82
44
82
-38
32avg 43
A06/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
65-99
65
99
-34
41avg 43
H13/01
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
11-21
13-20
22-18
19-20
11-19
17-14
11-17
24-22
18-10
19-15
26-20
20-23
19-20
20-15
20-7
21-17
7-11
17-19
16-21
15-27
16-20
12-21
13-17
14-18
10-24
15-17
18-16
5-23
14-34
8-23
12-21
9-25
17-21
11-14
7-22
11-32
16-22
26-19
12-26
140.3Avg total
60.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)59.481.7141.1-22.315%
Season at home (8)60.081.5141.5-21.512%
Season away (5)58.482.0140.4-23.620%
Last 10 (10)60.779.6140.3-18.920%
Last 5 (5)52.288.4140.6-36.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)57.085.5142.5-28.58%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.763.7137.3+10.067%
vs Weaker (2)66.061.0127.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Lummen W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Lummen WLaarne W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lummen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
25-52
25
52
-27
H28/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
18-49
18
49
-31
A19/11
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H25/11
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
22-18
22
18
+4
A02/12
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H16/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A23/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A13/01
Top Division Women
68.1Avg total
28.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.339.068.3-9.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.938.169.1-7.238%-
Last 30 away (14)27.439.967.4-12.521%-
Last 10 (10)28.239.968.1-11.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.439.069.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)26.640.967.5-14.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.034.371.3+2.750%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Laarne W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Laarne WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege W
#5
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A14/10
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H21/10
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H28/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/11
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H02/12
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H09/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A16/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
19-57
19
57
-38
H22/12
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A06/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
27-54
27
54
-27
H13/01
Top Division Women
72.6Avg total
29.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)28.642.370.9-13.817%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.242.670.8-14.421%-
Last 30 away (15)28.942.170.9-13.213%-
Last 10 (10)29.243.472.6-14.210%-
Last 5 (5)25.449.274.6-23.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)26.944.171.0-17.24%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.331.368.7+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)35.537.573.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Lummen W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lummen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lummen W: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.712.7
37.7%
46.0%25.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
31.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
71.8%11.9
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Laarne Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Laarne W: 56.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.513.6
41.8%
46.0%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.4
26.1%
31.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws14.710.1
68.7%
71.8%10.1
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lummen W
LLLLLLLLLL
Laarne W
LLLLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#11
-26.8
Net rating
-40.3
82.6
Offensive rating
75.1
109.4
Defensive rating
115.4
42.0%
Effective FG%
40.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
23.1%
Turnover %
23.5%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
15.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
26.1%
56.9%
Assist %
49.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 75.1Defence109.4 · 115.4Shooting42.0% · 40.7%3-point %32.2% · 26.1%Ball care23.1% · 23.5%Off. rebounds25.5% · 15.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Lummen W   ■ Laarne W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lummen W wins
2
Laarne W wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23Laarne W v Lummen W67-70
04/03/23Lummen W v Laarne W62-68
19/10/22Laarne W v Lummen W47-54
05/03/22Laarne W v Lummen W55-70
13/11/21Lummen W v Laarne W62-60
13/03/21Laarne W v Lummen W74-77
02/01/21Lummen W v Laarne W71-68
25/01/20Laarne W v Lummen W75-71 OT
28/09/19Lummen W v Laarne W70-58
02/02/19Lummen W v Laarne W54-47
Lummen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ABrunehaut W77-80
06/01/24HKortrijk W55-58
23/12/23ACharleroi W59-73
16/12/23HLiege W43-63
09/12/23AWaregem W74-86
02/12/23APhantoms W58-66 OT
25/11/23HNamur W54-85
19/11/23AMechelen W34-106
28/10/23HBraine W50-105
21/10/23AKortrijk W77-78 OT
Laarne Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HBraine W65-99
06/01/24ANamur W44-82
22/12/23HLiege W39-101
16/12/23ACharleroi W57-75
09/12/23HPhantoms W56-85
02/12/23HWaregem W61-68
25/11/23AKortrijk W79-65
28/10/23HBrunehaut W87-67
21/10/23HNamur W58-70
14/10/23ALiege W61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lummen W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game62.260.064.1
Allowed / game77.575.279.4
Point differential-15.2-15.2-15.3
Avg total139.7135.2143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %15%0%29%
Laarne W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %15%12%20%
Points / game59.460.058.4
Allowed / game81.781.582.0
Point differential-22.3-21.5-23.6
Avg total141.1141.5140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W12120100%90.152.8+37.3
2 Braine W1413193%92.157.0+35.1
3 Phantoms W139469%77.271.9+5.2
4 Namur W139469%67.863.7+4.1
5 Liege W147750%65.565.6-0.1
6 Charleroi W136746%70.778.2-7.5
7 Waregem W125742%70.773.8-3.2
8 Kortrijk W124833%65.078.9-13.9
9 Lummen W1331023%62.277.5-15.2
10 Laarne W1321115%59.481.7-22.3
11 Brunehaut W131128%63.584.2-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lummen W1818152273
Laarne W209221263
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