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Mechelen W vs Lummen W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 106-34
21-4 28-14 30-7 27-9
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game53.2
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game78.0
BelgiumTop Division WomenRound 7· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Women2023-24
Meetings · Mechelen W v Lummen W
27 Feb 2027
MECH v LUMM
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
MECH110
LUMM49
19 Jan 2025
MECH101
LUMM47
19 Nov 2023
MECH106
LUMM34
05 Nov 2022
MECH82
LUMM42
04 Dec 2021
MECH83
LUMM48
23 Jan 2021
MECH74
LUMM65
05 Oct 2019
MECH90
LUMM62
26 Jan 2019
MECH80
LUMM43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lummen W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
H26/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
90-50
90
50
+40
77avg 86
A23/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
93-58
93
58
+35
91avg 86
H01/10
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
92-47
92
47
+45
84avg 86
A07/10
Top Division Women
Panathinaikos W
#22
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
83avg 86
H12/10
EuroCup Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 86
H15/10
Top Division Women
Besiktas W
#8
W
83-74
83
74
+9
83avg 86
H19/10
EuroCup Women
Slavia Banska Bystrica W
#48
W
96-60
96
60
+36
97avg 86
A25/10
EuroCup Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
106-50
106
50
+56
107avg 86
H29/10
Top Division Women
Panathinaikos W
#22
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 86
A01/11
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
20-27
16-15
17-10
20-14
25-14
21-11
24-11
24-17
24-18
20-7
25-16
21-9
26-12
18-16
27-10
25-25
15-15
18-16
16-18
18-19
26-11
21-16
13-15
19-19
31-25
14-15
19-15
28-13
32-13
22-13
14-21
31-9
18-15
29-11
28-15
20-29
21-21
21-19
22-11
151.9Avg total
88.2Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.853.2145.0+38.6100%
Season at home (3)92.356.3148.7+36.0100%
Season away (2)91.048.5139.5+42.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.263.7151.9+24.590%
Last 5 (5)89.465.0154.4+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.2136.0-8.50%
vs Similar (5)77.269.4146.6+7.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.452.7144.0+38.795%
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Laarne W
#8
L
62-68
62
68
-6
no box
H04/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
H18/03
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
A25/03
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
80-51
80
51
+29
no box
H30/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#7
L
55-60 OT
55
60
-5
no box
H01/04
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
70-67
70
67
+3
61avg 60
A23/09
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
79-72
79
72
+7
73avg 60
H30/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 60
H14/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A21/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
50-105
50
105
-55
32avg 60
H28/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
19-14
6-11
11-19
10-35
18-21
15-12
16-19
21-22
12-19
15-19
17-17
23-15
27-8
14-15
16-13
11-15
20-13
10-15
12-10
20-19
16-18
15-8
19-22
19-10
24-23
18-22
18-17
22-12
16-13
17-24
24-19
17-22
13-14
30-25
13-12
17-33
8-19
16-26
9-27
140.9Avg total
67.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.078.0149.0-7.060%
Season at home (3)69.381.7151.0-12.367%
Season away (2)73.572.5146.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)67.673.3140.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)71.078.0149.0-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)50.881.8132.6-31.09%
vs Similar (6)67.064.3131.3+2.767%
vs Weaker (2)62.571.0133.5-8.50%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
Mechelen WLummen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A23/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H01/10
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
47-21
47
21
+26
A07/10
Top Division Women
Panathinaikos W
#22
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H12/10
EuroCup Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H15/10
Top Division Women
Besiktas W
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H19/10
EuroCup Women
Slavia Banska Bystrica W
#48
W
60-26
60
26
+34
A25/10
EuroCup Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H29/10
Top Division Women
Panathinaikos W
#22
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A01/11
EuroCup Women
80.3Avg total
46.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.828.973.6+15.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.729.074.7+16.771%-
Last 30 away (16)43.928.872.7+15.281%-
Last 10 (10)46.433.980.3+12.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.834.883.6+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.838.873.5-4.00%-
vs Similar (5)40.236.276.4+4.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.825.273.0+22.590%-
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lummen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laarne W
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#5
L
28-56
28
56
-28
H18/03
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/03
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H30/03
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H01/04
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/09
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H30/09
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H14/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
25-52
25
52
-27
H28/10
Top Division Women
72.8Avg total
35.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)27.939.867.7-11.828%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.638.567.1-9.938%-
Last 30 away (13)27.241.368.5-14.215%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.972.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.671.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)24.542.466.9-17.914%-
vs Similar (6)37.233.270.3+4.050%-
vs Weaker (2)36.032.068.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.125.3
53.8%
46.0%50.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.38.3
41.0%
31.6%25.0
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
71.8%15.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lummen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lummen W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.511.2
40.9%
46.0%22.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.0
37.7%
31.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.6%
71.8%16.5
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/4 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen W
WWWWWLWWWW
Lummen W
LLWWWLWLLL
#1
League position
#9
+34.7
Net rating
-12.2
115.2
Offensive rating
93.6
80.5
Defensive rating
105.8
56.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
41.0%
3-point %
37.7%
50.8%
Assist %
60.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 93.6Defence80.5 · 105.8Shooting56.1% · 48.6%3-point %41.0% · 37.7%Ball care17.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 21.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Mechelen W   ■ Lummen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Mechelen W wins
0
Lummen W wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Lummen W v Mechelen W52-91
05/11/22Mechelen W v Lummen W82-42
02/04/22Lummen W v Mechelen W45-88
04/12/21Mechelen W v Lummen W83-48
20/03/21Lummen W v Mechelen W73-90
23/01/21Mechelen W v Lummen W74-65
04/01/20Lummen W v Mechelen W62-92
05/10/19Mechelen W v Lummen W90-62
26/01/19Mechelen W v Lummen W80-43
15/12/18Lummen W v Mechelen W52-77
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23APanathinaikos W84-80
29/10/23HCharleroi W106-50
25/10/23ASlavia Banska Bystrica W96-60
19/10/23HBesiktas W83-74
15/10/23HPhantoms W78-61
12/10/23HPanathinaikos W87-91 OT
07/10/23ALaarne W92-47
01/10/23HNamur W93-58
23/09/23AWaregem W90-50
26/04/23HBraine W73-66
Lummen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HBraine W50-105
21/10/23AKortrijk W77-78 OT
14/10/23HCharleroi W79-68
30/09/23HBrunehaut W79-72
23/09/23ALaarne W70-67
01/04/23HWaregem W55-60 OT
30/03/23HBrunehaut W80-51
25/03/23ANamur W65-77
18/03/23HPhantoms W59-87
04/03/23HLaarne W62-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.892.391.0
Allowed / game53.256.348.5
Point differential+38.6+36.0+42.5
Avg total145.0148.7139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lummen W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game71.069.373.5
Allowed / game78.081.772.5
Point differential-7.0-12.3+1.0
Avg total149.0151.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braine W770100%96.352.4+43.9
2 Mechelen W550100%91.853.2+38.6
3 Namur W76186%69.664.4+5.1
4 Liege W65183%71.359.8+11.5
5 Phantoms W64267%77.770.7+7.0
6 Lummen W53260%71.078.0-7.0
7 Waregem W61517%62.779.2-16.5
8 Laarne W61517%61.881.2-19.3
9 Kortrijk W61517%62.884.2-21.3
10 Charleroi W71614%64.983.4-18.6
11 Brunehaut W7070%61.481.3-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen W21283027106
Lummen W4147934
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