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Lummen W vs Mechelen W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:45
Projected 52-98
Projected total 149.8
Scheduled
Position#11
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game49.8
Allowed / game89.0
Lummen W
Belgium
Vs
100%
■ LUMM 0%■ MECH 100%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Mechelen W
Belgium
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game61.8
BelgiumTop Division Women· Sportcomplex Vijfsprong
Women2026-27
Meetings · Lummen W v Mechelen W
22 Nov 2026
LUMM v MECH
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
LUMM52
MECH119
21 Sep 2024
LUMM43
MECH91
23 Mar 2024
LUMM29
MECH103
21 Jan 2023
LUMM52
MECH91
02 Apr 2022
LUMM45
MECH88
20 Mar 2021
LUMM73
MECH90
04 Jan 2020
LUMM62
MECH92
15 Dec 2018
LUMM52
MECH77
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Lummen W host Mechelen W in the Top Division Women. Pythia makes Mechelen W the favourite at 100% and projects 52-98, about 150 points in all. Overtime chance: 0%. Lummen W are 0-5 this season (49.8 scored, 89.0 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Mechelen W are 4-0 this season (90.5 scored, 61.8 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lummen W win
0.0%fair 2008.75
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen W win
100.0%fair 1.00
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lummen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#11
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H15/04
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
68-75
68
75
-7
58avg 37
A17/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
54-78
54
78
-24
37avg 37
H25/04
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A29/04
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
50-59
50
59
-9
37avg 37
H01/05
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
51-88
51
88
-37
34avg 37
H27/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
35-121
35
121
-86
9avg 37
A02/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
L
54-89
54
89
-35
35avg 37
A16/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
45avg 37
H25/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
L
45-63
45
63
-18
no box
A06/11
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
6-19
16-17
21-21
25-18
5-17
16-22
18-15
15-24
–
–
–
–
13-20
19-11
13-15
5-13
7-33
16-14
17-24
11-17
8-21
4-37
15-34
8-29
11-22
7-22
16-27
20-18
14-23
16-12
18-19
16-30
7-17
12-15
15-16
11-15
111.8Avg total
46.1Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)49.889.0138.8-39.20%
Season at home (2)57.586.0143.5-28.50%
Season away (3)44.791.0135.7-46.30%
Last 10 (10)46.165.7111.8-19.620%
Last 5 (5)49.889.0138.8-39.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)48.384.2132.6-35.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
76avg 77
A24/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
91-47
91
47
+44
94avg 77
H26/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
92-50
92
50
+42
95avg 77
H03/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 77
H11/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
41avg 77
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Donza W
#9
W
96-68
96
68
+28
98avg 77
H18/10
Top Division Women
Galatasaray W
#11
L
50-77
50
77
-27
36avg 77
H22/10
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#5
L
47-83
47
83
-36
31avg 77
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
W
84-65
84
65
+19
70avg 77
A31/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
H04/11
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
27-20
19-17
7-19
26-14
18-10
29-5
18-18
24-11
21-20
27-10
20-9
18-15
25-15
28-20
19-14
16-25
11-13
14-28
15-23
30-16
19-18
27-21
20-13
18-19
5-13
14-20
13-25
12-25
10-22
14-15
11-21
23-16
16-17
29-16
16-16
20-23
15-15
12-33
22-16
146.7Avg total
75.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.561.8152.2+28.8100%
Season at home (3)92.760.7153.3+32.0100%
Season away (1)84.065.0149.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.970.8146.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)69.276.0145.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.878.8136.7-21.017%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.757.7147.4+32.0100%
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136
Over 136
81.0%
Under 136
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
71.3%
Under 141
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
59.5%
Under 146
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lummen W total 69
Over 69
3.7%
Under 69
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lummen W total 73
Over 73
1.5%
Under 73
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lummen W total 77
Over 77
0.5%
Under 77
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mechelen W total 64
Over 64
100.0%
Under 64
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mechelen W total 68
Over 68
99.9%
Under 68
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mechelen W total 72
Over 72
99.6%
Under 72
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lummen W -3
LUMM -3
0.0%
MECH +3
100.0%
Best 5 market prices
LUMM
No market prices yet.
MECH
No market prices yet.
Spread Lummen W 0
LUMM 0
0.0%
MECH 0
100.0%
Best 5 market prices
LUMM
No market prices yet.
MECH
No market prices yet.
Spread Lummen W +3
LUMM +3
0.1%
MECH -3
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
LUMM
No market prices yet.
MECH
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -12.6-12.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: -12.6-12.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Lummen WMechelen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lummen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A17/04
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
21-39
21
39
-18
H25/04
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H01/05
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H27/09
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
12-58
12
58
-46
A02/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A16/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H25/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A06/11
Top Division Women
62.4Avg total
22.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)23.846.069.7-22.27%-
Last 30 at home (14)24.343.968.2-19.67%-
Last 30 away (13)23.248.271.4-24.98%-
Last 10 (8)22.140.262.4-18.112%-
Last 5 (5)20.443.263.6-22.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)23.846.069.7-22.27%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A24/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Donza W
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
Top Division Women
Galatasaray W
#11
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H22/10
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#5
L
22-47
22
47
-25
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A31/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/11
Euroleague Women
71.2Avg total
37.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.531.073.5+11.477%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.832.274.0+9.672%-
Last 30 away (12)43.529.272.8+14.283%-
Last 10 (10)37.134.171.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.870.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.236.863.0-10.70%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.529.676.1+17.096%-
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lummen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lummen W: 55.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.415.9
35.8%
46.8%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.14.2
26.1%
31.5%12.6
🏀 Free throws17.411.0
63.2%
71.8%11.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.9
47.0%
46.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
31.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
71.8%14.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lummen W
LLLLLLWLLW
Mechelen W
LWLLWLWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-31.9
Net rating
+26.5
60.2
Offensive rating
92.4
92.1
Defensive rating
65.9
36.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
24.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.1%
3-point %
32.9%
45.8%
Assist %
65.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence60.2 · 92.4Defence92.1 · 65.9Shooting36.7% · 48.0%3-point %26.1% · 32.9%Ball care24.3% · 16.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Lummen W   ■ Mechelen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lummen W wins
10
Mechelen W wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Lummen W v Mechelen W52-119
05/10/25Mechelen W v Lummen W110-49
19/01/25Mechelen W v Lummen W101-47
21/09/24Lummen W v Mechelen W43-91
23/03/24Lummen W v Mechelen W29-103
19/11/23Mechelen W v Lummen W106-34
21/01/23Lummen W v Mechelen W52-91
05/11/22Mechelen W v Lummen W82-42
02/04/22Lummen W v Mechelen W45-88
04/12/21Mechelen W v Lummen W83-48
Lummen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ASpirou Basket W45-63
25/10/26HPhantoms W64-84
16/10/26ALiege W54-89
02/10/26ANamur W35-121
27/09/26HKortrijk W51-88
01/05/26HSpirou Basket W50-59
29/04/26ACharleroi W20-0
25/04/26HWaregem W54-78
17/04/26ASpirou Basket W68-75
15/04/26HCharleroi W20-0
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HCrvena zvezda W69-87
31/10/26AJeugd Gentson W84-65
29/10/26HSchio W47-83
22/10/26HGalatasaray W50-77
18/10/26HDonza W96-68
14/10/26ACrvena zvezda W56-89
11/10/26HPhantoms W90-64
03/10/26HLiege W92-50
26/04/26HNamur W91-47
24/04/26ANamur W84-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lummen W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game49.857.544.7
Allowed / game89.086.091.0
Point differential-39.2-28.5-46.3
Avg total138.8143.5135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.592.784.0
Allowed / game61.860.765.0
Point differential+28.8+32.0+19.0
Avg total152.2153.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W440100%90.561.8+28.8
2 Braine W550100%88.673.2+15.4
3 Namur W54180%88.658.4+30.2
4 Phantoms W54180%77.664.2+13.4
5 Kortrijk W64267%82.064.0+18.0
6 Liege W74357%70.366.7+3.6
7 Jeugd Gentson W52340%74.682.0-7.4
8 Spirou Basket W41325%50.275.8-25.5
9 Donza W51420%69.674.8-5.2
10 Waregem W7070%62.188.1-26.0
11 Lummen W5050%49.889.0-39.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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