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Lummen W vs Mechelen W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 29-103
5-28 6-24 9-29 9-22
Position#9
Record4-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game59.4
Allowed / game77.1
Lummen W
Belgium
vs
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
Position#1
Record18-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game53.2
BelgiumTop Division WomenRound 21· Sportcomplex Vijfsprong
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lummen W v Mechelen W
22 Nov 2026
LUMM v MECH
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
LUMM52
MECH119
21 Sep 2024
LUMM43
MECH91
23 Mar 2024
LUMM29
MECH103
21 Jan 2023
LUMM52
MECH91
02 Apr 2022
LUMM45
MECH88
20 Mar 2021
LUMM73
MECH90
04 Jan 2020
LUMM62
MECH92
15 Dec 2018
LUMM52
MECH77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lummen W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lummen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Waregem W
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
67avg 48
A09/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
43-63
43
63
-20
30avg 48
H16/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
59-73
59
73
-14
46avg 48
A23/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
55-58
55
58
-3
44avg 48
H06/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 48
A13/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 48
H20/01
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
43-66
43
66
-23
no box
H17/02
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
40-102
40
102
-62
27avg 48
A24/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 48
H02/03
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
42-87
42
87
-45
26avg 48
A16/03
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
17-22
19-23
25-25
14-22
14-21
8-10
7-10
6-18
15-24
12-12
26-19
23-15
9-18
9-15
14-10
19-16
22-23
20-18
16-23
18-20
18-9
15-22
22-12
–
–
–
–
6-24
7-29
16-21
11-28
29-16
8-13
15-16
10-18
14-27
15-15
2-27
11-18
130.9Avg total
56.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)59.477.1136.5-17.722%
Season at home (9)59.871.4131.2-11.733%
Season away (9)59.082.8141.8-23.811%
Last 10 (10)56.874.1130.9-17.310%
Last 5 (5)52.076.2128.2-24.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)54.480.2134.6-25.84%
vs Similar (6)73.866.0139.8+7.883%
vs Weaker (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brunehaut W
#10
W
119-49
119
49
+70
120avg 85
H17/12
Top Division Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#28
L
58-69
58
69
-11
48avg 85
A20/12
EuroCup Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
99-66
99
66
+33
92avg 85
A23/12
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
64-55
64
55
+9
56avg 85
A13/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
105-62
105
62
+43
104avg 85
H21/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
105-57
105
57
+48
108avg 85
H28/01
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
W
99-60
99
60
+39
no box
H18/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
W
106-49
106
49
+57
no box
A24/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
W
95-50
95
50
+45
101avg 85
H03/03
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
111-46
111
46
+65
112avg 85
A16/03
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-14
27-12
30-8
29-15
14-21
9-19
19-16
16-13
22-24
22-12
33-12
22-18
12-16
17-19
20-11
15-9
35-18
25-8
23-19
22-17
24-12
29-9
29-12
23-24
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
25-17
15-10
27-13
28-10
29-12
26-16
32-11
24-7
152.4Avg total
96.1Scored
56.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)94.653.2147.7+41.4100%
Season at home (9)100.753.4154.1+47.2100%
Season away (9)88.452.9141.3+35.6100%
Last 10 (10)96.156.3152.4+39.890%
Last 5 (5)103.252.4155.6+50.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.073.2151.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.757.5149.2+34.292%
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-9+0+9+17Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +8.1+8.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +13.9+13.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +8.2+8.2
-17-9+0+9+17Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +8.1+8.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +13.9+13.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +8.2+8.2
Lummen WMechelen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lummen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waregem W
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/12
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H16/12
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#7
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A23/12
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/01
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A13/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H20/01
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
13-53
13
53
-40
A24/02
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H02/03
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A16/03
Top Division Women
68.3Avg total
29.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)30.338.969.2-8.634%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.037.770.7-4.747%-
Last 30 away (14)27.440.167.6-12.721%-
Last 10 (9)29.738.768.3-9.033%-
Last 5 (5)31.238.469.6-7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.340.968.2-13.623%-
vs Similar (6)39.332.271.5+7.267%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brunehaut W
#10
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H17/12
Top Division Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#28
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A20/12
EuroCup Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A23/12
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A13/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H21/01
Top Division Women
Laarne W
#11
W
53-21
53
21
+32
H28/01
Top Division Women
Liege W
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/03
Top Division Women
Brunehaut W
#10
W
55-28
55
28
+27
A16/03
Top Division Women
75.4Avg total
45.5Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)45.630.876.4+14.875%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.630.678.2+17.179%-
Last 30 away (14)43.531.074.5+12.571%-
Last 10 (8)45.529.975.4+15.675%-
Last 5 (5)47.427.474.8+20.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.540.082.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.129.275.3+16.879%-
This opponent (Lummen W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lummen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lummen W: 57.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.913.1
38.6%
46.0%26.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
31.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.110.0
70.9%
71.8%10.0
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.2 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.2
55.1%
46.0%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.9
35.4%
31.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
71.8%16.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lummen W
LLLLWLLLLL
Mechelen W
WWWWWWWWLW
#9
League position
#1
-26.3
Net rating
+44.3
81.7
Offensive rating
115.0
108.0
Defensive rating
70.7
42.4%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
39.4%
24.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
35.4%
53.7%
Assist %
61.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence81.7 · 115.0Defence108.0 · 70.7Shooting42.4% · 54.5%3-point %32.3% · 35.4%Ball care24.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.3% · 34.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Lummen W   ■ Mechelen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lummen W wins
10
Mechelen W wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Mechelen W v Lummen W106-34
21/01/23Lummen W v Mechelen W52-91
05/11/22Mechelen W v Lummen W82-42
02/04/22Lummen W v Mechelen W45-88
04/12/21Mechelen W v Lummen W83-48
20/03/21Lummen W v Mechelen W73-90
23/01/21Mechelen W v Lummen W74-65
04/01/20Lummen W v Mechelen W62-92
05/10/19Mechelen W v Lummen W90-62
26/01/19Mechelen W v Lummen W80-43
Lummen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ALiege W42-87
02/03/24HWaregem W62-63
24/02/24ABraine W40-102
17/02/24HPhantoms W43-66
20/01/24HLaarne W73-63
13/01/24ABrunehaut W77-80
06/01/24HKortrijk W55-58
23/12/23ACharleroi W59-73
16/12/23HLiege W43-63
09/12/23AWaregem W74-86
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ABrunehaut W111-46
03/03/24HLiege W95-50
24/02/24ACharleroi W106-49
18/02/24HKortrijk W99-60
28/01/24HLaarne W105-57
21/01/24HWaregem W105-62
13/01/24ANamur W64-55
23/12/23APhantoms W99-66
20/12/23AGernika Bizkaia W58-69
17/12/23HBrunehaut W119-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lummen W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game59.459.859.0
Allowed / game77.171.482.8
Point differential-17.7-11.7-23.8
Avg total136.5131.2141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.6100.788.4
Allowed / game53.253.452.9
Point differential+41.4+47.2+35.6
Avg total147.7154.1141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W18180100%94.653.2+41.4
2 Braine W1817194%91.454.9+36.6
3 Namur W1913668%70.767.0+3.7
4 Phantoms W1812667%76.670.1+6.4
5 Liege W189950%65.766.4-0.8
6 Charleroi W2091145%68.076.3-8.3
7 Kortrijk W1881044%67.277.2-9.9
8 Waregem W1981142%70.976.6-5.7
9 Lummen W1841422%59.477.1-17.7
10 Brunehaut W1921711%61.282.1-20.9
11 Laarne W1921711%58.179.5-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lummen W569929
Mechelen W28242922103
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