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Lund W vs Ostersund W Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game78.3
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Ostersund W
Sweden
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
SwedenBasketligan WRound 12· Eoshallen
Women2026-27
Meetings · Lund W v Ostersund W
07 Jan 2027
LUND v OSTE
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
LUND89
OSTE95
26 Jan 2025
LUND98
OSTE84
08 Oct 2023
LUND59
OSTE88
08 Oct 2022
LUND77
OSTE90
05 Mar 2022
LUND65
OSTE79
13 Nov 2016
LUND60
OSTE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
56avg 59
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
86-48
86
48
+38
76avg 59
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
43avg 59
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
68avg 59
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 59
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
L
63-71
63
71
-8
59avg 59
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
51-88
51
88
-37
43avg 59
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
42avg 59
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
16-14
6-22
22-17
26-14
22-11
12-12
26-11
17-25
13-16
17-17
15-24
22-18
19-20
24-18
20-17
15-19
14-25
19-17
17-13
12-22
20-8
15-22
13-16
17-19
23-11
12-26
11-15
20-17
7-25
11-19
13-27
12-26
15-23
11-17
15-14
8-21
23-18
14-29
20-21
144.0Avg total
67.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)59.578.3137.8-18.80%
Season at home (3)58.781.7140.3-23.00%
Season away (3)60.375.0135.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)67.576.5144.0-9.020%
Last 5 (5)58.479.2137.6-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.781.4150.1-12.711%
vs Similar (5)82.683.0165.6-0.440%
vs Weaker (6)84.766.5151.2+18.283%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
51avg 76
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
73-70
73
70
+3
68avg 76
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 76
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-98
68
98
-30
58avg 76
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
no box
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
63-85
63
85
-22
52avg 76
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
77avg 76
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 76
H24/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
97-66
97
66
+31
87avg 76
A31/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
11-12
10-5
15-22
21-29
23-9
17-13
12-19
17-19
16-23
14-17
20-18
15-31
17-27
18-30
18-10
19-15
25-14
17-19
13-17
24-19
18-30
17-13
4-23
23-31
20-20
19-19
30-19
9-19
22-22
18-24
25-26
22-17
20-16
31-18
24-15
17-25
21-15
21-13
20-16
150.1Avg total
73.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.877.5157.3+2.367%
Season at home (4)72.577.5150.0-5.050%
Season away (2)94.577.5172.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.876.3150.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.080.0161.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.381.9152.2-11.622%
vs Similar (9)81.675.7157.2+5.978%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.965.9152.8+21.0100%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
Lund WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.4Avg total
34.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.874.5-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.975.4-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.871.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.069.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.141.575.5-7.421%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)38.832.771.5+6.267%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/11
Basketligan W
78.2Avg total
37.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.978.4+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.980.7+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.976.1+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.778.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.143.778.8-8.611%-
vs Similar (9)41.440.381.8+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.334.275.6+7.192%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.618.7
40.1%
46.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.0
27.3%
30.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
71.1%12.5
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.7
46.6%
46.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
30.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
71.1%14.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLLLLWLWL
Ostersund W
WWLWLWLLWL
#11
League position
#6
-7.5
Net rating
-1.9
72.5
Offensive rating
79.2
80.0
Defensive rating
81.1
40.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.3%
3-point %
32.4%
56.0%
Assist %
67.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 79.2Defence80.0 · 81.1Shooting40.4% · 47.4%3-point %27.3% · 32.4%Ball care19.0% · 21.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Lund W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lund W wins
8
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Ostersund W v Lund W74-65
07/03/26Ostersund W v Lund W82-62
14/02/26Lund W v Ostersund W89-95
26/01/25Lund W v Ostersund W98-84
19/10/24Ostersund W v Lund W65-77
13/01/24Ostersund W v Lund W93-85
08/10/23Lund W v Ostersund W59-88
04/03/23Ostersund W v Lund W101-86
08/10/22Lund W v Ostersund W77-90
05/03/22Lund W v Ostersund W65-79
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HOnsala W65-89
01/11/26ANorrkoping W53-80
25/10/26HLulea W51-88
19/10/26AAIK Basket W63-71
11/10/26HUppsala W60-68
03/10/26AOstersund W65-74
21/03/26AAlvik W85-73
07/03/26AOstersund W62-82
01/03/26AVisby W86-48
24/02/26HMalbas Malmo W85-92 OT
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAlvik W79-69
31/10/26AAIK Basket W97-66
24/10/26HNorrkoping W74-91
17/10/26AUppsala W92-89
10/10/26HOnsala W63-85
03/10/26HLund W74-65
15/04/26HLulea W68-98
12/04/26ALulea W67-77
10/04/26HLulea W73-70
07/04/26ALulea W51-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.558.760.3
Allowed / game78.381.775.0
Point differential-18.8-23.0-14.7
Avg total137.8140.3135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.872.594.5
Allowed / game77.577.577.5
Point differential+2.3-5.0+17.0
Avg total157.3150.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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