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Lund W vs Ostersund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 98-84
17-10 27-33 31-17 23-24
Position#9
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game86.1
Lund W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Ostersund W
Sweden
Position#10
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game84.1
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lund W v Ostersund W
07 Jan 2027
LUND v OSTE
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
LUND89
OSTE95
26 Jan 2025
LUND98
OSTE84
08 Oct 2023
LUND59
OSTE88
08 Oct 2022
LUND77
OSTE90
05 Mar 2022
LUND65
OSTE79
13 Nov 2016
LUND60
OSTE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
39-106
39
106
-67
21avg 53
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
77-65
77
65
+12
67avg 53
A19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 53
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
48avg 53
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
46avg 53
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 53
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
59avg 53
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
49avg 53
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
81-57
81
57
+24
77avg 53
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
79-117
79
117
-38
66avg 53
H12/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
7-28
13-22
10-34
21-13
14-16
20-21
22-15
23-25
22-35
23-21
29-23
22-11
19-24
7-15
16-23
12-12
12-16
17-22
25-19
20-30
14-20
22-19
24-28
17-20
8-24
20-29
31-20
12-19
14-17
17-21
21-18
12-9
22-14
27-11
20-23
19-27
21-34
16-31
23-25
157.9Avg total
72.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.786.1157.8-14.418%
Season at home (7)72.986.1159.0-13.314%
Season away (4)69.886.0155.8-16.225%
Last 10 (10)72.385.6157.9-13.320%
Last 5 (5)76.087.8163.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)66.791.1157.8-24.49%
vs Similar (4)74.573.5148.0+1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)74.763.7138.3+11.067%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
L
65-77
65
77
-12
52avg 57
H19/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
70-108
70
108
-38
47avg 57
A02/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 57
H16/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
56-70
56
70
-14
42avg 57
A23/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
62avg 57
H30/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
64-72
64
72
-8
51avg 57
A07/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
56avg 57
H14/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
44-91
44
91
-47
26avg 57
H18/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
69-98
69
98
-29
53avg 57
H11/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 57
H18/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
16-14
21-20
15-22
14-24
16-25
20-34
20-25
22-23
14-21
18-18
22-15
13-18
16-18
12-16
15-18
21-9
11-16
22-26
18-18
7-15
17-18
18-19
22-20
19-18
14-12
13-33
23-20
11-25
7-27
12-19
14-20
16-23
17-27
15-23
21-25
22-17
14-19
16-14
11-17
146.0Avg total
64.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.884.1145.9-22.28%
Season at home (7)65.480.3145.7-14.914%
Season away (5)56.889.4146.2-32.60%
Last 10 (10)64.881.2146.0-16.410%
Last 5 (5)61.882.2144.0-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.682.9142.5-23.40%
vs Similar (5)68.270.0138.2-1.860%
vs Weaker (11)84.368.5152.7+15.882%
This opponent (Lund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -7.5-7.5Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -7.5-7.5Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
Lund WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
16-50
16
50
-34
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H12/01
Basketligan W
73.6Avg total
32.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.843.876.6-11.120%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.740.976.6-5.231%-
Last 30 away (14)29.447.276.6-17.87%-
Last 10 (10)32.041.673.6-9.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.842.874.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)31.947.879.7-15.99%-
vs Similar (4)39.234.073.2+5.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)31.026.757.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H19/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A02/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H16/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A23/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H30/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A07/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H14/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
18-52
18
52
-34
H18/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H11/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/01
Basketligan W
69.0Avg total
30.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.837.271.0-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.234.870.9+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)31.139.971.1-8.836%-
Last 10 (10)30.039.069.0-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)28.840.269.0-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.042.671.6-13.621%-
vs Similar (5)31.829.861.6+2.080%-
vs Weaker (11)40.933.674.5+7.364%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.619.7
43.2%
46.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.6
28.6%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.112.4
64.9%
71.3%12.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.516.5
39.8%
46.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.15.6
26.5%
31.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
71.3%14.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LWLLLLLLWL
Ostersund W
LLLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-15.9
Net rating
-18.5
84.7
Offensive rating
78.1
100.5
Defensive rating
96.6
43.1%
Effective FG%
39.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
24.4%
Turnover %
26.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.6%
3-point %
26.5%
50.2%
Assist %
45.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence84.7 · 78.1Defence100.5 · 96.6Shooting43.1% · 39.8%3-point %28.6% · 26.5%Ball care24.4% · 26.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Lund W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lund W wins
7
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Ostersund W v Lund W65-77
13/01/24Ostersund W v Lund W93-85
08/10/23Lund W v Ostersund W59-88
04/03/23Ostersund W v Lund W101-86
08/10/22Lund W v Ostersund W77-90
05/03/22Lund W v Ostersund W65-79
16/10/21Ostersund W v Lund W78-86
11/02/17Ostersund W v Lund W68-56
19/11/16Ostersund W v Lund W74-47
13/11/16Lund W v Ostersund W60-59
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HLulea W79-117
18/12/24HVisby W81-57
15/12/24HUppsala W64-75
07/12/24HAlvik W76-93
30/11/24HHogsbo W80-97
23/11/24AMarkSjuharad W66-69
16/11/24HSodertalje W64-73
02/11/24AAIK Basket W97-104
19/10/24AOstersund W77-65
05/10/24ALulea W39-106
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HSodertalje W63-67
11/01/25HNorrkoping W69-98
18/12/24HLulea W44-91
14/12/24HAlvik W69-83
07/12/24AVisby W64-72
30/11/24HMarkSjuharad W72-69
23/11/24AUppsala W56-70
16/11/24HAIK Basket W76-77
02/11/24AHogsbo W70-108
19/10/24HLund W65-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %18%14%25%
Points / game71.772.969.8
Allowed / game86.186.186.0
Point differential-14.4-13.3-16.2
Avg total157.8159.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game61.865.456.8
Allowed / game84.180.389.4
Point differential-22.2-14.9-32.6
Avg total145.9145.7146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W14140100%96.353.5+42.8
2 Norrkoping W1210283%85.169.1+16.0
3 Hogsbo W1411379%88.767.9+20.8
4 Sodertalje W149564%79.172.0+7.1
5 Alvik W149564%79.081.9-2.9
6 AIK Basket W125742%80.883.8-3.0
7 Uppsala W125742%60.069.8-9.8
8 MarkSjuharad W1331023%65.379.8-14.5
9 Lund W112918%71.786.1-14.4
10 Visby W1421214%60.487.1-26.7
11 Ostersund W121118%61.884.1-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W1727312398
Ostersund W1033172484
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