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Luxembourg vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 79-91
12-25 25-25 18-24 24-17
Position#38
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#7
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game65.1
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Coque Sport Center
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luxembourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLuxembourg
Date
Competition
Portugal
#38
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
76-129
76
129
-53
no box
H14/08
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
H17/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
58-94
58
94
-36
no box
A18/08
World Cup
Albania
#39
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
H28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
A30/06
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
62-98
62
98
-36
49avg 58
A22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
76-96
76
96
-20
67avg 58
H26/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
16-26
26-20
20-16
21-33
21-30
9-40
25-26
19-23
27-25
7-13
21-19
19-24
11-19
14-28
14-23
26-27
20-21
28-20
15-24
25-15
15-29
18-14
12-15
21-26
27-15
21-14
17-20
15-12
16-19
15-21
21-26
14-31
20-26
12-23
16-18
21-23
16-17
22-30
17-26
163.0Avg total
73.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.085.3160.3-10.317%
Season at home (3)77.381.3158.7-4.033%
Season away (3)72.789.3162.0-16.70%
Last 10 (10)73.289.8163.0-16.610%
Last 5 (5)72.284.0156.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.189.2162.4-16.16%
vs Similar (11)78.579.8158.4-1.345%
vs Weaker (3)95.784.7180.3+11.0100%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
106avg 85
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 85
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 85
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
77avg 85
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
97avg 85
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
105avg 85
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 85
A29/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
13-21
19-17
15-11
17-7
23-19
27-17
21-20
13-18
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
20-12
22-22
21-8
32-19
158.5Avg total
86.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.065.1150.1+19.989%
Season at home (5)86.865.0151.8+21.880%
Season away (4)82.865.2148.0+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.172.4158.5+13.770%
Last 5 (5)86.060.4146.4+25.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.684.9160.5-9.212%
vs Similar (6)82.382.5164.8-0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.265.2145.4+15.188%
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
LuxembourgCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LuxembourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#38
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A13/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
42-63
42
63
-21
H14/08
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/08
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/08
World Cup
Albania
#39
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A30/06
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/07
EuroBasket
84.4Avg total
38.2Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.981.2-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.944.484.4-4.544%-
Last 30 away (14)38.539.177.6-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)38.246.284.4-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.680.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.144.381.4-7.225%-
vs Similar (11)41.339.680.9+1.655%-
vs Weaker (3)43.737.781.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket
80.9Avg total
44.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.535.775.2+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.932.174.1+9.873%-
Last 30 away (15)37.139.376.4-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)44.436.580.9+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.431.879.2+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.242.077.2-6.812%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.279.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.730.972.6+10.888%-
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luxembourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luxembourg: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.7
50.2%
50.6%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.3%
71.4%14.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.4
56.7%
50.6%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.0%
32.5%29.3
🏀 Free throws23.918.1
75.8%
71.4%18.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/9 games with a box score before 02 Aug 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luxembourg
LLLWLLLLLL
Croatia
WWWWWLWLWL
#38
League position
#7
-13.2
Net rating
+27.4
98.1
Offensive rating
113.6
111.3
Defensive rating
86.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
18.6%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.6%
3-point %
37.0%
72.0%
Assist %
74.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 113.6Defence111.3 · 86.2Shooting47.9% · 56.1%3-point %29.6% · 37.0%Ball care15.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds18.6% · 29.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Luxembourg   ■ Croatia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luxembourg wins
1
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
22/07/23Croatia v Luxembourg98-62
Luxembourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/23HIreland76-96
22/07/23ACroatia62-98
30/06/22ARomania67-78
27/02/22HAlbania86-75
28/11/21HRomania70-73
25/11/21AAlbania89-92
18/08/21ASweden58-94
17/08/21HPortugal74-80
14/08/21HSweden76-129
13/08/21APortugal74-83
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/23AIreland95-61
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
19/07/23HIreland89-49
26/02/23HAustria84-74
23/02/23ASwitzerland64-56
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
11/09/22AFinland86-94
08/09/22HUkraine90-85
06/09/22AItaly76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luxembourg
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.077.372.7
Allowed / game85.381.389.3
Point differential-10.3-4.0-16.7
Avg total160.3158.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game85.086.882.8
Allowed / game65.165.065.2
Point differential+19.9+21.8+17.5
Avg total150.1151.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia98189%85.065.1+19.9
2 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
3 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria108280%81.672.1+9.5
6 Slovakia97278%75.269.1+6.1
7 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
8 Denmark137654%76.071.8+4.2
9 Kosovo73443%77.980.3-2.4
10 Austria156940%75.176.7-1.7
11 Norway135838%70.276.2-6.0
12 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
13 Ireland93633%73.385.3-12.0
14 Luxembourg61517%75.085.3-10.3
15 Albania71614%74.685.3-10.7
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luxembourg1225182479
Croatia2525241791
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