Macae vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 21:30

Final 69-79

11-18 21-26 22-13 15-22

Position#15

Record5-15

FormLLLLW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game84.5

Macae

Cearense 🏆

Position#5

Record14-7

FormWWWLW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game73.9

NBBRound 23

Other2015-16

Meetings · Macae v Cearense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Macae winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cearense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Macae

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

#10

81-90

-9

A17/12

NBB

Mogi

70-82

-12

H20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

79-63

+16

H22/12

NBB

Flamengo

66-96

-30

A08/01

NBB

Franca

74-89

-15

H13/01

NBB

Bauru

68-101

101

-33

H15/01

NBB

Rio Claro

61-62

-1

A23/01

NBB

Paulistano

75-84

-9

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

83-90

-7

H04/02

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

88-79

H17/02

NBB

26-21

19-19

13-21

23-29

28-22

15-20

17-19

10-21

18-16

17-14

25-16

19-17

16-21

16-18

19-27

15-30

20-11

17-25

17-29

20-24

17-29

13-24

13-29

25-19

14-13

15-17

13-15

19-17

9-11

20-17

24-23

22-33

22-18

17-25

27-25

17-22

21-13

19-17

17-17

31-32

158.1Avg total

74.5Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.7	84.5	161.2	-7.8	25%
Season at home (10)	79.3	82.7	162.0	-3.4	50%
Season away (10)	74.1	86.4	160.5	-12.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	83.6	158.1	-9.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	83.2	158.2	-8.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	78.5	85.3	163.8	-6.8	30%
vs Similar (7)	79.9	80.0	159.9	-0.1	43%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

68-63

H20/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

66-50

+16

H22/12

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

71-60

+11

A08/01

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

90-81

A14/01

NBB

Paulistano

72-69

H26/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

88-65

+23

H30/01

NBB

Minas

#10

75-61

+14

A05/02

NBB

Brasilia

95-82

+13

A12/02

NBB

Mogi

73-78

-5

A14/02

NBB

Flamengo

67-66

A17/02

NBB

21-10

15-15

16-16

16-22

10-13

9-10

31-10

16-17

27-7

11-18

19-22

14-13

17-18

23-16

20-27

30-20

19-13

21-20

15-22

17-14

17-16

24-18

23-13

24-18

31-13

15-15

13-12

16-21

23-17

25-19

21-21

26-25

21-19

17-14

15-25

20-20

21-14

10-18

20-17

16-17

144.0Avg total

76.5Scored

67.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.9	73.9	152.7	+5.0	67%
Season at home (10)	75.7	71.7	147.4	+4.0	60%
Season away (11)	81.7	75.8	157.5	+5.9	73%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	67.5	144.0	+9.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	70.4	150.0	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	77.0	82.7	159.7	-5.7	43%
vs Similar (11)	80.9	82.7	163.6	-1.8	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	79.2	68.3	147.6	+10.9	83%

This opponent (Macae) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MacaeCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.5	37.9	+1.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	65%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.6	86%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	14.0	34.7	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.8	38.4	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.7	16.5	37.2	+4.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-2.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.8	19.3	37.0	-1.5	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.1	20.7	36.9	-4.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	16.8	34.4	+0.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	16.3	33.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	91%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	42%	-

MacaeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

#10

45-40

A17/12

NBB

Mogi

43-42

H20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

35-30

H22/12

NBB

Flamengo

32-39

-7

A08/01

NBB

Franca

37-36

H13/01

NBB

Bauru

30-53

-23

H15/01

NBB

Rio Claro

29-30

-1

A23/01

NBB

Paulistano

29-28

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

39-43

-4

H04/02

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

40-30

+10

H17/02

NBB

73.0Avg total

35.9Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.1	75.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	37.5	75.6	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	38.7	75.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	37.1	73.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	36.8	70.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.5	52%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.6	38.6	76.1	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

36-25

+11

H20/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

19-23

-4

H22/12

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

#13

38-25

+13

A08/01

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

40-34

A14/01

NBB

Paulistano

40-33

H26/01

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

41-34

H30/01

NBB

Minas

#10

46-28

+18

A05/02

NBB

Brasilia

48-36

+12

A12/02

NBB

Mogi

38-33

A14/02

NBB

Flamengo

31-32

-1

A17/02

NBB

68.0Avg total

37.7Scored

30.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	36.1	74.3	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.8	35.8	70.6	-1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.9	36.3	77.2	+4.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	30.3	68.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	32.6	73.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.6	41.7	78.3	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.7	35.4	76.1	+5.4	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	36.9	33.5	70.4	+3.4	67%	-

This opponent (Macae) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.7	41.4	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.9	43.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.4	22.3	41.7	-2.9	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.1	41.4	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.6	23.5	42.1	-4.8	9%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.0	43.5	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.7	43.1	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	24.3	43.9	-4.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	24.4	44.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.6	47.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.3	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.2	40.2	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	18.4	38.9	+2.0	57%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	23.9	45.5	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	44.7	84.9	-4.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	43.7	86.1	-1.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	45.7	83.7	-7.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	46.5	85.1	-7.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	46.4	88.0	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	40.0	46.2	86.2	-6.2	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.9	82.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.5	38.9	80.5	+2.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.8	42.4	83.1	-1.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.4	41.0	81.4	-0.6	57%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.2	47.4	87.5	-7.2	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.3	34.8	77.2	+7.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Macae wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
03/12/15	Cearense v Macae	88-64
17/03/15	Cearense v Macae	76-82
16/12/14	Macae v Cearense	78-77
20/03/14	Cearense v Macae	78-75
11/01/14	Macae v Cearense	80-74

Macaelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/16	H	Universo/Vitoria	88-79
04/02/16	H	Sorocabana	83-90
02/02/16	H	Paulistano	75-84
23/01/16	A	Rio Claro	61-62
15/01/16	H	Bauru	68-101
13/01/16	H	Franca	74-89
08/01/16	A	Flamengo	66-96
22/12/15	H	Sao Jose	79-63
20/12/15	H	Mogi	70-82
17/12/15	A	Minas	81-90

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/16	A	Flamengo	67-66
14/02/16	A	Mogi	73-78
12/02/16	A	Brasilia	95-82
05/02/16	A	Minas	75-61
30/01/16	H	Sorocabana	88-65
26/01/16	H	Paulistano	72-69
14/01/16	A	Sao Jose	90-81
08/01/16	A	Universo/Vitoria	71-60
22/12/15	H	Caxias do Sul	66-50
20/12/15	H	Pinheiros	68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Macae

NBB 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	LLLLW	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	76.7	79.3	74.1
Allowed / game	84.5	82.7	86.4
Point differential	-7.8	-3.4	-12.3
Avg total	161.2	162.0	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	100% (2)	0% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Cearense

NBB 2015-16

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	WWWWW	60%
Away	WWWLW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	67%	60%	73%
Points / game	78.9	75.7	81.7
Allowed / game	73.9	71.7	75.8
Point differential	+5.0	+4.0	+5.9
Avg total	152.7	147.4	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	30%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bauru	21	17	4	81%	86.9	75.6	+11.2
2	Flamengo	20	16	4	80%	83.3	69.9	+13.4
3	Paulistano	21	15	6	71%	80.9	72.6	+8.3
4	Cearense	21	14	7	67%	78.9	73.9	+5.0
5	Brasilia	21	14	7	67%	87.1	82.5	+4.6
6	Mogi	19	12	7	63%	80.8	78.1	+2.7
7	Franca	21	10	11	48%	76.0	79.2	-3.3
8	Pinheiros	22	10	12	45%	82.3	80.5	+1.7
9	Rio Claro	22	10	12	45%	73.8	74.2	-0.4
10	Minas	20	8	12	40%	71.9	75.5	-3.5
11	Sao Jose	20	7	13	35%	76.7	83.5	-6.8
12	Universo/Vitoria	21	6	15	29%	72.4	79.8	-7.4
13	Sorocabana	21	6	15	29%	66.3	74.8	-8.4
14	Caxias do Sul	22	6	16	27%	69.2	78.1	-8.9
15	Macae	20	5	15	25%	76.7	84.5	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Macae	11	21	22	15	69
Cearense	18	26	13	22	79

← all games of the day

Macae vs Cearense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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