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Macau Black Bears vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:40
Final 79-102
17-20 21-29 16-26 25-27
Position#12
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game94.2
Macau Black Bears
vs
Ryukyu 🏆
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEASL· Studio City Event Center
Other2026
Meetings · Macau Black Bears v Ryukyu
21 Jan 2026
MACA79
RYUK102
30 Oct 2024
MACA93
RYUK96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Macau Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Macau Black BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
New Taipei Kings
#3
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
A23/10
EASL
Ryukyu
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
H30/10
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
95-114
95
114
-19
no box
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
53avg 69
A15/11
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 69
H06/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
77avg 69
A14/12
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
65avg 69
A17/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
66avg 69
H04/01
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
21-26
25-26
29-22
28-25
25-23
20-24
20-24
32-34
29-22
23-18
27-23
17-33
29-28
17-35
32-18
21-24
19-17
22-19
27-18
24-25
14-23
14-17
22-27
27-29
17-22
19-20
28-22
40-17
25-28
10-29
11-30
24-21
19-20
16-22
22-24
21-24
15-17
21-22
26-32
186.5Avg total
91.2Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.094.2177.2-11.20%
Season at home (2)87.094.0181.0-7.00%
Season away (3)80.394.3174.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)91.295.3186.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)83.094.2177.2-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)90.097.2187.2-7.225%
vs Similar (12)88.292.9181.2-4.725%
vs Weaker (10)96.288.6184.8+7.670%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
97avg 79
A13/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
102-77
102
77
+25
103avg 79
A14/12
B League
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 79
H17/12
EASL
Toyama
#24
L
80-90
80
90
-10
66avg 79
A20/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 79
A21/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
90-96
90
96
-6
84avg 79
H24/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 79
H27/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
66-85
66
85
-19
52avg 79
H28/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
86-65
86
65
+21
87avg 79
H03/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 79
H04/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
29-12
22-15
16-20
25-17
19-22
30-19
28-19
21-24
20-19
22-16
24-22
19-23
17-20
19-15
25-32
25-23
24-17
17-21
15-17
23-21
22-22
17-22
28-31
21-26
14-18
21-24
16-12
15-22
19-21
19-28
13-14
25-21
20-12
19-13
22-19
13-15
21-27
9-13
22-20
162.3Avg total
82.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.782.3165.0+0.367%
Season at home (2)84.076.5160.5+7.5100%
Season away (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.479.9162.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.880.2156.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)76.776.7153.4+0.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.676.7161.3+8.074%
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
Macau Black BearsRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Taipei Kings
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A23/10
EASL
Ryukyu
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/10
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/11
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H06/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A14/12
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H04/01
EASL
96.2Avg total
48.1Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.845.991.7-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.146.191.3-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)46.445.792.1+0.733%-
Last 10 (10)48.148.196.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.290.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)46.648.595.1-1.938%-
vs Similar (12)43.645.489.0-1.833%-
vs Weaker (10)47.744.592.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A13/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/12
B League
Macau Black Bears
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/12
EASL
Toyama
#24
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A21/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H04/01
B League
82.7Avg total
42.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.581.0+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.780.5+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.381.4+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.782.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.637.977.4+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.438.782.0+4.765%-
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Macau Black Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Macau Black Bears: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.8
48.1%
52.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.0
33.1%
36.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
75.1%12.6
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.6
51.5%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.5
30.0%
36.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.812.6
79.7%
75.1%12.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Macau Black Bears
LLLLLWLWLW
Ryukyu
LWLLLWLWWW
#12
League position
#2
-14.0
Net rating
+4.0
102.5
Offensive rating
110.7
116.5
Defensive rating
106.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.3%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.1%
3-point %
30.0%
43.6%
Assist %
67.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 110.7Defence116.5 · 106.7Shooting48.7% · 48.6%3-point %33.1% · 30.0%Ball care12.3% · 14.3%Off. rebounds20.5% · 36.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Macau Black Bears   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Macau Black Bears wins
2
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
17/12/25Ryukyu v Macau Black Bears87-81
30/10/24Macau Black Bears v Ryukyu93-96
Macau Black Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots83-95
17/12/25ARyukyu81-87
14/12/25ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots86-104
06/12/25HMeralco Bolts91-93
15/11/25AMeralco Bolts74-92
15/01/25AKCC Egis89-78
11/12/24HNew Taipei Kings95-114
06/11/24HKCC Egis111-97
30/10/24HRyukyu93-96
23/10/24ANew Taipei Kings109-97
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HSeaHorses Mikawa65-75
03/01/26HSeaHorses Mikawa86-65
28/12/25HSendai66-85
27/12/25HSendai72-80
24/12/25HBrave Thunders90-96
21/12/25AToyama81-78
20/12/25AToyama80-90
17/12/25HMacau Black Bears87-81
14/12/25ASaga102-77
13/12/25ASaga95-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Macau Black Bears
EASL 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.087.080.3
Allowed / game94.294.094.3
Point differential-11.2-7.0-14.0
Avg total177.2181.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ryukyu
EASL 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game82.784.080.0
Allowed / game82.376.594.0
Point differential+0.3+7.5-14.0
Avg total165.0160.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Taoyuan Pauian Pilots54180%90.281.2+9.0
2 Alvark43175%89.081.8+7.2
3 Ryukyu32167%82.782.3+0.3
4 Xac Broncos53260%91.285.8+5.4
5 Meralco Bolts53260%82.880.8+2.0
6 New Taipei Kings53260%91.491.2+0.2
7 Seoul Knights53260%87.687.4+0.2
8 Utsunomiya Brex42250%91.289.0+2.2
9 Fubon Braves42250%94.094.8-0.8
10 Hong Kong Eastern52340%88.289.6-1.4
11 LG Sakers61517%82.391.8-9.5
12 Macau Black Bears5050%83.094.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Macau Black Bears1721162579
Ryukyu20292627102
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