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Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Jerusalem Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
1.7/10
🧊 Cold
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game69.5
IsraelSuper LeagueRound 14
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Jerusalem
17 Jan 2027
MACC v HJE
upcoming
01 Dec 2019
MACC69
HJE84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Ashdod win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Jerusalem win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maccabi AshdodIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAshdod
Date
Competition
Otef Darom
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
A27/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
no box
A31/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H04/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A08/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
H11/06
Liga Leumit
Nes Ziona
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
48avg 43
H12/10
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
42avg 43
A18/10
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 43
H26/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
no box
H02/11
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#11
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A09/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
25-17
17-16
22-17
29-22
10-25
25-22
28-23
24-22
28-21
16-16
17-11
11-14
26-16
17-26
32-26
20-16
20-23
31-16
23-28
17-12
17-18
14-20
28-12
28-23
20-23
7-14
12-21
23-16
7-26
26-19
10-16
25-17
25-27
18-23
20-25
15-18
26-15
20-24
14-15
163.9Avg total
82.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.476.8151.2-2.440%
Season at home (3)76.777.0153.7-0.333%
Season away (2)71.076.5147.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)82.781.2163.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)74.476.8151.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.381.7157.0-6.333%
vs Similar (8)85.184.5169.6+0.650%
vs Weaker (19)93.381.8175.1+11.484%
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJerusalem
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 74
A14/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
73avg 74
H17/10
Super League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
100-64
100
64
+36
108avg 74
H21/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
70-60
70
60
+10
45avg 74
A25/10
Super League
Le Mans
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
89avg 74
A28/10
Eurocup
Ironi Eilat
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
67avg 74
H01/11
Super League
Aris
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Hapoel HaEmek
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H08/11
Super League
Tortona
#17
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#8
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
A14/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
22-21
24-20
15-25
22-10
20-24
22-14
24-26
29-20
21-16
27-19
23-9
16-14
18-13
17-20
19-13
21-19
27-21
17-27
25-16
27-16
16-21
17-16
28-25
18-19
17-21
22-16
27-17
16-20
16-11
19-17
14-11
25-25
23-25
21-18
22-9
21-25
16-16
18-21
27-15
157.2Avg total
84.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.869.5150.3+11.3100%
Season at home (3)80.370.3150.7+10.0100%
Season away (3)81.368.7150.0+12.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.372.9157.2+11.4100%
Last 5 (5)82.072.8154.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.877.2145.0-9.50%
vs Similar (7)86.177.4163.6+8.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.379.3168.6+10.084%
This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.8+5.8
Maccabi AshdodHapoel Jerusalem
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maccabi AshdodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Otef Darom
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H04/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A08/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/06
Liga Leumit
Nes Ziona
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/10
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/10
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H26/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/11
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A09/11
Super League
81.4Avg total
41.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.486.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.084.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.081.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.344.083.3-4.767%-
vs Similar (8)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (19)47.141.388.3+5.863%-
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A14/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Super League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/10
Super League
Le Mans
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A28/10
Eurocup
Ironi Eilat
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H01/11
Super League
Aris
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/11
Eurocup
Hapoel HaEmek
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H08/11
Super League
Tortona
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A11/11
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/11
Super League
79.0Avg total
41.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.941.785.6+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.941.286.1+3.664%-
Last 30 away (15)43.142.185.2+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.579.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.745.788.3-3.00%-
vs Similar (7)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.241.486.5+3.874%-
This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maccabi Ashdodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Ashdod: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.3
43.4%
53.3%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.3
36.9%
34.3%31.0
🏀 Free throws9.36.0
64.3%
73.7%6.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Jerusalemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Jerusalem: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
53.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.9
40.5%
34.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
73.7%15.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maccabi Ashdod
WLLLWWWWLW
Hapoel Jerusalem
WWWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+4.6
Net rating
+15.0
87.2
Offensive rating
102.0
82.6
Defensive rating
87.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
56.5%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
40.5%
55.0%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence87.2 · 102.0Defence82.6 · 87.0Shooting48.5% · 56.5%3-point %36.9% · 40.5%Ball care15.7% · 16.4%Free throws0.14 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Maccabi Ashdod   ■ Hapoel Jerusalem
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maccabi Ashdod wins
2
Hapoel Jerusalem wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26ABnei Herzliya75-72
02/11/26HHapoel Beer Sheva88-92
26/10/26HGalil Elyon66-77
18/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv67-81
12/10/26HNes Ziona76-62
11/06/26HIroni Nahariya94-83
08/06/26AIroni Nahariya86-82
04/06/26HIroni Nahariya85-70
31/05/26AIroni Nahariya108-114 OT
27/05/26AOtef Darom82-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-77
11/11/26ATortona91-77
08/11/26HHapoel HaEmek65-59
04/11/26HAris84-73
01/11/26HIroni Eilat88-78
28/10/26ALe Mans90-83
25/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv70-60
21/10/26HRigas Zelli100-64
17/10/26HHapoel Beer Sheva88-74
14/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Ashdod
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game74.476.771.0
Allowed / game76.877.076.5
Point differential-2.4-0.3-5.5
Avg total151.2153.7147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.880.381.3
Allowed / game69.570.368.7
Point differential+11.3+10.0+12.7
Avg total150.3150.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem660100%80.869.5+11.3
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv54180%83.875.4+8.4
3 Nes Ziona53260%85.880.0+5.8
4 Maccabi Rishon53260%81.678.0+3.6
5 Ironi Eilat53260%85.283.8+1.4
6 Galil Elyon53260%91.694.0-2.4
7 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan53260%85.489.0-3.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%98.092.4+5.6
9 Maccabi Ashdod52340%74.476.8-2.4
10 Ironi Kiryat Ata52340%88.297.8-9.6
11 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.788.0-3.3
12 Hapoel HaEmek51420%73.475.0-1.6
13 Hapoel Holon51420%80.086.6-6.6
14 Hapoel Beer Sheva51420%81.890.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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