PythiaBasketballBETA
Super LeagueRound 6· Maccabi Sports Hall
Maccabi Rishon will host Hapoel Beer Sheva on 16 November 2026 in the Super League, and the Pythia model names Maccabi Rishon the clear favourite, rating them 76% to win largely because of their 3-2 record, 81.6 points per game and only 78.0 points allowed, placing them fourth in the league, while Hapoel Beer Sheva sits 14th with a 1-4 record, 81.8 points per game but 90.0 points allowed; Maccabi Rishon have won six of ten meetings against Hapoel Beer Sheva, most recently 87-84 on 27 April 2026, and their last five games include victories over Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan, Hapoel Holon and Maccabi Tel Aviv, whereas Hapoel Beer Sheva's last five feature one win against Maccabi Ashdod and losses to Ironi Eilat and Hapoel Holon; the projected score is 87-79, with a total of 166.5 points, the home line is -5.5 with a 59% chance of covering, the over line is 166.0 with a 51% chance of the over, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 81.6 | 78.0 | 159.6 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 77.7 | 86.3 | 164.0 | -8.7 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 87.5 | 65.5 | 153.0 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.1 | 82.4 | 163.5 | -1.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.6 | 78.0 | 159.6 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 79.8 | 92.0 | 171.8 | -12.2 | 22% |
| vs Similar (16) | 82.6 | 80.7 | 163.3 | +1.9 | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 80.4 | 70.0 | 150.4 | +10.4 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 81.8 | 90.0 | 171.8 | -8.2 | 20% |
| Season at home (2) | 78.5 | 93.0 | 171.5 | -14.5 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 84.0 | 88.0 | 172.0 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.9 | 94.5 | 179.4 | -9.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.8 | 90.0 | 171.8 | -8.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 85.5 | 93.8 | 179.3 | -8.2 | 18% |
| vs Similar (13) | 84.5 | 87.2 | 171.7 | -2.8 | 54% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.5 | 40.7 | 82.2 | +0.9 | 53% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.3 | 38.1 | 80.5 | +4.2 | 73% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 43.2 | 83.9 | -2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.4 | 41.3 | 81.7 | -0.9 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 36.4 | 78.6 | +5.8 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 39.4 | 47.8 | 87.2 | -8.3 | 11% | 78% |
| vs Similar (16) | 42.6 | 39.1 | 81.7 | +3.4 | 62% | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 42.0 | 32.8 | 74.8 | +9.2 | 100% | 20% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.4 | 45.5 | 86.8 | -4.1 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.9 | 47.1 | 87.1 | -7.2 | 21% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.6 | 44.0 | 86.6 | -1.4 | 44% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.7 | 48.6 | 88.3 | -8.9 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.8 | 45.6 | 83.4 | -7.8 | 0% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 41.8 | 46.4 | 88.2 | -4.6 | 29% | 65% |
| vs Similar (13) | 40.8 | 44.2 | 85.1 | -3.4 | 38% | 69% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Rishon (regulation) | 73.1% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +12.3pp |
| Maccabi Rishon -1.5 | 73.2% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +12.1pp |
| Maccabi Rishon +2.5 | 80.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp |
| Maccabi Rishon win | 75.5% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.40 | +9.8pp |
| Maccabi Rishon over 81.5 | 71.3% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.2 | 22.0 | 53.3% | 44.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.0 | 8.2 | 34.3% | 24.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.0 | 11.1 | 73.7% | 11.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.3 | 20.1 | 53.3% | 40.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.5 | 9.2 | 34.3% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.3 | 11.4 | 73.7% | 11.4 |
Maccabi Rishon
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 | Maccabi Rishon v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 87-84 |
| 27/10/25 | Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Rishon | 67-75 |
| 14/09/25 | Maccabi Rishon v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 89-72 |
| 08/05/22 | Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Rishon | 95-76 |
| 20/01/22 | Maccabi Rishon v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 78-85 |
| 01/11/21 | Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Rishon | 67-79 |
| 13/09/21 | Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Rishon | 75-80 |
| 29/05/21 | Maccabi Rishon v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 83-87 |
| 24/01/21 | Maccabi Rishon v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 62-70 |
| 20/12/20 | Maccabi Rishon v Hapoel Beer Sheva | 87-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan | 97-61 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Hapoel Holon | 78-70 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 93-90 OT |
| 19/10/26 | H | Hapoel HaEmek | 60-80 |
| 12/10/26 | H | Ironi Eilat | 80-89 |
| 04/06/26 | A | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 83-96 |
| 02/06/26 | H | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 69-95 |
| 31/05/26 | A | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 82-74 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Maccabi Raanana | 93-78 |
| 20/05/26 | A | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 76-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | A | Ironi Eilat | 86-88 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Maccabi Ashdod | 92-88 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Hapoel Holon | 75-91 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Hapoel Jerusalem | 74-88 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 82-95 |
| 03/06/26 | H | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 83-108 |
| 01/06/26 | A | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 90-106 |
| 27/05/26 | H | Elitzur Maccabi Netanya | 79-83 |
| 20/05/26 | A | Hapoel Jerusalem | 87-103 |
| 15/05/26 | H | Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan | 101-95 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 60% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 81.6 | 77.7 | 87.5 |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | 86.3 | 65.5 |
| Point differential | +3.6 | -8.7 | +22.0 |
| Avg total | 159.6 | 164.0 | 153.0 |
| Over 166 | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 20% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 81.8 | 78.5 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 90.0 | 93.0 | 88.0 |
| Point differential | -8.2 | -14.5 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 171.8 | 171.5 | 172.0 |
| Over 166 | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hapoel Jerusalem | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 80.8 | 69.5 | +11.3 |
| 2 |  Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 83.8 | 75.4 | +8.4 |
| 3 |  Nes Ziona | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.8 | 80.0 | +5.8 |
| 4 | Maccabi Rishon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 81.6 | 78.0 | +3.6 |
| 5 |  Ironi Eilat | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.2 | 83.8 | +1.4 |
| 6 |  Galil Elyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 91.6 | 94.0 | -2.4 |
| 7 |  Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.4 | 89.0 | -3.6 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 98.0 | 92.4 | +5.6 |
| 9 |  Maccabi Ashdod | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.4 | 76.8 | -2.4 |
| 10 |  Ironi Kiryat Ata | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 88.2 | 97.8 | -9.6 |
| 11 |  Bnei Herzliya | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 84.7 | 88.0 | -3.3 |
| 12 |  Hapoel HaEmek | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 73.4 | 75.0 | -1.6 |
| 13 |  Hapoel Holon | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 80.0 | 86.6 | -6.6 |
| 14 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 81.8 | 90.0 | -8.2 |
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