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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Dubai Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 88-92
Projected total 180.6
Scheduled
Position#17
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game92.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Vs
36%
64%
■ MTA 36%■ DUB 64%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Dubai
Position#9
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13· Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
European cup2026
Meetings · Maccabi Tel Aviv v Dubai
19 Nov 2026
MTA v DUB
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
MTA104
DUB100
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Maccabi Tel Aviv faces Dubai in the EuroLeague on 19 November 2026, a clash that pits a team on a 3-8 run against a 7-4 side that has already beaten three opponents on the road. Maccabi has scored 84.3 points per game while allowing 92.1, and at home they are 2-3 with 92.6 points for and 94.6 against; their last five games include a win over Hapoel Tel-Aviv 80-73 and losses to Partizan 67-88 and Hapoel 87-105. Dubai, meanwhile, averages 86.5 points and 85.6 allowed, and on the road they are 4-2 with 88.7 points for and 86.5 against; their recent five games feature a win over Mega Basket 98-87 and a win over Virtus Bologna 93-75, but a loss to Olympiacos 72-101. Historically Maccabi has won both meetings, most recently 104-100 on 26 March 2026. Pythia rates Dubai as the favourite with a 64% chance of victory versus Maccabi's 36%, projecting a 92-88 score for a total of 180.6 points; the home line is 4.5 with a 51% chance of covering, and the over on 178.5 has a 54% probability, with a 5% chance of overtime. Dubai's recent road win over Virtus Bologna suggests they will keep the game close.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv win
36.4%fair 2.75
Best odds2.72
Implied36.6%
Edge-0.2pp
Dubai win
63.6%fair 1.57
Best odds1.50
Implied63.4%
Edge+0.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAviv
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 82
A15/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
116-89
116
89
+27
99avg 82
H18/10
Super League
Real Madrid
#5
L
99-113
99
113
-14
91avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Rishon
#4
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
60avg 82
A24/10
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Paris
#14
L
94-99
94
99
-5
85avg 82
H29/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
H01/11
Super League
Partizan
#11
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H14/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
19-25
21-24
20-16
36-23
29-8
25-25
26-33
30-23
22-28
21-30
26-32
17-16
17-29
21-21
27-16
15-34
15-21
25-23
23-22
17-25
19-10
29-30
29-34
22-26
25-33
16-24
24-22
23-28
12-22
17-22
15-16
25-21
16-12
15-19
24-21
25-21
16-16
21-18
15-27
180.9Avg total
87.9Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.392.1176.4-7.827%
Season at home (5)92.694.6187.2-2.040%
Season away (6)77.390.0167.3-12.717%
Last 10 (10)87.993.0180.9-5.130%
Last 5 (5)81.089.4170.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.393.2176.5-9.920%
vs Similar (4)87.090.2177.2-3.225%
vs Weaker (16)101.782.6184.2+19.188%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#20
W
108-90
108
90
+18
113avg 86
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 86
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
74avg 86
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#14
L
93-99
93
99
-6
85avg 86
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 86
H30/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#13
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
H02/11
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#18
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
A09/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
H15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
29-23
19-32
25-10
29-14
34-22
19-31
25-24
22-13
23-26
24-18
24-26
25-23
22-31
25-19
21-26
19-22
26-18
29-20
23-23
16-21
19-17
23-20
31-17
21-17
27-17
28-19
17-22
26-16
27-17
28-28
17-26
18-25
25-32
13-31
16-13
31-13
22-22
21-22
19-18
180.2Avg total
94.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.585.6172.2+0.964%
Season at home (5)84.084.6168.6-0.660%
Season away (6)88.786.5175.2+2.267%
Last 10 (10)94.385.9180.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)89.082.6171.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.385.0154.3-15.733%
vs Similar (9)85.986.6172.4-0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)95.681.4176.9+14.294%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1401%1453%1505%1557%1609%16511%17012%17512%18011%1859%1907%1955%2003%2052%2101%2151%2200%225
0%1351%1455%1559%16512%17511%1857%1953%2051%2150%225
Pythia expects about 181 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 178.5.
Over/Under 173.5
Over 173.5
65.8%
@ 1.46+3.6pp
Under 173.5
34.2%
@ 2.40-3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 178.5 · main line
Over 178.5
54.0%
@ 1.93+4.0pp
Under 178.5
46.0%
@ 1.93-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 183.5
Over 183.5
41.9%
@ 2.40+4.1pp
Under 183.5
58.1%
@ 1.46-4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.46

📊 3. Team Totals

Maccabi Tel Aviv total 83
Over 83
69.8%
Under 83
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv total 87 · main line
Over 87
54.6%
@ 1.87+4.6pp
Under 87
45.4%
@ 1.87-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.87
Maccabi Tel Aviv total 91
Over 91
39.0%
Under 91
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubai total 87.5
Over 87.5
67.9%
Under 87.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubai total 91.5 · main line
Over 91.5
52.6%
@ 1.81+2.6pp
Under 91.5
47.4%
@ 1.81-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Dubai total 95.5
Over 95.5
37.0%
Under 95.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-361%-331%-302%-273%-244%-215%-187%-158%-129%-910%-69%-36%+08%+37%+65%+94%+123%+152%+181%+211%+240%+27
0%-361%-303%-245%-188%-1210%-66%+07%+64%+122%+181%+24
Margin from Maccabi Tel Aviv's side (positive = Maccabi Tel Aviv win). Pythia's expected margin is -3.9; Maccabi Tel Aviv win by 1+ in 32% of simulations.
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.5
MTA +1.5
39.2%
@ 2.21-1.9pp
DUB -1.5
60.8%
@ 1.54+1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
2.21
DUB
1xBet
1.54
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +4.5 · main line
MTA +4.5
50.9%
@ 1.93+0.9pp
DUB -4.5
49.1%
@ 1.93-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
DUB
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +7.5
MTA +7.5
62.2%
@ 1.54+3.3pp
DUB -7.5
37.8%
@ 2.21-3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
1.54
DUB
1xBet
2.21

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
Maccabi Tel AvivDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
65-31
65
31
+34
H18/10
Super League
Real Madrid
#5
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H22/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Rishon
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/10
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A27/10
Euroleague
Paris
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H01/11
Super League
Partizan
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/11
Super League
87.5Avg total
43.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)46.642.489.0+4.263%53%
Last 30 at home (18)50.841.392.1+9.578%67%
Last 30 away (12)40.244.184.3-3.842%33%
Last 10 (10)43.144.487.5-1.360%40%
Last 5 (5)40.042.882.8-2.860%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.744.484.1-4.760%30%
vs Similar (4)41.047.888.8-6.825%50%
vs Weaker (16)52.239.892.1+12.475%69%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#20
W
64-48
64
48
+16
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
63-36
63
36
+27
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#14
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#18
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A09/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A12/11
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H15/11
ABA League
91.0Avg total
49.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)47.041.288.2+5.867%37%
Last 30 at home (15)48.141.389.4+6.767%47%
Last 30 away (15)45.941.086.9+4.967%27%
Last 10 (10)49.641.491.0+8.270%40%
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.060%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.346.083.3-8.70%33%
vs Similar (9)44.343.387.7+1.056%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)49.939.389.2+10.783%39%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +2.5 · main line
MTA +2.5
53.1%
@ 1.85+3.1pp
DUB -2.5
46.9%
@ 1.85-3.1pp
1st half Over/Under 89 · main line
Over
55.3%
@ 1.87+5.3pp
Under
44.7%
@ 1.87-5.3pp
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st half total 43.5 · main line
Over
54.4%
@ 1.81+5.0pp
Under
45.6%
@ 1.77-5.0pp
Dubai 1st half total 45.5 · main line
Over
52.9%
@ 1.74+1.5pp
Under
47.1%
@ 1.84-1.5pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5
Over
60.6%
@ 1.67+5.2pp
Under
39.4%
@ 2.07-5.2pp
1st half Over/Under 90.5
Over
49.5%
@ 2.07+4.9pp
Under
50.5%
@ 1.67-4.9pp
1st half Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.5
MTA +1.5
48.7%
@ 2.00+2.5pp
DUB -1.5
51.3%
@ 1.72-2.5pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
MTA
40.3%
@ 2.42+3.2pp
Draw
3.9%
@ 14.10-2.5pp
DUB
55.8%
@ 1.59-0.7pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Overtime
🔒 Pro
🔒 1 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Maccabi Tel Aviv +10.572.2%1.35
1xBet
1.35		----+5.0pp
Dubai +2.570.1%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+1.0pp
🔒 Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maccabi Tel Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Tel Aviv: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.4
57.4%
55.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.7
39.5%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.414.0
80.5%
77.1%14.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.9
60.1%
55.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
77.1%15.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
LWLLLLLLWW
Dubai
WLWWWWLWWW
#17
League position
#9
+0.6
Net rating
+9.9
105.4
Offensive rating
110.0
104.9
Defensive rating
100.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
58.9%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.5%
3-point %
37.8%
61.6%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 110.0Defence104.9 · 100.2Shooting58.2% · 58.9%3-point %39.5% · 37.8%Ball care14.9% · 11.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Maccabi Tel Aviv   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
0
Dubai wins
DateGameScore
26/03/26Maccabi Tel Aviv v Dubai104-100 OT
16/12/25Dubai v Maccabi Tel Aviv95-97
Maccabi Tel Avivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-82
12/11/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv80-73
06/11/26APartizan67-88
01/11/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv87-105
29/10/26HParis94-99
27/10/26ACrvena zvezda78-100
24/10/26AMaccabi Rishon90-93 OT
22/10/26HReal Madrid99-113
18/10/26HIroni Kiryat Ata116-89
15/10/26AValencia91-88
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSpartak Subotica93-75
12/11/26AOlympiacos72-101
09/11/26AMega Basket98-87
06/11/26AVirtus Bologna93-75
02/11/26HZadar89-75
30/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv97-83
27/10/26HParis93-99
24/10/26AKK Bosna93-83
22/10/26ABayern107-91
19/10/26HStudentski Centar108-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Tel Aviv
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game84.392.677.3
Allowed / game92.194.690.0
Point differential-7.8-2.0-12.7
Avg total176.4187.2167.3
Over 178.536%60%17%
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubai
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game86.584.088.7
Allowed / game85.684.686.5
Point differential+0.9-0.6+2.2
Avg total172.2168.6175.2
Over 178.545%60%33%
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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