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Mackay Meteors vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 91-79
30-19 19-28 19-15 23-17
Position#1
Record16-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#4
Record13-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.8
AustraliaNBL1 NorthNBL1 North - Final
Other2024
Meetings · Mackay Meteors v Brisbane Capitals
03 Aug 2024
MACK102
BRIS80
02 Aug 2024
MACK91
BRIS79
19 Apr 2024
MACK92
BRIS73
20 May 2022
MACK69
BRIS66
28 Aug 2021
MACK93
BRIS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mackay Meteors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mackay MeteorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ipswich Force
#10
W
110-89
110
89
+21
A07/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A08/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A09/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
117-77
117
77
+40
H15/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
109-94
109
94
+15
A22/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A28/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
106-101
106
101
+5
A29/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
129-75
129
75
+54
H05/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
112-85
112
85
+27
H13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H27/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
34-22
20-23
23-23
23-21
30-23
24-16
26-29
17-23
20-15
27-19
24-25
25-22
23-16
42-24
27-15
32-29
24-18
29-25
24-22
25-16
25-20
20-24
15-27
35-23
23-30
26-24
22-24
29-21
29-24
46-6
25-24
32-32
24-17
33-20
23-16
23-23
29-24
20-22
28-21
192.8Avg total
105.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)103.888.7192.5+15.189%
Season at home (9)107.087.4194.4+19.689%
Season away (9)100.690.0190.6+10.689%
Last 10 (10)105.986.9192.8+19.090%
Last 5 (5)106.487.6194.0+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.096.0179.0-13.00%
vs Similar (5)88.897.6186.4-8.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)101.086.0187.0+15.188%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
110-97 OT
110
97
+13
H31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H08/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H29/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H20/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A27/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
26-26
25-26
16-26
21-15
29-18
27-29
26-28
25-25
23-17
17-16
21-23
19-16
20-20
17-23
19-16
22-10
26-24
32-18
26-27
19-26
13-19
25-17
21-21
29-23
20-33
25-19
31-23
25-22
24-19
24-14
18-17
27-21
27-19
24-17
20-24
27-23
29-26
22-12
25-15
180.6Avg total
96.3Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)91.584.8176.3+6.768%
Season at home (9)98.186.2184.3+11.989%
Season away (10)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)96.384.3180.6+12.080%
Last 5 (5)95.082.0177.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)89.794.3184.0-4.733%
vs Similar (11)92.486.5178.9+5.864%
vs Weaker (13)96.885.5182.3+11.477%
This opponent (Mackay Meteors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +8.4+8.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +8.4+8.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
Mackay MeteorsBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mackay MeteorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ipswich Force
#10
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A07/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A08/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H15/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A22/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A28/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A29/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H05/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H27/07
NBL1 North
97.5Avg total
53.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.845.594.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.546.596.9+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)47.144.591.5+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)53.544.097.5+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)54.846.0100.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.057.093.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (5)40.051.691.6-11.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)51.143.794.8+7.475%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H08/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A27/07
NBL1 North
89.4Avg total
47.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.543.189.6+3.462%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.740.989.7+7.873%-
Last 30 away (14)44.145.489.6-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)47.741.789.4+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)48.046.294.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.249.495.6-3.240%-
vs Similar (11)45.342.087.3+3.364%-
vs Weaker (13)47.741.689.3+6.169%-
This opponent (Mackay Meteors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mackay Meteors wins
0
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/24HSouthern District100-90
13/07/24HSouthern District112-85
05/07/24HCairns Marlins129-75
29/06/24ADarwin Salties106-101
28/06/24ACairns Marlins85-87
22/06/24ARockhampton Rockets109-94
15/06/24HSunshine Coast Phoenix117-77
09/06/24ALogan Thunder88-82
08/06/24ASouth West Metro Pirates103-89
07/06/24AIpswich Force110-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/24ADarwin Salties103-76
20/07/24HRockhampton Rockets98-81
12/07/24HNorthside Wizards91-72
06/07/24HGold Coast Rollers105-98
05/07/24ASouthern District78-83
29/06/24HTownsville Heat106-79
22/06/24HLogan Thunder83-86 OT
16/06/24HDarwin Salties86-81
08/06/24HSouthern District103-90
31/05/24HCairns Marlins110-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mackay Meteors
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%89%89%
Points / game103.8107.0100.6
Allowed / game88.787.490.0
Point differential+15.1+19.6+10.6
Avg total192.5194.4190.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%67%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%89%50%
Points / game91.598.185.5
Allowed / game84.886.283.5
Point differential+6.7+11.9+2.0
Avg total176.3184.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors1816289%103.888.7+15.1
2 Darwin Salties1813572%102.993.1+9.8
3 Logan Thunder1813572%89.185.2+3.9
4 Brisbane Capitals1913668%91.584.8+6.7
5 Southern District1910953%90.886.9+3.9
6 Rockhampton Rockets189950%98.996.8+2.1
7 Gold Coast Rollers178947%93.893.9-0.1
8 Cairns Marlins178947%87.593.7-6.2
9 Sunshine Coast Phoenix1771041%85.690.0-4.4
10 Ipswich Force1761135%89.894.0-4.2
11 Townsville Heat1751229%89.994.8-4.8
12 South West Metro Pirates1751229%89.995.9-6.1
13 Northside Wizards1751229%86.593.9-7.5
14 North Gold Coast Seahawks1751229%83.594.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mackay Meteors3019192391
Brisbane Capitals1928151779
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