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Southern District vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 83-78
26-19 19-13 17-25 21-21
Position#5
Record8-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#4
Record9-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game85.8
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Meetings · Southern District v Brisbane Capitals
10 May 2025
SOUT83
BRIS89
05 Jul 2024
SOUT83
BRIS78
05 May 2024
SOUT69
BRIS74
07 Jul 2023
SOUT101
BRIS94
05 Jun 2022
SOUT86
BRIS110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern District winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H05/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
106-64
106
64
+42
H11/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A18/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
105-87
105
87
+18
A25/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H01/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A08/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
107-84
107
84
+23
A14/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
92-106
92
106
-14
H15/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
114-113 OT
114
113
+1
A22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
99-89
99
89
+10
H28/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
18-20
14-25
21-17
29-23
28-12
26-16
23-13
25-26
15-19
26-16
24-18
30-13
38-33
19-20
18-21
29-22
22-14
15-22
26-7
15-21
18-29
29-27
28-26
28-16
32-15
28-25
19-28
28-22
25-26
10-30
29-28
30-30
22-19
31-25
18-27
18-26
26-22
29-17
26-24
182.8Avg total
96.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.384.9176.1+6.457%
Season at home (8)85.980.5166.4+5.438%
Season away (6)98.590.7189.2+7.883%
Last 10 (10)96.486.4182.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)100.499.0199.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.898.2182.0-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.786.4177.1+4.258%
vs Weaker (14)92.683.9176.5+8.879%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A04/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A05/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A12/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A19/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H25/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
110-97 OT
110
97
+13
H31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H08/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H29/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
18-21
26-20
28-24
12-16
20-18
25-14
17-21
23-13
14-19
19-20
20-19
23-22
26-19
20-21
25-14
23-22
18-23
34-16
26-31
26-15
26-26
25-26
16-26
21-15
29-18
27-29
26-28
25-25
23-17
17-16
21-23
19-16
20-20
17-23
19-16
22-10
26-24
32-18
26-27
174.3Avg total
91.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.285.8176.0+4.464%
Season at home (6)98.287.5185.7+10.783%
Season away (8)84.284.5168.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)91.682.7174.3+8.980%
Last 5 (5)97.686.6184.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.098.0185.0-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (13)91.990.5182.5+1.454%
vs Weaker (12)96.386.9183.2+9.467%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Southern DistrictBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H05/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H11/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A18/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
68-46
68
46
+22
A25/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H01/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A08/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
60-31
60
31
+29
A14/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H15/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H28/06
NBL1 North
91.2Avg total
49.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.743.288.9+2.548%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.543.989.4+1.547%-
Last 30 away (14)45.942.488.4+3.550%-
Last 10 (10)49.242.091.2+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.293.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.247.093.2-0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.143.586.6-0.536%-
vs Weaker (14)47.641.989.4+5.757%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A12/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H08/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/06
NBL1 North
80.5Avg total
42.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)46.443.489.9+3.061%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.741.089.7+7.773%-
Last 30 away (13)43.846.290.1-2.446%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.080.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.437.284.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.444.290.5+2.262%-
vs Weaker (11)47.540.487.8+7.173%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern District wins
5
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/24HTownsville Heat99-89
22/06/24AGold Coast Rollers114-113 OT
15/06/24HDarwin Salties92-106
14/06/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks107-84
08/06/24ABrisbane Capitals90-103
01/06/24HCairns Marlins92-65
25/05/24ANorthside Wizards105-87
18/05/24ASouth West Metro Pirates90-79
11/05/24HLogan Thunder106-64
05/05/24HBrisbane Capitals69-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/24HTownsville Heat106-79
22/06/24HLogan Thunder83-86 OT
16/06/24HDarwin Salties86-81
08/06/24HSouthern District103-90
31/05/24HCairns Marlins110-97 OT
25/05/24HSunshine Coast Phoenix101-92
19/05/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix94-76
12/05/24ASouth West Metro Pirates76-71
05/05/24ASouthern District74-69
04/05/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern District
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%38%83%
Points / game91.385.998.5
Allowed / game84.980.590.7
Point differential+6.4+5.4+7.8
Avg total176.1166.4189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%83%50%
Points / game90.298.284.2
Allowed / game85.887.584.5
Point differential+4.4+10.7-0.2
Avg total176.0185.7168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors1513287%101.889.8+12.0
2 Darwin Salties1511473%104.294.1+10.1
3 Logan Thunder1511473%90.785.1+5.6
4 Brisbane Capitals149564%90.285.8+4.4
5 Southern District148657%91.384.9+6.4
6 Cairns Marlins147750%87.691.6-4.1
7 Rockhampton Rockets157847%100.097.1+2.9
8 Gold Coast Rollers157847%93.293.9-0.7
9 Sunshine Coast Phoenix156940%86.091.0-5.0
10 Ipswich Force145936%91.193.9-2.8
11 South West Metro Pirates1551033%90.594.9-4.3
12 Northside Wizards1551033%87.594.1-6.7
13 North Gold Coast Seahawks1551033%84.095.3-11.3
14 Townsville Heat1541127%88.895.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern District2619172183
Brisbane Capitals1913252178
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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