Magnolia Hotshots vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 09:15

Final 79-65

21-15 14-12 22-18 22-20

Position#4

Record5-6

FormLLLLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game82.5

Magnolia Hotshots 🏆

Alaska Aces

Position#3

Record7-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game77.5

Commissioners CupCommissioners Cup - Quarter-finals

Other2014

Meetings · Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Magnolia Hotshots winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alaska Aces winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Magnolia Hotshots Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

90-80

+10

A16/03

Commissioners Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

91-74

+17

A22/03

Commissioners Cup

Barako Bull Energy

90-92

-2

H25/03

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

75-81

-6

H31/03

Commissioners Cup

Air21 Express

97-84

+13

A09/04

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

88-97

-9

H12/04

Commissioners Cup

Meralco Bolts

78-88

-10

H14/04

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

66-85

-19

A20/04

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

77-86

-9

H21/04

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

70-65

A23/04

Commissioners Cup

21-22

20-21

28-24

21-13

28-19

17-18

25-14

21-23

26-18

21-31

31-13

12-30

15-19

11-25

20-15

29-22

20-18

25-26

32-18

20-22

23-25

19-25

27-28

19-19

18-26

23-13

17-27

20-22

14-22

20-22

14-23

18-18

18-19

21-18

22-25

16-24

12-16

12-20

25-14

21-15

165.4Avg total

82.2Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	83.0	82.5	165.5	+0.5	45%
Season at home (6)	83.2	86.5	169.7	-3.3	17%
Season away (5)	82.8	77.6	160.4	+5.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	83.2	165.4	-1.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	84.2	160.0	-8.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	85.0	83.7	168.8	+1.3	58%
vs Weaker (6)	85.5	79.8	165.3	+5.7	67%

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska Aces Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

#10

93-77

+16

A08/03

Commissioners Cup

Meralco Bolts

76-85

-9

H12/03

Commissioners Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

78-92

-14

A15/03

Commissioners Cup

Air21 Express

88-78

+10

A17/03

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

89-78

+11

H29/03

Commissioners Cup

Barako Bull Energy

78-71

A02/04

Commissioners Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

83-73

+10

A13/04

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

85-66

+19

H20/04

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

86-77

A21/04

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

65-70

-5

H23/04

Commissioners Cup

23-15

19-24

23-28

28-10

12-20

21-17

21-24

22-24

17-18

15-20

26-31

20-23

19-16

19-25

23-21

27-16

11-12

26-20

25-30

27-16

13-17

13-13

27-20

25-21

19-11

21-13

21-20

22-29

22-14

22-20

23-14

18-18

19-18

18-21

25-22

24-16

16-12

20-12

14-25

15-21

158.8Avg total

82.1Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	81.2	77.5	158.6	+3.7	64%
Season at home (5)	77.4	76.8	154.2	+0.6	40%
Season away (6)	84.3	78.0	162.3	+6.3	83%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	76.7	158.8	+5.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	71.4	150.8	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	85.0	86.0	171.0	-1.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	88.1	88.8	176.9	-0.7	43%
vs Weaker (6)	85.8	79.2	165.0	+6.7	83%

This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Magnolia HotshotsAlaska Aces

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.5	40.5	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	19.9	42.6	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.8	38.7	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	15.3	32.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.4	32.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.8	15.8	31.7	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.7	40.4	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.8	34.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	50%	-

Magnolia HotshotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

41-43

-2

A16/03

Commissioners Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

45-37

A22/03

Commissioners Cup

Barako Bull Energy

47-49

-2

H25/03

Commissioners Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

26-44

-18

H31/03

Commissioners Cup

Air21 Express

45-44

A09/04

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

42-50

-8

H12/04

Commissioners Cup

Meralco Bolts

41-39

H14/04

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

34-44

-10

A20/04

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

39-37

H21/04

Commissioners Cup

Alaska Aces

24-36

-12

A23/04

Commissioners Cup

80.7Avg total

38.4Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.0	81.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	38.9	79.1	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	41.2	84.6	+2.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	42.3	80.7	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.2	77.2	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.7	40.3	82.0	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.7	38.7	80.3	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Global Port

#10

42-39

A08/03

Commissioners Cup

Meralco Bolts

33-37

-4

H12/03

Commissioners Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

32-38

-6

A15/03

Commissioners Cup

Air21 Express

38-41

-3

A17/03

Commissioners Cup

San Miguel Beermen

37-32

H29/03

Commissioners Cup

Barako Bull Energy

26-30

-4

A02/04

Commissioners Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

40-24

+16

A13/04

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

44-34

+10

H20/04

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

37-39

-2

A21/04

Commissioners Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

36-24

+12

H23/04

Commissioners Cup

70.3Avg total

36.5Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.7	79.9	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	41.4	81.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	40.0	78.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	33.8	70.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	30.2	66.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.6	42.9	83.5	-2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	34.2	33.3	67.5	+0.8	33%	-

This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.7	44.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	23.6	45.1	-2.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.8	23.1	44.0	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.3	21.0	45.3	+3.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.4	23.9	48.3	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	23.5	46.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	23.3	24.1	47.4	-0.8	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.5	22.2	45.7	+1.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.3	19.7	44.0	+4.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.6	22.3	46.9	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	30.0	59.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.8	61%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.3	21.8	47.2	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	43.0	86.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	44.3	85.6	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.9	41.4	87.3	+4.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	40.9	84.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.0	82.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	43.3	43.4	86.8	-0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.8	41.2	85.0	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	44.6	91.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	43.1	88.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.0	46.2	95.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	42.9	88.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	41.2	84.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	51.0	99.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	46.5	44.5	91.0	+2.0	61%	-
vs Weaker (6)	48.8	44.0	92.8	+4.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Magnolia Hotshots wins

Alaska Aces wins

Date	Game	Score
23/04/14	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	65-70
21/04/14	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	77-86
20/04/14	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	85-66
27/12/13	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	88-75
22/11/13	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	80-84
27/09/13	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	83-73
25/09/13	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	112-105
10/09/13	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	82-95
11/05/13	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	83-78
08/05/13	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	82-89 OT

Magnolia Hotshotslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/14	A	Alaska Aces	70-65
21/04/14	H	Alaska Aces	77-86
20/04/14	A	Alaska Aces	66-85
14/04/14	H	Meralco Bolts	78-88
12/04/14	H	San Miguel Beermen	88-97
09/04/14	A	Air21 Express	97-84
31/03/14	H	TNT Tropang Giga	75-81
25/03/14	H	Barako Bull Energy	90-92
22/03/14	A	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	91-74
16/03/14	A	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	90-80

Alaska Aceslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/14	H	Magnolia Hotshots	65-70
21/04/14	A	Magnolia Hotshots	86-77
20/04/14	H	Magnolia Hotshots	85-66
13/04/14	A	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	83-73
02/04/14	A	Barako Bull Energy	78-71
29/03/14	H	San Miguel Beermen	89-78
17/03/14	A	Air21 Express	88-78
15/03/14	A	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	78-92
12/03/14	H	Meralco Bolts	76-85
08/03/14	A	Global Port	93-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Magnolia Hotshots

Commissioners Cup 2014

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	45%
Home	LLLLL	17%
Away	WWWLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	45%	17%	80%
Points / game	83.0	83.2	82.8
Allowed / game	82.5	86.5	77.6
Point differential	+0.5	-3.3	+5.2
Avg total	165.5	169.7	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	17%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alaska Aces

Commissioners Cup 2014

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	64%
Home	LLWWL	40%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	40%	83%
Points / game	81.2	77.4	84.3
Allowed / game	77.5	76.8	78.0
Point differential	+3.7	+0.6	+6.3
Avg total	158.6	154.2	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	40%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	TNT Tropang Giga	10	10	0	100%	92.8	84.5	+8.3
2	Alaska Aces	11	7	4	64%	81.2	77.5	+3.7
3	San Miguel Beermen	11	7	4	64%	97.6	93.9	+3.7
4	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	12	7	5	58%	94.8	91.3	+3.5
5	Meralco Bolts	12	6	6	50%	89.6	92.3	-2.8
6	Magnolia Hotshots	11	5	6	45%	83.0	82.5	+0.5
7	Air21 Express	11	5	6	45%	90.4	91.0	-0.6
8	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	10	3	7	30%	92.5	96.7	-4.2
9	Barako Bull Energy	9	2	7	22%	94.7	99.4	-4.8
10	Global Port	9	1	8	11%	88.0	97.8	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Magnolia Hotshots	21	14	22	22	79
Alaska Aces	15	12	18	20	65

← all games of the day

Magnolia Hotshots vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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