Magnolia Hotshots vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 108-88

27-14 30-21 29-28 22-25

Position#3

Record1-0

FormLLWLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game70.0

Magnolia Hotshots 🏆

Alaska Aces

Position#8

Record-

FormWLLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Commissioners Cup

Other2015

Meetings · Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Magnolia Hotshots winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alaska Aces winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Magnolia Hotshots Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

66-89

-23

H09/11

Philippine Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

92-76

+16

A14/11

Philippine Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

90-82

A18/11

Philippine Cup

Meralco Bolts

77-74

A23/11

Philippine Cup

Columbian Dyip

#11

88-77

+11

H26/11

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

74-83

-9

H30/11

Philippine Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

96-100 OT

100

-4

A03/12

Philippine Cup

Barako Bull Energy

#10

99-83

+16

H09/12

Philippine Cup

Meralco Bolts

65-77

-12

A11/12

Philippine Cup

Global Port

83-70

+13

A30/01

Commissioners Cup

10-19

22-19

17-28

17-23

25-18

25-19

16-13

26-26

26-21

20-18

21-19

23-24

18-16

22-17

12-26

25-15

17-17

17-23

37-20

17-16

15-22

22-22

20-23

22-22

20-17

22-28

24-21

27-23

25-15

23-29

24-16

19-18

11-17

18-21

17-21

21-20

20-16

16-10

26-24

164.1Avg total

83.0Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	83.0	70.0	153.0	+13.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	83.0	70.0	153.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	81.1	164.1	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	82.6	166.0	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.8	90.4	168.2	-12.6	0%
vs Similar (20)	88.9	88.2	177.1	+0.8	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	90.4	78.8	169.2	+11.6	100%

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska Aces Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

91-98

-7

H25/12

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

93-88

A27/12

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

79-76

H04/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

88-82 OT

A07/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

86-100

100

-14

H09/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

78-70

A11/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

70-88

-18

H14/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

88-93

-5

A16/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

87-76

+11

H18/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

78-80

-2

A21/01

Philippine Cup

21-20

20-18

30-26

20-34

18-29

23-18

35-20

17-21

20-16

16-12

20-32

23-16

5-27

26-18

18-9

25-20

28-32

20-19

22-21

16-28

13-8

14-27

19-29

32-6

16-33

10-16

23-24

21-15

23-21

18-20

30-30

17-22

17-23

25-13

21-20

24-20

12-21

15-27

32-14

19-18

168.9Avg total

83.8Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.8	85.1	168.9	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	81.4	161.6	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	101.5	103.2	204.8	-1.8	25%
vs Similar (17)	86.3	86.5	172.8	-0.2	53%
vs Weaker (9)	86.2	74.2	160.4	+12.0	89%

This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Magnolia HotshotsAlaska Aces

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.9	40.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	23.0	40.3	-5.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	24.8	26.8	51.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.4	22.1	40.4	-3.7	35%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	22.2	38.4	-6.0	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	22.4	43.7	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	25.8	26.0	51.8	-0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	78%	-

Magnolia HotshotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

32-38

-6

H09/11

Philippine Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

50-37

+13

A14/11

Philippine Cup

Blackwater Elite

#12

46-39

A18/11

Philippine Cup

Meralco Bolts

40-33

A23/11

Philippine Cup

Columbian Dyip

#11

34-34

H26/11

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

32-38

-6

H30/11

Philippine Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

42-39

A03/12

Philippine Cup

Barako Bull Energy

#10

52-38

+14

H09/12

Philippine Cup

Meralco Bolts

30-35

-5

A11/12

Philippine Cup

Global Port

41-36

A30/01

Commissioners Cup

76.6Avg total

39.9Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	41.8	81.3	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	42.9	81.5	-4.4	7%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	40.8	81.1	-0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.7	76.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.2	76.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.6	41.0	74.6	-7.4	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.5	42.5	83.0	-2.0	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	41.4	39.6	81.0	+1.8	60%	-

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

41-38

H25/12

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

41-47

-6

A27/12

Philippine Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

36-28

H04/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

31-45

-14

A07/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

48-51

-3

H09/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

27-35

-8

A11/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

26-49

-23

H14/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

41-41

A16/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

42-36

H18/01

Philippine Cup

San Miguel Beermen

27-48

-21

A21/01

Philippine Cup

77.8Avg total

36.0Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	41.5	82.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.9	39.0	80.9	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.6	43.4	82.9	-3.8	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	41.8	77.8	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	41.8	74.4	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	50.5	52.8	103.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	38.1	42.2	80.4	-4.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.9	35.0	75.9	+5.9	67%	-

This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.3	44.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	24.0	45.9	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	20.9	43.2	+1.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	24.4	45.8	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.1	22.9	46.0	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.4	48.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	25.8	27.0	52.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	24.8	23.2	48.1	+1.6	59%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.3	45.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.3	45.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	24.1	21.4	45.6	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	27.0	19.6	46.6	+7.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.9	19.9	43.9	+4.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.2	38.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	23.8	21.5	45.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.2	20.4	44.7	+3.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	43.7	89.9	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	45.2	91.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.4	42.3	88.7	+4.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	43.2	85.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	43.0	85.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.6	47.0	89.6	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	46.5	44.0	90.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	49.0	39.2	88.2	+9.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	43.1	90.1	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.3	44.5	89.8	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	48.4	41.9	90.3	+6.4	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	42.5	88.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	39.6	87.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	49.5	48.5	98.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	47.4	43.8	91.2	+3.5	65%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.3	39.2	84.6	+6.1	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Magnolia Hotshots wins

Alaska Aces wins

Date	Game	Score
22/10/14	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	73-93
06/06/14	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	84-93
26/04/14	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	79-65
23/04/14	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	65-70
21/04/14	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	77-86
20/04/14	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	85-66
27/12/13	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	88-75
22/11/13	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	80-84
27/09/13	Magnolia Hotshots v Alaska Aces	83-73
25/09/13	Alaska Aces v Magnolia Hotshots	112-105

Magnolia Hotshotslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/15	A	Global Port	83-70
11/12/14	A	Meralco Bolts	65-77
09/12/14	H	Barako Bull Energy	99-83
03/12/14	A	TNT Tropang Giga	96-100 OT
30/11/14	H	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	74-83
26/11/14	H	Columbian Dyip	88-77
23/11/14	A	Meralco Bolts	77-74
18/11/14	A	Blackwater Elite	90-82
14/11/14	A	NLEX Road Warriors	92-76
09/11/14	H	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	66-89

Alaska Aceslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/15	A	San Miguel Beermen	78-80
18/01/15	H	San Miguel Beermen	87-76
16/01/15	A	San Miguel Beermen	88-93
14/01/15	H	San Miguel Beermen	70-88
11/01/15	A	San Miguel Beermen	78-70
09/01/15	H	San Miguel Beermen	86-100
07/01/15	A	San Miguel Beermen	88-82 OT
04/01/15	H	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	79-76
27/12/14	A	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	93-88
25/12/14	H	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	91-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Magnolia Hotshots

Commissioners Cup 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	83.0	-	83.0
Allowed / game	70.0	-	70.0
Point differential	+13.0	-	+13.0
Avg total	153.0	-	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Alaska Aces

Commissioners Cup 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Magnolia Hotshots	1	1	0	100%	83.0	70.0	+13.0
2	Barako Bull Energy	2	2	0	100%	80.5	69.0	+11.5
3	Meralco Bolts	2	2	0	100%	87.5	77.0	+10.5
4	TNT Tropang Giga	2	2	0	100%	88.5	82.0	+6.5
5	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	2	1	1	50%	91.0	90.0	+1.0
6	Global Port	2	1	1	50%	85.0	86.0	-1.0
7	NLEX Road Warriors	1	0	1	0%	91.0	96.0	-5.0
8	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	2	0	2	0%	71.0	77.0	-6.0
9	Columbian Dyip	2	0	2	0%	84.5	95.0	-10.5
10	Blackwater Elite	2	0	2	0%	74.0	90.0	-16.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Magnolia Hotshots	27	30	29	22	108
Alaska Aces	14	21	28	25	88

← all games of the day

Magnolia Hotshots vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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