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Magnolia Hotshots vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 82-91
25-20 16-18 21-28 20-25
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game96.9
vs
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game105.2
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Meetings · Magnolia Hotshots v Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
25 Apr 2026
MAGN82
RAIN91
18 May 2025
MAGN105
RAIN119
05 Oct 2024
MAGN103
RAIN113
29 Sep 2024
MAGN106
RAIN111
25 Sep 2024
MAGN105
RAIN109
20 Jul 2022
MAGN118
RAIN87
26 Sep 2021
MAGN81
RAIN70
10 Sep 2021
MAGN72
RAIN75
04 Oct 2019
MAGN69
RAIN68
28 Apr 2019
MAGN63
RAIN60
24 Apr 2019
MAGN82
RAIN74
16 Apr 2019
MAGN85
RAIN74
12 Apr 2019
MAGN77
RAIN84
13 Feb 2019
MAGN74
RAIN75
02 Jun 2018
MAGN96
RAIN99
05 Jun 2017
MAGN118
RAIN82
18 Dec 2016
MAGN99
RAIN91
14 Feb 2015
MAGN71
RAIN78
30 Nov 2014
MAGN74
RAIN83
07 Jul 2014
MAGN79
RAIN88
03 Jul 2014
MAGN87
RAIN89
23 Feb 2014
MAGN74
RAIN81
19 Feb 2014
MAGN77
RAIN76
16 Feb 2014
MAGN80
RAIN70
14 Feb 2014
MAGN80
RAIN83
29 Dec 2013
MAGN77
RAIN101
22 Feb 2013
MAGN65
RAIN93
29 Dec 2012
MAGN79
RAIN67
25 Dec 2012
MAGN72
RAIN98
19 Dec 2012
MAGN83
RAIN91
22 Jul 2011
MAGN99
RAIN98
11 Jun 2011
MAGN82
RAIN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Magnolia Hotshots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Magnolia HotshotsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H18/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A21/06
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
98-101
98
101
-3
H13/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
105-112
105
112
-7
A15/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A22/03
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
121-109
121
109
+12
H28/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A07/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
120-101
120
101
+19
A12/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H19/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
22-19
21-24
23-28
15-18
18-23
23-22
23-17
23-27
27-21
22-31
26-22
26-27
33-30
21-25
25-30
24-20
18-16
30-31
19-30
26-25
26-26
32-17
37-41
21-19
19-23
22-14
23-14
18-18
17-32
31-19
23-22
30-22
28-28
34-22
28-29
22-15
27-24
25-25
32-30
192.6Avg total
98.2Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)101.996.9198.8+5.050%
Season at home (4)103.598.8202.2+4.850%
Season away (4)100.295.0195.2+5.250%
Last 10 (10)98.294.4192.6+3.840%
Last 5 (5)104.293.0197.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)94.395.2189.5-0.833%
vs Weaker (24)102.992.8195.7+10.267%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
113-97
113
97
+16
A04/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
89-97
89
97
-8
H06/07
Philippine Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H14/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A20/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
151-95
151
95
+56
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
116-112
116
112
+4
A08/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
120-111
120
111
+9
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
124-117
124
117
+7
A15/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
28-28
37-12
20-33
27-28
23-19
20-22
19-28
24-28
28-30
31-20
33-31
25-34
29-24
26-22
32-29
29-23
22-21
27-32
31-26
42-15
33-29
29-23
47-28
26-27
36-25
33-21
21-39
31-29
30-25
34-21
25-36
26-27
41-18
29-28
28-44
18-16
26-13
20-32
19-26
216.9Avg total
113.3Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)116.4105.2221.6+11.188%
Season at home (4)117.5100.5218.0+17.075%
Season away (4)115.2110.0225.2+5.2100%
Last 10 (10)113.3103.6216.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)118.8104.4223.2+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.0112.5227.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)99.8101.1200.9-1.344%
vs Weaker (10)114.6101.7216.3+12.990%
This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
Magnolia HotshotsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Magnolia HotshotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H18/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/06
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H13/03
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A15/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/03
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H28/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A12/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/04
Commissioners Cup
91.3Avg total
46.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.444.793.1+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.945.090.9+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)50.644.495.0+6.169%-
Last 10 (10)46.245.191.3+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.493.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.545.089.5-0.567%-
vs Weaker (24)49.444.694.0+4.862%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A04/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H06/07
Philippine Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A20/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
75-44
75
44
+31
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A15/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
105.5Avg total
57.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.748.3101.0+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.649.9101.6+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)53.646.9100.6+6.781%-
Last 10 (10)57.248.3105.5+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)61.844.8106.6+17.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.556.0108.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)49.847.997.8+1.967%-
vs Weaker (10)57.947.5105.4+10.480%-
This opponent (Magnolia Hotshots) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Magnolia Hotshotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Magnolia Hotshots: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.224.2
45.5%
-48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.4
31.4%
-19.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
-14.7
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
-17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Magnolia Hotshots
WWLWWLLLLL
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
LWWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#3
-1.9
Net rating
-3.9
100.3
Offensive rating
108.0
102.3
Defensive rating
111.9
45.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
12.9%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.4%
3-point %
32.3%
60.8%
Assist %
60.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Magnolia Hotshots   ■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HConverge FiberXers106-94
12/04/26ASan Miguel Beermen120-101
10/04/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel89-91
07/04/26ATerrafirma Dyip85-70
28/03/26HMacau Black Bears121-109
22/03/26ABlackwater Bossing91-97
15/03/26ANLEX Road Warriors105-112
13/03/26HPhoenix Fuelmasters98-101
21/06/25ATNT Tropang Giga79-80
18/06/25HTNT Tropang Giga88-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/26HPhoenix Fuelmasters83-87
15/04/26ATerrafirma Dyip124-117
10/04/26HConverge FiberXers120-111
08/04/26ASan Miguel Beermen116-112
31/03/26HBlackwater Bossing151-95
27/03/26AMeralco Bolts109-102
20/03/26ATNT Tropang Giga112-109
14/03/26HMacau Black Bears116-109
06/07/25HTNT Tropang Giga89-97
04/07/25ATNT Tropang Giga113-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Magnolia Hotshots
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game101.9103.5100.2
Allowed / game96.998.895.0
Point differential+5.0+4.8+5.2
Avg total198.8202.2195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game116.4117.5115.2
Allowed / game105.2100.5110.0
Point differential+11.1+17.0+5.2
Avg total221.6218.0225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters87188%116.4105.2+11.1
2 NLEX Road Warriors97278%103.398.3+5.0
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel86275%103.898.1+5.6
4 Meralco Bolts75271%106.9101.1+5.7
5 TNT Tropang Giga96367%104.999.4+5.4
6 Phoenix Fuelmasters85362%104.999.0+5.9
7 Magnolia Hotshots84450%101.996.9+5.0
8 San Miguel Beermen94544%103.7107.6-3.9
9 Terrafirma Dyip93633%99.0102.1-3.1
10 Converge FiberXers93633%98.6101.8-3.2
11 Titan Ultra Giant Risers82625%95.6108.5-12.9
12 Blackwater Bossing92722%99.4109.6-10.1
13 Macau Black Bears91811%104.1111.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Magnolia Hotshots2516212082
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters2018282591
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