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Rain or Shine Elasto Painters vs Macau Black Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 116-109
24-28 28-30 31-20 33-31
Position#3
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 🏆
Philippines
vs
Macau Black Bears
Philippines
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game102.0
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Macau Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPainters
Date
Competition
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
111-120
111
120
-9
no box
H07/06
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
H15/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A18/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
103-92
103
92
+11
no box
H21/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A25/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
105-113 OT
105
113
-8
no box
H27/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
107-86
107
86
+21
no box
A29/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
92-108
92
108
-16
no box
H02/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
113-97
113
97
+16
no box
A04/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
89-97
89
97
-8
no box
H06/07
Philippine Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
18-30
35-33
33-27
21-32
22-13
24-29
13-24
28-15
19-22
22-36
23-16
21-27
31-28
26-22
25-15
23-23
18-18
17-22
33-35
25-21
27-29
18-28
29-21
33-15
18-22
33-20
23-29
28-22
19-19
22-39
23-28
28-24
28-28
37-12
20-33
27-28
23-19
20-22
19-28
198.1Avg total
98.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)98.399.8198.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)101.2100.2201.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.3115.0222.3-7.733%
vs Similar (23)100.4102.0202.4-1.539%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)109.096.5205.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Macau Black BearsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
KCC Egis
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
95-114
95
114
-19
no box
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
53avg 68
A15/11
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 68
H06/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
77avg 68
A14/12
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
65avg 68
A17/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
66avg 68
H04/01
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
79-102
79
102
-23
65avg 68
H21/01
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
H11/03
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
29-22
23-18
27-23
17-33
29-28
17-35
32-18
21-24
19-17
22-19
27-18
24-25
14-23
14-17
22-27
27-29
17-22
19-20
28-22
40-17
25-28
10-29
11-30
24-21
19-20
16-22
22-24
21-24
15-17
21-22
26-32
17-20
21-29
16-26
25-27
19-27
34-22
29-30
12-23
184.7Avg total
88.3Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.0102.0196.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)94.0102.0196.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.396.4184.7-8.120%
Last 5 (5)84.698.0182.6-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)89.398.2187.5-8.920%
vs Similar (11)89.993.3183.2-3.427%
vs Weaker (9)97.089.4186.4+7.667%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersMacau Black Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H07/06
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H15/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H21/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A25/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H27/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A29/06
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H02/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A04/07
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H06/07
Philippine Cup
94.7Avg total
48.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.650.3100.9+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.653.6103.2-4.038%-
Last 30 away (17)51.447.799.1+3.771%-
Last 10 (10)48.246.594.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.245.496.6+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.059.3109.3-9.333%-
vs Similar (23)50.049.499.5+0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)54.548.2102.8+6.275%-
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KCC Egis
#9
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/11
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H06/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A14/12
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H04/01
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H21/01
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H11/03
Commissioners Cup
94.6Avg total
46.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.947.092.9-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.847.493.2-1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)46.146.492.5-0.429%-
Last 10 (10)46.448.294.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.092.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)46.448.695.0-2.240%-
vs Similar (11)44.346.791.0-2.527%-
vs Weaker (9)47.345.492.8+1.944%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
-17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Macau Black Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Macau Black Bears: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.2
48.8%
-40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.8
33.3%
-29.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.8
74.0%
-11.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
LWLWLLWWLL
Macau Black Bears
LLLLLLLWLW
#3
League position
#11
-3.9
Net rating
-16.2
108.0
Offensive rating
100.6
111.9
Defensive rating
116.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.8%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.3%
3-point %
33.3%
60.5%
Assist %
45.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters   ■ Macau Black Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters wins
0
Macau Black Bears wins
No previous meetings.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/25HTNT Tropang Giga89-97
04/07/25ATNT Tropang Giga113-97
02/07/25HTNT Tropang Giga92-108
29/06/25ATNT Tropang Giga107-86
27/06/25HTNT Tropang Giga105-113 OT
25/06/25ATNT Tropang Giga91-98
21/06/25HNLEX Road Warriors103-92
18/06/25ANLEX Road Warriors92-89
15/06/25HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel80-98
07/06/25HSan Miguel Beermen111-120
Macau Black Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HConverge FiberXers94-102
21/01/26HRyukyu79-102
04/01/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots83-95
17/12/25ARyukyu81-87
14/12/25ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots86-104
06/12/25HMeralco Bolts91-93
15/11/25AMeralco Bolts74-92
15/01/25AKCC Egis89-78
11/12/24HNew Taipei Kings95-114
06/11/24HKCC Egis111-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Macau Black Bears
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game102.0102.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total196.0196.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Terrafirma Dyip220100%111.591.0+20.5
2 NLEX Road Warriors110100%84.081.0+3.0
3 Phoenix Fuelmasters110100%101.098.0+3.0
4 Converge FiberXers21150%101.0102.5-1.5
5 Blackwater Bossing1010%81.084.0-3.0
6 Magnolia Hotshots1010%98.0101.0-3.0
7 Macau Black Bears1010%94.0102.0-8.0
8 Titan Ultra Giant Risers1010%82.0112.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters24283133116
Macau Black Bears28302031109
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