Mahgol Alborz vs Tabiat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Oct 2024

Tip-off: 12:30

Final 80-88

21-27 17-15 21-25 21-21

Position#5

Record2-3

FormLWWLL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game71.8

Mahgol Alborz

Tabiat 🏆

Position#3

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game67.2

Super LeagueRound 6

Other2024-25

Meetings · Mahgol Alborz v Tabiat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mahgol Alborz winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tabiat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mahgol Alborz Iran

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlborz

Date

Competition

Golnoor Ishafan

68-73

-5

no box

A10/10

Super League

Petro Novin Mahshahr

#10

88-61

+27

90avg 74

H17/10

Super League

Ayandeh Sazan Tehran

#11

77-66

+11

71avg 74

A21/10

Super League

Kalleh

85-89

-4

72avg 74

H24/10

Super League

Aseman Velayat

#12

69-70

-1

64avg 74

A28/10

Super League

19-16

19-15

9-26

21-16

14-19

23-11

24-14

27-17

19-16

21-15

19-15

18-20

28-21

28-28

17-24

12-16

26-20

20-13

6-17

17-20

149.2Avg total

77.4Scored

71.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	77.4	71.8	149.2	+5.6	40%
Season at home (2)	86.5	75.0	161.5	+11.5	50%
Season away (3)	71.3	69.7	141.0	+1.7	33%
Last 10 (5)	77.4	71.8	149.2	+5.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	71.8	149.2	+5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	85.0	89.0	174.0	-4.0	0%
vs Similar (1)	68.0	73.0	141.0	-5.0	0%
vs Weaker (3)	78.0	65.7	143.7	+12.3	67%

This opponent (Tabiat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tabiat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTabiat

Date

Competition

Shahrdari Gorgan

86-79

no box

A17/05

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

82-105

105

-23

no box

A19/05

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

95-99

-4

no box

H05/06

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

86-82

no box

H07/06

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

99-94 OT

no box

A19/06

Super League

Sanaye Hormozgan

92-88

no box

H10/10

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

81-77

79avg 79

A17/10

Super League

Palayesh Naft Abadan

66-64

63avg 79

H21/10

Super League

Payesh Part Shahrod

84-51

+33

87avg 79

A24/10

Super League

Zob Ahan

84-56

+28

90avg 79

H28/10

Super League

28-15

15-30

19-14

24-20

25-17

19-25

22-27

16-36

25-25

22-23

27-21

21-30

30-24

19-27

20-20

17-11

27-22

24-20

17-24

12-14

24-30

22-22

21-17

25-19

27-32

16-15

20-8

18-22

10-17

19-15

13-17

24-15

17-20

24-10

25-9

18-12

22-11

11-13

25-15

26-17

165.0Avg total

85.5Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.4	67.2	148.6	+14.2	100%
Season at home (3)	80.7	69.3	150.0	+11.3	100%
Season away (2)	82.5	64.0	146.5	+18.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	79.5	165.0	+6.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	67.2	148.6	+14.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	83.7	89.2	172.8	-5.5	50%
vs Similar (9)	80.0	73.1	153.1	+6.9	89%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	85.4	74.9	160.3	+10.5	73%

This opponent (Mahgol Alborz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mahgol AlborzTabiat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	28.0	21.0	49.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.3	44.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	26.5	20.7	47.2	+5.8	83%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	25.5	19.5	45.0	+6.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	20.0	14.3	34.3	+5.7	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	28.0	28.0	56.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	13.0	34.3	+8.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	16.7	38.3	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.3	38.7	+0.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.0	33.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	24.2	41.5	-6.8	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	16.3	35.0	+2.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.9	16.5	39.4	+6.5	80%	-

Mahgol AlborzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Golnoor Ishafan

38-31

A10/10

Super League

Petro Novin Mahshahr

#10

37-30

H17/10

Super League

Ayandeh Sazan Tehran

#11

40-31

A21/10

Super League

Kalleh

56-49

H24/10

Super League

Aseman Velayat

#12

46-33

+13

A28/10

Super League

78.2Avg total

43.4Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	43.4	34.8	78.2	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	46.5	39.5	86.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (3)	41.3	31.7	73.0	+9.7	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	43.4	34.8	78.2	+8.6	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	34.8	78.2	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	56.0	49.0	105.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	38.0	31.0	69.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	31.3	72.3	+9.7	100%	-

This opponent (Tabiat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TabiatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shahrdari Gorgan

43-45

-2

A17/05

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

44-42

A19/05

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

47-48

-1

H05/06

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

49-51

-2

H07/06

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

51-42

A19/06

Super League

Sanaye Hormozgan

46-52

-6

H10/10

Super League

Shahrdari Gorgan

43-47

-4

A17/10

Super League

Palayesh Naft Abadan

29-32

-3

H21/10

Super League

Payesh Part Shahrod

41-30

+11

A24/10

Super League

Zob Ahan

33-24

H28/10

Super League

83.9Avg total

42.6Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	38.8	81.2	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	38.1	80.9	+4.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	39.6	81.5	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.3	83.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.0	75.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.8	44.8	88.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.8	38.0	76.8	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	43.9	36.9	80.9	+7.0	60%	-

This opponent (Mahgol Alborz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	11.3	19.3	30.7	-8.0	33%	-
Last 10 (5)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	9.0	26.0	35.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	15.3	31.7	+1.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.9	37.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	13.2	34.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	33%	-
Last 10 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	19.7	41.7	+2.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	34.0	37.0	71.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	40.0	35.5	75.5	+4.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	30.0	38.0	68.0	-8.0	33%	-
Last 10 (5)	34.0	37.0	71.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	37.0	71.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	29.0	40.0	69.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	30.0	42.0	72.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.0	34.3	71.3	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	37.9	78.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	38.6	80.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	37.2	76.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	36.8	77.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	30.2	73.2	+12.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.7	42.0	78.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.2	35.1	76.3	+6.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.5	37.9	79.4	+3.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mahgol Alborztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mahgol Alborz: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	19.5	55.7%	51.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.8	38.6%	33.0%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	17.8	11.0	62.0%	68.1%	11.0

They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tabiattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tabiat: 78.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	18.8	50.0%	51.0%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.2	7.5	41.1%	33.0%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	23.5	18.2	77.7%	68.1%	18.2

They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.5	51.4%	51.0%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	5.8	22.5%	33.0%	17.2
🏀 Free throws	25.8	16.2	63.1%	68.1%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.8	15.2	48.0%	51.0%	30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	6.5	25.0%	33.0%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	11.5	57.5%	68.1%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	18.5	51.4%	51.0%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	5.8	22.5%	33.0%	17.2
🏀 Free throws	25.8	16.2	63.1%	68.1%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.8	15.2	48.0%	51.0%	30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	6.5	25.0%	33.0%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	11.5	57.5%	68.1%	11.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Mahgol Alborz

LLWWL

Tabiat

WWWWWWWLLW

League position

+11.3

Net rating

+22.7

102.0

Offensive rating

106.2

90.7

Defensive rating

83.5

56.6%

Effective FG%

53.8%

44.1%

Opp. effective FG%

43.3%

25.8%

Turnover %

24.4%

27.4%

Off. rebound %

33.3%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.42

38.6%

3-point %

41.1%

59.0%

Assist %

72.4%

40%

Form (last 5/10)

80%

Profile

■ Mahgol Alborz ■ Tabiat

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mahgol Alborz wins

Tabiat wins

No previous meetings.

Mahgol Alborzlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/24	A	Aseman Velayat	69-70
24/10/24	H	Kalleh	85-89
21/10/24	A	Ayandeh Sazan Tehran	77-66
17/10/24	H	Petro Novin Mahshahr	88-61
10/10/24	A	Golnoor Ishafan	68-73

Tabiatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/24	H	Zob Ahan	84-56
24/10/24	A	Payesh Part Shahrod	84-51
21/10/24	H	Palayesh Naft Abadan	66-64
17/10/24	A	Shahrdari Gorgan	81-77
10/10/24	H	Sanaye Hormozgan	92-88
19/06/24	A	Shahrdari Gorgan	99-94 OT
07/06/24	H	Shahrdari Gorgan	86-82
05/06/24	H	Shahrdari Gorgan	95-99
19/05/24	A	Shahrdari Gorgan	82-105
17/05/24	A	Shahrdari Gorgan	86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mahgol Alborz

Super League 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	40%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	77.4	86.5	71.3
Allowed / game	71.8	75.0	69.7
Point differential	+5.6	+11.5	+1.7
Avg total	149.2	161.5	141.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tabiat

Super League 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	81.4	80.7	82.5
Allowed / game	67.2	69.3	64.0
Point differential	+14.2	+11.3	+18.5
Avg total	148.6	150.0	146.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tabiat	5	5	0	100%	81.4	67.2	+14.2
2	Kalleh	5	4	1	80%	79.4	69.6	+9.8
3	Shahrdari Gorgan	6	4	2	67%	84.8	76.8	+8.0
4	Golnoor Ishafan	5	3	2	60%	79.6	72.0	+7.6
5	Palayesh Naft Abadan	5	3	2	60%	75.8	72.6	+3.2
6	Payesh Part Shahrod	6	3	3	50%	70.3	78.5	-8.2
7	Mahgol Alborz	5	2	3	40%	77.4	71.8	+5.6
8	Sanaye Hormozgan	5	2	3	40%	87.2	87.2	+0.0
9	Zob Ahan	3	1	2	33%	64.7	72.3	-7.7
10	Petro Novin Mahshahr	4	1	3	25%	67.2	81.2	-14.0
11	Aseman Velayat	5	1	4	20%	71.8	83.8	-12.0
12	Ayandeh Sazan Tehran	4	0	4	0%	65.0	80.5	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mahgol Alborz	21	17	21	21	80
Tabiat	27	15	25	21	88

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Mahgol Alborz vs Tabiat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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