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Mahgol Alborz vs Tabiat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 69-74
Position#9
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.6
Mahgol Alborz
Iran
vs
Tabiat 🏆
Iran
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game74.2
IranSuper LeagueRound 20
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mahgol Alborz v Tabiat
29 Jan 2026
MAHG69
TABI74
31 Oct 2024
MAHG80
TABI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mahgol Alborz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tabiat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mahgol AlborzIranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlborz
Date
Competition
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
L
71-105
71
105
-34
54avg 66
A03/11
Super League
Tabiat
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 66
A06/11
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
L
93-99
93
99
-6
79avg 66
H04/12
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 66
A08/12
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
71avg 66
A15/12
Super League
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
L
72-88
72
88
-16
55avg 66
A29/12
Super League
Esteghlal BC
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
46avg 66
H05/01
Super League
Kalleh
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
no box
H18/01
Super League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
74-100
74
100
-26
no box
A22/01
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
H26/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
17-25
23-23
9-28
22-26
17-24
28-13
8-23
27-19
15-27
28-20
23-33
19-20
16-20
25-16
23-20
26-25
19-24
19-19
22-22
18-27
25-25
12-19
17-17
13-19
20-20
19-22
12-25
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
167.5Avg total
76.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.587.6165.1-10.118%
Season at home (8)77.686.8164.4-9.112%
Season away (9)77.488.3165.8-10.922%
Last 10 (10)76.990.6167.5-13.710%
Last 5 (5)72.290.0162.2-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)80.089.2169.3-9.220%
vs Similar (1)93.099.0192.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (9)87.182.2169.3+4.967%
This opponent (Tabiat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TabiatIranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTabiat
Date
Competition
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
78avg 76
A03/11
Super League
Mahgol Alborz
#9
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 76
H06/11
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
W
96-56
96
56
+40
no box
A07/12
Super League
Esteghlal BC
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
60avg 76
H11/12
Super League
Golnoor Isfahan
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
55avg 76
A15/12
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 76
H22/12
Super League
Kalleh
#3
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 76
A29/12
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
W
83-61
83
61
+22
82avg 76
H05/01
Super League
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A22/01
Super League
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
W
91-83
91
83
+8
no box
H26/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
11-33
21-15
29-32
26-22
24-17
13-28
23-8
28-14
26-9
17-20
25-13
21-26
18-8
12-22
19-24
14-13
19-25
14-16
21-18
28-21
19-18
18-12
32-28
14-18
16-19
23-14
20-19
20-21
21-14
28-13
14-13
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
158.5Avg total
83.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.674.2156.8+8.471%
Season at home (9)81.677.8159.3+3.867%
Season away (8)83.870.1153.9+13.675%
Last 10 (10)83.874.7158.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.688.3164.9-11.714%
vs Similar (12)83.381.5164.8+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.670.6156.3+15.082%
This opponent (Mahgol Alborz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
Mahgol AlborzTabiat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mahgol AlborzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palayesh Naft Abadan
#5
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A03/11
Super League
Tabiat
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A06/11
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/12
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/12
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A15/12
Super League
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A29/12
Super League
Esteghlal BC
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/01
Super League
86.6Avg total
39.4Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.445.086.3-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.542.083.5-0.542%-
Last 30 away (15)41.347.388.6-6.120%-
Last 10 (7)39.447.186.6-7.70%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.284.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.246.685.9-7.418%-
vs Similar (1)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (9)45.341.787.0+3.756%-
This opponent (Tabiat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TabiatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Naft Zagros Jonoubi
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A03/11
Super League
Mahgol Alborz
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H06/11
Super League
Raad Padafan Isfahan
#10
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A07/12
Super League
Esteghlal BC
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/12
Super League
Golnoor Isfahan
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/12
Super League
Petro Novin Mahshahr
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H22/12
Super League
Kalleh
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/12
Super League
Pas Kordestan
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H05/01
Super League
78.0Avg total
41.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.839.482.2+3.464%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.082.7+4.780%-
Last 30 away (13)41.739.881.5+1.846%-
Last 10 (8)41.636.478.0+5.262%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.674.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.443.482.9-4.029%-
vs Similar (11)43.340.083.3+3.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.635.980.5+8.780%-
This opponent (Mahgol Alborz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mahgol Alborztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mahgol Alborz: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.8
32.2%
31.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws27.620.3
73.6%
67.7%20.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tabiattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tabiat: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.2
33.3%
31.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.413.7
67.2%
67.7%13.7
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mahgol Alborz
LLLLLLWLLL
Tabiat
WWWWWLLWWL
#9
League position
#4
-12.1
Net rating
+8.2
100.4
Offensive rating
110.1
112.5
Defensive rating
101.9
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
33.3%
52.9%
Assist %
58.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 110.1Defence112.5 · 101.9Shooting46.7% · 53.8%3-point %32.2% · 33.3%Ball care16.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds22.7% · 30.3%Free throws0.45 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Mahgol Alborz   ■ Tabiat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mahgol Alborz wins
2
Tabiat wins
DateGameScore
06/11/25Tabiat v Mahgol Alborz86-75
13/01/25Tabiat v Mahgol Alborz104-112 OT
31/10/24Mahgol Alborz v Tabiat80-88
Mahgol Alborzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26HPalayesh Naft Abadan71-86
22/01/26AShahrdari Gorgan74-100
18/01/26HKalleh80-90
05/01/26HEsteghlal BC64-86
29/12/25ANaft Zagros Jonoubi72-88
15/12/25APas Kordestan86-90
08/12/25APetro Novin Mahshahr83-76
04/12/25HRaad Padafan Isfahan93-99
06/11/25ATabiat75-86
03/11/25APalayesh Naft Abadan71-105
Tabiatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26HNaft Zagros Jonoubi91-83
22/01/26APalayesh Naft Abadan85-78
05/01/26HPas Kordestan83-61
29/12/25AKalleh73-70
22/12/25HPetro Novin Mahshahr97-79
15/12/25AGolnoor Isfahan68-72
11/12/25HEsteghlal BC70-80
07/12/25ARaad Padafan Isfahan96-56
06/11/25HMahgol Alborz86-75
03/11/25ANaft Zagros Jonoubi89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mahgol Alborz
Super League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%12%22%
Points / game77.577.677.4
Allowed / game87.686.888.3
Point differential-10.1-9.1-10.9
Avg total165.1164.4165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tabiat
Super League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game82.681.683.8
Allowed / game74.277.870.1
Point differential+8.4+3.8+13.6
Avg total156.8159.3153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esteghlal BC1714382%82.670.0+12.6
2 Shahrdari Gorgan1714382%84.172.3+11.8
3 Kalleh1714382%83.273.6+9.6
4 Tabiat1712571%82.674.2+8.4
5 Palayesh Naft Abadan1710759%87.776.7+11.0
6 Naft Zagros Jonoubi179853%85.282.4+2.8
7 Golnoor Isfahan189950%72.473.2-0.8
8 Pas Kordestan1861233%68.380.5-12.2
9 Raad Padafan Isfahan1751229%71.680.4-8.8
10 Mahgol Alborz1731418%77.587.6-10.1
11 Petro Novin Mahshahr1731418%64.279.6-15.4
12 Payesh Part Shahrod9090%69.685.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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