PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Maia vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-82 (OT)
24-33 25-11 12-21 16-12 9-5
Position#13
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 1
Other2020-21
Meetings · Maia v Esgueira
16 Oct 2021
MAIA59
ESGU69
11 Oct 2020
MAIA86
ESGU82
14 Dec 2019
MAIA87
ESGU84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
114-68
114
68
+46
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-29
13-25
17-28
21-23
22-16
16-32
14-24
13-19
21-25
25-31
21-27
14-30
25-27
17-20
29-20
10-16
18-19
8-25
24-33
28-16
25-8
33-24
28-20
22-16
15-31
11-21
21-32
17-25
27-19
13-16
30-32
18-22
17-24
18-13
16-31
13-18
21-16
21-18
20-27
171.4Avg total
79.1Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.192.3171.4-13.210%
Last 5 (5)82.885.8168.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.489.4163.8-15.014%
vs Similar (6)82.585.7168.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.0183.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#7
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A11/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H25/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A01/02
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H08/02
LPB
Terceira
#16
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A16/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H29/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A04/03
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
112-80
112
80
+32
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
28-17
22-23
27-28
18-21
25-30
16-15
13-19
23-30
18-16
23-13
15-23
22-17
17-18
24-23
19-30
20-25
14-19
19-13
20-19
29-22
24-13
20-12
28-8
21-24
21-26
14-17
12-19
33-7
16-12
15-16
17-27
23-15
18-20
24-26
16-28
29-20
23-13
27-24
33-23
163.1Avg total
84.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.079.1163.1+4.940%
Last 5 (5)88.674.4163.0+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.782.6156.3-8.90%
vs Similar (9)75.077.9152.9-2.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.674.7159.3+9.962%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
MaiaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/03
LPB
82.0Avg total
39.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.280.6-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.442.880.2-5.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.543.681.1-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.482.0-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.243.677.9-9.414%-
vs Similar (6)46.744.591.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.032.576.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A11/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H25/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/02
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/02
LPB
Terceira
#16
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A16/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H29/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/03
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A07/03
LPB
82.1Avg total
43.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.277.3+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.380.3+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.582.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.434.481.8+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.942.379.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (9)39.841.080.8-1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.134.476.5+7.769%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maia wins
0
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
14/12/19Maia v Esgueira87-84
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HCAB Madeira75-79
29/02/20HOvarense69-90
15/02/20AGalitos87-92
09/02/20HVitoria69-100
08/02/20HTerceira114-68
01/02/20AIlliabum60-93
25/01/20HSporting CP85-97
11/01/20AFC Porto80-102
04/01/20HOliveirense73-95
29/12/19ABarreirense79-107
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ATerceira112-80
04/03/20AVitoria81-89
29/02/20HIlliabum81-62
16/02/20ASporting CP68-86
09/02/20HTerceira101-55
08/02/20HFC Porto73-76
01/02/20AOliveirense82-88
25/01/20HBarreirense79-82
11/01/20AVitoria72-85
04/01/20ACAB Madeira91-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
LPB 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Esgueira
LPB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%92.066.0+26.0
2 Sporting CP110100%73.053.0+20.0
3 Oliveirense110100%73.056.0+17.0
4 Imortal110100%81.072.0+9.0
5 FC Porto110100%62.055.0+7.0
6 Academica1010%55.062.0-7.0
7 Lusitania1010%72.081.0-9.0
8 Ovarense1010%56.073.0-17.0
9 Galitos1010%53.073.0-20.0
10 CAB Madeira1010%66.092.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Maia24251216986
Esgueira33112112582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.