PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
The Maine Black Bears host Drexel on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Maine as the favourite and projecting a 66% chance of a home win and a 34% chance for Drexel, a 71-66 scoreline and 137.6 total points, while a 5% overtime probability lingers. Maine's season record is 1-3, scoring 64.2 points per game and conceding 73.5, with a 0-1 home record and a 62.0 points per game average at home; the last five games yielded one win and four losses, including a 65-71 loss to Rhode Island away, a 62-68 loss to Manhattan at home, and a 74-72 away win over Sacred Heart. Drexel is 1-2 overall, averaging 67.0 points and allowing 76.3, with a 0-1 road record and 60.0 points per game on the road; their last five games contain two wins and three losses, notably a 64-66 loss to American University at home, a 77-74 home win over Colgate, and a 60-89 away defeat by Virginia. In the single prior meeting, Drexel defeated Maine 74-56 on 21 December 2025, a result that echoes the current projected edge for the Black Bears.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 64.2 | 73.5 | 137.8 | -9.2 | 25% |
| Season at home (1) | 62.0 | 68.0 | 130.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 65.0 | 75.3 | 140.3 | -10.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 62.7 | 67.9 | 130.6 | -5.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 63.0 | 70.8 | 133.8 | -7.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 63.2 | 71.3 | 134.5 | -8.2 | 28% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 60.7 | 65.8 | 126.5 | -5.1 | 27% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 67.0 | 76.3 | 143.3 | -9.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 70.5 | 70.0 | 140.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 60.0 | 89.0 | 149.0 | -29.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 66.5 | 68.8 | 135.3 | -2.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.4 | 74.2 | 142.6 | -5.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 60.2 | 69.7 | 129.8 | -9.5 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (17) | 66.9 | 65.8 | 132.7 | +1.1 | 59% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 73.7 | 68.7 | 142.4 | +5.0 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 28.6 | 32.6 | 61.2 | -4.0 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 28.9 | 32.5 | 61.4 | -3.6 | 42% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 28.4 | 32.7 | 61.1 | -4.3 | 28% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.2 | 29.9 | 59.1 | -0.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 27.4 | 28.6 | 56.0 | -1.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 27.7 | 33.4 | 61.1 | -5.8 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 27.8 | 31.4 | 59.2 | -3.5 | 45% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.8 | 30.3 | 62.0 | +1.5 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 30.8 | 29.5 | 60.3 | +1.3 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 32.9 | 31.1 | 64.0 | +1.7 | 64% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.4 | 30.1 | 61.5 | +1.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.6 | 32.2 | 63.8 | -0.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 28.0 | 34.7 | 62.7 | -6.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (17) | 33.3 | 29.5 | 62.8 | +3.8 | 71% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 31.3 | 28.4 | 59.7 | +2.9 | 71% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 | Drexel v Maine Black Bears | 74-56 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Rhode Island | 65-71 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Manhattan | 62-68 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Sacred Heart | 74-72 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Providence | 56-83 |
| 07/03/26 | A | NJIT | 58-60 |
| 03/03/26 | H | UMass Lowell | 56-67 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Binghamton | 67-74 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Albany Great Danes | 70-59 |
| 21/02/26 | A | New Hampshire Wildcats | 61-58 |
| 14/02/26 | H | NJIT | 58-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | American University | 64-66 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Colgate | 77-74 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Virginia | 60-89 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Monmouth | 57-65 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Northeastern | 84-77 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Hofstra | 51-62 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Campbell | 65-60 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Towson | 68-62 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Northeastern | 70-61 |
| 17/02/26 | A | Stony Brook | 69-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLL | 25% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 64.2 | 62.0 | 65.0 |
| Allowed / game | 73.5 | 68.0 | 75.3 |
| Point differential | -9.2 | -6.0 | -10.3 |
| Avg total | 137.8 | 130.0 | 140.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 67.0 | 70.5 | 60.0 |
| Allowed / game | 76.3 | 70.0 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | -9.3 | +0.5 | -29.0 |
| Avg total | 143.3 | 140.5 | 149.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UMass Lowell | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.2 | 62.8 | +16.5 |
| 2 |  Binghamton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 70.0 | 66.5 | +3.5 |
| 3 |  UMBC Retrievers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.5 | 75.2 | +2.2 |
| 4 |  Vermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 67.3 | +2.7 |
| 5 | Maine Black Bears | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 73.5 | -9.2 |
| 6 |  Bryant University | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 60.2 | 71.8 | -11.6 |
| 7 |  NJIT | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 54.8 | 80.2 | -25.4 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 104.7 | 67.3 | +37.3 |
| 2 |  NC Wilmington | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 71.0 | +19.0 |
| 3 |  William & Mary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 91.3 | 78.0 | +13.3 |
| 4 |  Hofstra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.0 | 63.8 | +6.2 |
| 5 |  Towson | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.8 | 65.5 | +5.2 |
| 6 |  Elon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.5 | 70.5 | -1.0 |
| 7 |  Northeastern | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 78.8 | 83.2 | -4.5 |
| 8 |  Stony Brook | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 64.7 | +9.0 |
| 9 |  N. Carolina A&T | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.3 | 68.3 | +8.0 |
| 10 |  Hampton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.0 | 68.7 | -7.7 |
| 11 | Drexel | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.0 | 76.3 | -9.3 |
| 12 |  Monmouth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.0 | 79.2 | -18.2 |
| 13 |  Campbell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.3 | -16.7 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Black Bears | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| Drexel | 33 | 33 | 66 |
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