PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Maine Black Bears vs Stony Brook Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#338
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#277
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maine Black Bears v Stony Brook
05 Dec 2026
MAIN v STON
upcoming
13 Feb 2022
MAIN74
STON85
28 Feb 2021
MAIN v STON
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
MAIN52
STON73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maine Black Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stony Brook win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A28/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H03/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#112
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A03/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#188
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A06/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#320
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H08/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#40
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Drexel
#242
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
31-33
37-31
33-28
27-34
40-40
26-35
30-32
29-32
29-28
26-34
30-49
25-27
49-45
29-27
33-41
28-23
37-48
30-33
34-33
131.1Avg total
63.3Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.272.0136.2-7.820%
Season at home (2)63.067.0130.0-4.00%
Season away (3)65.075.3140.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)63.367.8131.1-4.530%
Last 5 (5)64.272.0136.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)63.371.2134.5-7.929%
vs Similar (12)61.065.8126.8-4.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Old Westbury
#506
W
97-47
97
47
+50
H02/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-39
34-30
36-35
36-34
33-29
46-43
35-49
34-33
32-32
26-35
36-27
21-42
40-48
49-48
42-18
55-29
30-44
35-34
21-39
38-30
142.0Avg total
70.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.764.7138.3+9.033%
Season at home (1)97.047.0144.0+50.0100%
Season away (2)62.073.5135.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)70.271.8142.0-1.630%
Last 5 (5)73.471.8145.2+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.072.0137.0-7.033%
vs Similar (20)69.274.2143.4-5.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.859.2144.0+25.5100%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
Maine Black BearsStony Brook
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#112
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#188
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#320
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#40
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Drexel
#242
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H14/11
NCAA
58.8Avg total
28.7Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.732.461.1-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.032.561.5-3.538%-
Last 30 away (17)28.432.460.8-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)28.730.158.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)27.628.856.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)27.633.160.8-5.524%-
vs Similar (12)28.031.559.5-3.542%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Old Westbury
#506
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H02/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A12/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
32.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.567.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.130.267.3+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)30.936.467.3-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.068.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.269.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.827.359.2+4.550%-
vs Similar (20)33.037.170.2-4.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.524.865.2+15.8100%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maine Black Bears wins
6
Stony Brook wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDrexel64-66
11/11/26ARhode Island65-71
08/11/26HManhattan62-68
06/11/26ASacred Heart74-72
03/11/26AProvidence56-83
07/03/26ANJIT58-60
03/03/26HUMass Lowell56-67
28/02/26ABinghamton67-74
26/02/26AAlbany Great Danes70-59
21/02/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats61-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26APrinceton59-69
07/11/26ANorthwestern65-78
02/11/26HOld Westbury97-47
07/03/26HCampbell89-96
03/03/26HTowson57-69
01/03/26AHofstra58-67
27/02/26AMonmouth69-82
21/02/26HHampton79-72
17/02/26HDrexel72-69
13/02/26ATowson57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game64.263.065.0
Allowed / game72.067.075.3
Point differential-7.8-4.0-10.3
Avg total136.2130.0140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stony Brook
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.797.062.0
Allowed / game64.747.073.5
Point differential+9.0+50.0-11.5
Avg total138.3144.0135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%79.262.8+16.5
2 Binghamton53260%67.667.4+0.2
3 Vermont42250%78.565.2+13.2
4 UMBC Retrievers52340%70.473.8-3.4
5 Maine Black Bears51420%64.272.0-7.8
6 Bryant University51420%60.271.8-11.6
7 NJIT61517%55.777.3-21.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston440100%101.067.0+34.0
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
4 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
5 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
6 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
7 William & Mary42250%88.289.2-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.