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Maitland Mustangs W vs Canberra W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 75-68
16-22 24-24 15-12 20-10
Position#7
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Maitland Mustangs W v Canberra W
10 May 2025
MAIT75
CANB68
13 Apr 2024
MAIT71
CANB68
30 Apr 2022
MAIT70
CANB69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland Mustangs W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears W
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
A29/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H07/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
52-94
52
94
-42
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-23
7-20
25-25
15-14
24-20
13-24
9-24
19-19
24-21
10-24
13-16
13-14
13-30
17-20
14-25
8-19
18-11
17-14
25-21
20-10
23-32
15-15
30-19
14-27
17-18
25-15
16-13
12-12
28-20
21-16
22-21
20-14
29-15
20-16
19-22
7-18
17-20
15-21
20-21
24-25
148.0Avg total
70.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.072.7151.7+6.367%
Season at home (3)81.074.0155.0+7.067%
Season away (3)77.071.3148.3+5.767%
Last 10 (10)70.677.4148.0-6.840%
Last 5 (5)78.876.0154.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.380.1147.4-12.824%
vs Similar (5)70.671.0141.6-0.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)71.061.6132.6+9.475%
This opponent (Canberra W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H29/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A14/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
62-101
62
101
-39
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
23-20
12-25
20-21
24-31
22-15
15-21
22-16
23-22
32-20
18-18
19-18
13-26
11-18
22-23
14-16
17-23
21-20
22-29
27-23
27-13
31-20
17-24
22-11
22-28
11-31
26-17
3-25
19-19
17-12
8-27
24-25
18-10
17-15
14-16
17-17
25-27
20-18
21-18
22-24
163.5Avg total
80.0Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.082.0160.0-4.050%
Season at home (4)79.874.0153.8+5.875%
Season away (2)74.598.0172.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)80.083.5163.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)76.279.4155.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.995.6164.5-26.80%
vs Similar (10)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Weaker (12)84.366.5150.8+17.875%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
Maitland Mustangs WCanberra W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears W
#2
L
15-43
15
43
-28
A29/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H07/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
75.6Avg total
36.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.537.170.6-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.137.871.8-3.731%-
Last 30 away (17)33.036.669.6-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.575.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.739.571.2-7.818%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.072.8-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.431.567.9+4.962%-
This opponent (Canberra W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H29/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A14/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
82.3Avg total
41.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.278.4-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.239.979.1-0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)37.140.677.6-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.682.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.680.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.649.683.2-16.012%-
vs Similar (10)38.339.377.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker (12)41.234.775.8+6.575%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maitland Mustangs W wins
3
Canberra W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ANewcastle Falcons W76-87
27/04/25ASydney Comets W75-71
25/04/25HHornsby S. W91-71
12/04/25HHills Hornets W70-58
05/04/25HAlbury W82-93
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks W80-56
13/07/24ANewcastle Falcons W52-94
07/07/24HIllawarra Hawks W60-75
06/07/24HSutherland Sharks W65-87
29/06/24ANorths Bears W55-82
Canberra Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HHornsby S. W88-87
27/04/25HPenrith P. W66-58
25/04/25HBA CoE W68-83
12/04/25ANorths Bears W62-101
05/04/25HInner West Bulls W97-68
29/03/25AAlbury W87-95
20/07/24ASutherland Sharks W60-83
14/07/24AHornsby S. W92-78
06/07/24HSydney Comets W101-98 OT
29/06/24HSutherland Sharks W79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.081.077.0
Allowed / game72.774.071.3
Point differential+6.3+7.0+5.7
Avg total151.7155.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game78.079.874.5
Allowed / game82.074.098.0
Point differential-4.0+5.8-23.5
Avg total160.0153.8172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norths Bears W770100%91.964.9+27.0
2 Newcastle Falcons W660100%84.760.2+24.5
3 BA CoE W76186%83.367.7+15.6
4 Manly W. W64267%83.267.8+15.3
5 Maitland Mustangs W64267%79.072.7+6.3
6 Albury W64267%85.282.8+2.3
7 Inner West Bulls W53260%80.086.4-6.4
8 Hornsby S. W63350%80.882.7-1.8
9 Canberra W63350%78.082.0-4.0
10 Sydney Comets W73443%70.472.0-1.6
11 Penrith P. W72529%63.169.4-6.3
12 Sutherland Sharks W61517%74.286.2-12.0
13 Hills Hornets W61517%67.382.8-15.5
14 Central Coast W61517%61.076.7-15.7
15 Illawarra Hawks W61517%64.080.2-16.2
16 Bankstown Bruins W71614%63.479.3-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland Mustangs W1624152075
Canberra W2224121068
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