PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Malbas Malmo W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-77
24-23 18-12 20-19 23-23
Position#8
Record6-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game81.0
Malbas Malmo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Lund W
Sweden
Position#9
Record3-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Heleneholms Sporthall
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas Malmo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
73-70
73
70
+3
56avg 70
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 70
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
56avg 70
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 70
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
68avg 70
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
71-65
71
65
+6
62avg 70
A08/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 70
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
87avg 70
A30/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
65-56
65
56
+9
62avg 70
H07/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
70-105
70
105
-35
55avg 70
A13/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
21-16
15-23
12-15
19-22
24-20
28-19
17-12
22-17
13-28
21-22
7-21
26-22
15-23
27-21
17-18
20-20
26-23
12-19
17-17
21-17
17-13
17-16
16-19
30-18
23-12
19-24
15-19
25-21
16-17
22-26
26-25
12-16
21-19
16-8
16-13
21-25
15-26
20-29
14-25
157.3Avg total
77.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.281.0157.2-4.850%
Season at home (6)75.775.0150.7+0.767%
Season away (6)76.787.0163.7-10.333%
Last 10 (10)77.779.6157.3-1.960%
Last 5 (5)78.680.4159.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.984.9160.8-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (3)68.067.0135.0+1.033%
vs Weaker (18)84.751.4136.2+33.3100%
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 64
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
71-65
71
65
+6
47avg 64
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
51avg 64
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 64
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 64
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 64
A01/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 64
A22/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 64
A30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
103-94 OT
103
94
+9
88avg 64
H06/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
77avg 64
H13/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
17-30
22-14
21-23
23-24
18-16
14-13
16-12
23-19
12-12
15-16
11-22
23-17
23-24
18-28
17-21
8-12
22-23
11-24
25-20
17-22
19-12
11-17
16-16
26-19
10-18
23-18
10-18
23-23
17-25
17-26
26-21
16-18
20-21
29-19
20-27
18-16
14-17
16-18
19-16
155.7Avg total
75.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.880.5156.4-4.727%
Season at home (5)82.883.0165.8-0.260%
Season away (6)70.078.5148.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)75.979.8155.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)80.481.4161.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)72.086.6158.6-14.510%
vs Similar ◀ (1)103.094.0197.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (8)77.873.4151.1+4.450%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
Malbas Malmo WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A13/12
Basketligan W
80.3Avg total
41.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.731.072.7+10.880%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.830.171.9+11.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.731.873.5+9.980%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.180.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.877.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.743.482.1-4.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.726.062.7+10.767%-
vs Weaker (18)44.125.669.7+18.6100%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H13/12
Basketligan W
75.6Avg total
36.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.540.776.1-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.538.875.3-2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)34.642.376.9-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.975.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.243.278.5-8.024%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)36.039.075.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (8)36.034.170.1+1.962%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.621.0
45.1%
46.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.7
27.7%
31.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws24.217.8
73.6%
72.5%17.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.321.4
41.7%
46.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.3
26.0%
31.2%15.9
🏀 Free throws22.416.4
73.2%
72.5%16.4
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas Malmo W
LWLWWLWLWW
Lund W
WWLLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#9
-2.8
Net rating
-5.1
98.0
Offensive rating
87.6
100.8
Defensive rating
92.7
44.0%
Effective FG%
40.9%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.7%
3-point %
26.0%
57.3%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 87.6Defence100.8 · 92.7Shooting44.0% · 40.9%3-point %27.7% · 26.0%Ball care20.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds36.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Malbas Malmo W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas Malmo W wins
0
Lund W wins
No previous meetings.
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AHogsbo W70-105
07/12/25HSodertalje W65-56
30/11/25ANorrkoping W100-103 OT
22/11/25HAlvik W87-73
08/11/25AVisby W71-65
02/11/25AUppsala W75-79
01/11/25AOstersund W85-84
24/10/25HLulea W63-88
18/10/25HAIK Basket W88-73
11/10/25HBrahe W73-70
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HBrahe W84-78 OT
06/12/25HAlvik W103-94 OT
30/11/25AHogsbo W83-95
22/11/25AAIK Basket W69-73
01/11/25ABrahe W63-67
26/10/25AUppsala W66-79
22/10/25HLulea W81-90
19/10/25ASodertalje W61-69
11/10/25HSodertalje W71-65
04/10/25ANorrkoping W78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.275.776.7
Allowed / game81.075.087.0
Point differential-4.8+0.7-10.3
Avg total157.2150.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW27%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game75.882.870.0
Allowed / game80.583.078.5
Point differential-4.7-0.2-8.5
Avg total156.4165.8148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %18%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W1312192%83.570.7+12.8
2 Lulea W1211192%90.263.4+26.8
3 AIK Basket W118373%81.073.5+7.5
4 Hogsbo W128467%86.771.8+14.9
5 Norrkoping W127558%81.875.2+6.5
6 Ostersund W116555%81.275.5+5.6
7 Malbas Malmo W126650%76.281.0-4.8
8 Sodertalje W115645%75.867.6+8.2
9 Alvik W104640%72.773.6-0.9
10 Brahe W124833%70.272.4-2.2
11 Lund W113827%75.880.5-4.7
12 Visby W121118%58.485.6-27.2
13 RIG Lulea W131128%48.587.6-39.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas Malmo W2418202385
Lund W2312192377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.