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AIK Basket W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-69
19-26 18-10 18-23 18-10
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game73.9
AIK Basket W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Lund W
Sweden
Position#9
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game78.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Vasalundshallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Lund W
19 Oct 2026
AIK 71
LUND63
22 Nov 2025
AIK 73
LUND69
02 Nov 2024
AIK 104
LUND97
03 Feb 2024
AIK 78
LUND80
17 Mar 2018
AIK 67
LUND83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
L
59-70
59
70
-11
52avg 66
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-83
58
83
-25
46avg 66
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
53avg 66
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
94-52
94
52
+42
87avg 66
A28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
97-75
97
75
+22
94avg 66
A04/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 66
H11/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
50avg 66
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 66
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
91-63
91
63
+28
79avg 66
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 66
H01/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
22-9
17-29
9-13
18-25
13-14
13-25
14-19
19-26
12-21
20-20
15-13
20-11
20-14
32-17
22-10
19-9
28-28
22-23
28-15
20-19
18-23
21-21
14-23
22-19
20-24
19-28
12-17
21-20
26-17
18-23
19-20
23-18
27-16
23-10
18-19
18-18
26-20
14-16
19-19
152.2Avg total
77.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.173.9158.0+10.371%
Season at home (2)75.079.5154.5-4.550%
Season away (5)87.871.6159.4+16.280%
Last 10 (10)77.275.0152.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)79.678.0157.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.384.9156.2-13.623%
vs Similar (6)77.878.7156.5-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.074.2157.2+8.873%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
55avg 61
A16/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
62-88
62
88
-26
35avg 61
A19/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 61
A22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
65avg 61
H27/09
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 61
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
71-65
71
65
+6
47avg 61
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
51avg 61
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 61
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 61
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 61
A01/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-33
24-13
15-17
11-19
18-23
9-26
18-16
17-23
17-25
23-20
15-17
25-20
20-20
11-19
17-23
27-26
18-21
17-30
22-14
21-23
23-24
18-16
14-13
16-12
23-19
12-12
15-16
11-22
23-17
23-24
18-28
17-21
8-12
22-23
11-24
25-20
17-22
19-12
11-17
16-16
150.0Avg total
70.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.778.0148.7-7.314%
Season at home (3)75.781.0156.7-5.333%
Season away (4)67.075.8142.8-8.80%
Last 10 (10)70.279.8150.0-9.610%
Last 5 (5)68.474.0142.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.786.8157.5-16.19%
vs Similar (1)64.086.0150.0-22.00%
vs Weaker (7)76.972.7149.6+4.143%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
AIK Basket WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H11/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Basketligan W
77.3Avg total
40.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.777.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.077.6-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.238.577.8+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.077.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.883.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.443.280.6-5.823%-
vs Similar (6)40.337.277.5+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.034.374.3+5.764%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A19/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H27/09
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/11
Basketligan W
77.1Avg total
36.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.840.975.7-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.439.676.1-3.250%-
Last 30 away (16)33.441.975.4-8.519%-
Last 10 (10)36.041.177.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.273.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.543.177.6-8.623%-
vs Similar (1)30.038.068.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (7)36.634.370.9+2.371%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.819.1
41.7%
46.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
31.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.317.2
80.8%
72.5%17.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.319.9
41.2%
46.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.1
25.0%
31.2%15.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
72.5%13.9
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
WWWLLWWLLL
Lund W
LLLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#9
+2.5
Net rating
-13.3
99.3
Offensive rating
85.6
96.9
Defensive rating
98.9
43.9%
Effective FG%
40.1%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
21.7%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.3%
3-point %
25.0%
56.5%
Assist %
55.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 85.6Defence96.9 · 98.9Shooting43.9% · 40.1%3-point %32.3% · 25.0%Ball care17.9% · 21.7%Off. rebounds32.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AIK Basket W wins
5
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Lund W v AIK Basket W80-66
02/11/24AIK Basket W v Lund W104-97
03/02/24AIK Basket W v Lund W78-80 OT
04/11/23Lund W v AIK Basket W74-69
17/03/18AIK Basket W v Lund W67-83
25/11/17Lund W v AIK Basket W68-40
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HHogsbo W77-73
25/10/25AVisby W91-63
22/10/25ASodertalje W84-80
18/10/25AMalbas Malmo W73-88
11/10/25HOstersund W73-86
04/10/25AHogsbo W97-75
28/09/25ABrahe W94-52
30/03/25HNorrkoping W66-80
28/03/25ANorrkoping W58-83
22/03/25AUppsala W59-70
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25ABrahe W63-67
26/10/25AUppsala W66-79
22/10/25HLulea W81-90
19/10/25ASodertalje W61-69
11/10/25HSodertalje W71-65
04/10/25ANorrkoping W78-88
27/09/25HUppsala W75-88
22/03/25AVisby W80-82
19/03/25ANorrkoping W62-88
16/03/25AUppsala W65-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%50%80%
Points / game84.175.087.8
Allowed / game73.979.571.6
Point differential+10.3-4.5+16.2
Avg total158.0154.5159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game70.775.767.0
Allowed / game78.081.075.8
Point differential-7.3-5.3-8.8
Avg total148.7156.7142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W990100%85.271.2+14.0
2 Lulea W98189%91.064.8+26.2
3 AIK Basket W75271%84.173.9+10.3
4 Norrkoping W85362%82.469.0+13.4
5 Sodertalje W74357%78.671.9+6.7
6 Hogsbo W84450%86.676.2+10.4
7 Alvik W63350%68.566.8+1.7
8 Malbas Malmo W84450%74.079.4-5.4
9 Ostersund W73443%79.178.4+0.7
10 Brahe W83538%71.074.8-3.8
11 Lund W71614%70.778.0-7.3
12 Visby W91811%61.985.7-23.8
13 RIG Lulea W91811%50.789.3-38.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W1918181873
Lund W2610231069
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